Harmonious-Dictaphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.88K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

166

Trades

550

lifetime

Volume

$138.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$251

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-30 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Politics

48% 84% -$1,451

Other

28% 89% +$745

Sports

18% 84% -$233

Tech

6% 75% -$981

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$39

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	17	$8.4K	6,812	6,812	+0	Yes	-$188	02-16 07:51
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be less than 21m	5	$6.5K	3,286	3,286	+0	No	+$46	01-13 01:02
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	9	$4.6K	2,997	2,997	+0	Yes	-$175	02-12 20:32
will israel strike lebanon on january 18 2026	8	$4.6K	2,493	2,129	+364	No	+$33	01-20 19:36
will israel strike lebanon on january 22 2026	15	$3.6K	2,004	1,702	+302	No	+$46	01-23 23:06
will israel strike gaza on january 22 2026	17	$3.2K	1,718	1,718	+0	No	+$117	01-23 19:31
will israel strike lebanon on january 14 2026	5	$3.2K	1,622	1,622	+0	No	+$58	01-16 20:20
will israel strike gaza on january 26 2026	13	$3.1K	1,648	1,648	+0	No	+$182	01-28 08:31
will israel strike gaza on february 11 2026	9	$3.1K	1,579	1,579	+0	No	+$36	02-12 18:23
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	7	$2.9K	2,097	861	+1,236	No	+$37	01-20 19:38
will israel strike 1 country in december 2025	3	$2.6K	2,665	0	+2,665	Yes	+$27	01-02 01:30
will israel strike lebanon on january 23 2026	12	$2.5K	1,646	1,009	+638	No	+$86	01-25 17:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	4	$2.5K	1,848	924	+924	No	+$279	06-26 20:30
will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	6	$2.4K	1,241	1,241	+0	Yes	+$0	02-13 02:08
will russia announce a christmas truce	2	$2.3K	2,403	0	+2,403	No	+$96	01-06 08:46
will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	7	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$42	01-14 19:26
will israel strike gaza on january 19 2026	7	$2.0K	900	1,206	-306	No	+$43	01-21 18:51
will israel strike gaza on february 12 2026	13	$1.9K	1,029	1,029	+0	Yes	+$19	02-13 00:11
will israel strike gaza on january 20 2026	11	$1.9K	1,011	1,011	-0	No	+$92	01-22 00:06
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	4	$1.8K	1,834	0	+1,834	No	+$20	01-13 18:13
will israel strike gaza on january 25 2026	11	$1.8K	951	951	+0	No	+$87	01-27 20:10
will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	9	$1.8K	949	949	+0	No	+$98	01-22 00:08
will marty supreme make 70 million or more domestically by january 31	2	$1.7K	853	853	+0	Yes	+$7	01-12 06:03
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	10	$1.6K	2,036	0	+2,036	Yes	+$407	06-16 21:09
will israel strike lebanon on february 10 2026	3	$1.6K	812	812	+0	No	+$16	02-11 02:35
curfew in minneapolis saint paul by monday	6	$1.4K	1,471	0	+1,471	No	+$21	01-12 23:07
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	1	$1.4K	1,471	0	+1,471	Yes	+$40	06-07 17:43
will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	3	$1.4K	1,457	0	+1,457	Yes	+$28	01-15 04:25
will wuthering heights score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 326	14	$1.4K	779	779	+0	No	+$113	02-15 05:17
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 27 376	3	$1.4K	694	694	+0	No	+$12	01-28 17:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 23:59:28	will claude be restored for international customers by december 31 20260629151305734	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x91a09a…
06-30 23:58:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	189	97¢	$183	0xa3d8cb…
06-30 23:57:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	440	97¢	$426	0x110595…
06-29 20:39:40	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	707	89¢	$629	0x87e9c9…
06-29 20:39:04	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	362	78¢	$282	0x608664…
06-29 20:38:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	555	81¢	$450	0xe0cdb3…
06-29 20:38:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	608	98¢	$595	0x2ebc3e…
06-26 20:32:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	1,154	78¢	$900	0x866563…
06-26 20:30:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	924	98¢	$903	0xf84131…
06-25 01:05:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	637	78¢	$500	0x163c61…
06-25 01:04:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	500	96¢	$480	0x4b9e7d…
06-25 01:01:29	Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x3b5ca2…
06-24 21:23:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	598	82¢	$490	0x9c7776…
06-24 21:22:19	Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	BUY	1,010	99¢	$999	0x5d93d5…
06-24 21:21:16	Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	293	96¢	$282	0xd9f9e1…
06-24 04:09:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	613	91¢	$558	0xdab487…
06-24 04:09:16	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	320	84¢	$268	0xf6fd6b…
06-16 21:09:44	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	806	82¢	$660	0x946428…
06-16 21:08:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 16	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0x9f30bf…
06-15 23:21:37	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	No	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0x8f4cf3…
06-15 23:21:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 16	No	BUY	166	86¢	$143	0x587590…
06-15 23:21:06	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	800	96¢	$769	0x13b037…
06-15 23:20:51	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	93	52¢	$48	0xb9b946…
06-15 22:00:37	Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	BUY	245	80¢	$196	0xfea3c2…
06-15 22:00:22	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	52	80¢	$41	0x9d91c6…
06-15 22:00:22	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	261	80¢	$209	0x71f04b…
06-15 22:00:21	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd84acd…
06-15 22:00:21	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	393	80¢	$315	0x993e72…
06-10 04:04:54	will any player score 60 points in any game during the 2026 nba finals	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xe17f44…
06-10 04:04:34	will any player score 50 points in any game during the 2026 nba finals	No	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0x9164a5…
06-10 04:03:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	52	84¢	$44	0xe6b8c9…
06-10 04:02:18	nba finals wemby to record 20 rebounds in a game	No	BUY	1,401	91¢	$1,275	0x1bc4c6…
06-10 04:01:21	will any player score 60 points in any game during the 2026 nba finals	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xb6a7c5…
06-10 03:58:33	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x00aa88…
06-10 03:56:28	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xf2efc4…
06-07 17:45:07	will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 nba finals be by 40 or more points 20260603223720649	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbd67fc…
06-07 17:43:55	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1,471	97¢	$1,431	0x87f527…
06-07 17:40:06	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0x388136…
06-07 17:28:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	156	43¢	$68	0x695c39…
06-07 16:55:22	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	313	92¢	$286	0xea702a…
05-13 07:28:14	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x826ea9…
05-13 03:52:10	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x5a8f74…
05-13 03:51:19	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	58	85¢	$49	0xa5854d…
05-13 03:42:29	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	51	85¢	$44	0xbf1b18…
05-13 02:35:29	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	201	77¢	$155	0xe37ac6…
05-13 02:35:29	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	259	77¢	$199	0xbe6c8f…
05-13 02:35:29	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8974bc…
05-13 02:35:29	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$16	0x4ce03c…
05-12 23:33:22	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9d93fd…
05-12 21:42:06	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	339	85¢	$288	0x889828…
05-12 20:57:44	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x866541…
05-12 20:55:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xae662a…
05-12 20:55:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$457	0xb2249c…
04-17 15:37:32	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	91¢	$42	0xfe1047…
04-17 06:48:22	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	91¢	$89	0x6d8ec8…
04-17 06:14:30	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x1f5300…
04-17 06:14:14	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0xcc0fd9…
04-17 05:41:24	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x8f99d3…
04-17 01:28:22	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x0c964c…
04-17 00:11:42	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	No	BUY	223	89¢	$199	0x65a56c…
04-16 21:15:24	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0xa4b338…
04-16 21:14:40	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	No	BUY	77	89¢	$68	0x50c2ab…
04-16 21:08:08	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	281	99¢	$279	0xbac72e…
04-06 16:22:21	will the brooklyn nets win more than 19pt5 regular season games in 202526	Yes	BUY	161	90¢	$145	0x15330c…
04-06 15:20:01	nba 2025 26 atlantic division winner boston celtics	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x6dd91e…
04-06 06:19:01	trump announces attorney general pick by april 10 2026	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xf07242…
04-06 06:18:59	trump announces attorney general pick by april 10 2026	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x27249c…
04-06 06:09:55	will the washington wizards have the worst record in the nba	Yes	BUY	221	82¢	$181	0xc59b61…
04-06 06:05:05	nba 2025 26 atlantic division winner boston celtics	Yes	BUY	191	97¢	$186	0x29fcc6…
04-06 06:01:09	will the washington wizards win more than 20pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	300	98¢	$293	0x75969f…
04-06 06:01:01	will the brooklyn nets win more than 19pt5 regular season games in 202526	Yes	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x698eb6…
04-06 06:00:53	will the oklahoma city thunder win more than 62pt5 regular season games in 202526	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf26330…
03-29 02:11:22	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	281	92¢	$259	0x7b50d6…
03-29 02:10:10	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x9a3548…
03-29 02:08:28	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	276	72¢	$200	0x304995…
03-16 20:01:07	nba 2025 26 southwest division winner san antonio spurs	Yes	BUY	569	97¢	$554	0xd0a6fb…
03-16 19:55:55	will the new orleans pelicans make the nba playoffs 568	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x473cb0…
03-16 19:55:21	will the milwaukee bucks make the nba playoffs 572	No	BUY	312	99¢	$307	0x6e57a8…
03-16 19:55:13	will the chicago bulls make the nba playoffs 388	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0x1cbf7d…
03-16 19:53:51	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xdf655b…
03-14 23:18:03	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	164	92¢	$151	0x5d6798…
03-14 23:02:19	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0xc1f0e3…
03-14 23:01:59	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	84	92¢	$78	0xf91a32…
03-14 23:01:59	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x840fc6…
02-27 00:34:20	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	403	96¢	$387	0x44c284…
02-27 00:33:18	will scream 7 score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	292	98¢	$288	0x97a10e…
02-27 00:32:28	will scream 7 score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	217	95¢	$206	0xbfed88…
02-17 23:03:27	will the united states win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	967	38¢	$369	0x97052d…
02-17 19:42:11	will the united states win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	73	44¢	$32	0x121fdf…
02-17 19:41:51	will the united states win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xf9b7aa…
02-17 19:38:09	will the united states win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x72d05b…
02-17 19:32:11	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	825	98¢	$808	0x251350…
02-17 19:29:47	winter games 2026 norway 4pt5 vs usa 4pt5 gold medals	Norway	BUY	1,000	92¢	$919	0x5a78b4…
02-16 08:43:41	will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	837	6¢	$50	0x3756dc…
02-16 08:28:03	will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x41b077…
02-16 08:23:41	will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x2bc8f5…
02-16 08:23:39	will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x59383e…
02-16 08:21:07	will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xdf294c…
02-16 08:11:55	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	500	59¢	$293	0x5bb90b…
02-16 08:08:41	will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0xefbdcf…