Pointed-Needle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-02 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 100% +$0

Other

26% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-07 07:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	05-13 22:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	2	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-27 23:36
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	04-15 02:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-20 14:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-09 21:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 23?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-23 19:12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-17 15:34
bitcoin above 70k on april 23	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-22 10:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-23 07:11
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-12 01:37
Will Dimitar Glavchev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-18 17:25
Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	06-01 01:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-21 10:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-25 12:10
ethereum above 2100 on april 24	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-23 21:02
will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-16 03:58
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-13 01:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-25 12:15
ethereum above 2200 on april 3	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-03 08:33
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	04-15 21:33
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 28c	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-18 09:54
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	01-06 13:46
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	05-22 06:35
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-27 12:57
ethereum above 2100 on april 14	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-13 22:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-10 19:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-26 15:52
Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	04-16 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 13:55:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x40c091…
06-02 11:06:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xcff097…
06-01 01:02:15	Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x888bf9…
05-29 16:00:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3ec1f2…
05-28 13:08:09	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x59417e…
05-27 23:36:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb4f072…
05-27 11:20:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x85bca1…
05-25 12:15:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1e1cb2…
05-23 19:12:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x07a722…
05-23 15:01:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1109a1…
05-22 20:26:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7e51f7…
05-22 06:35:11	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xb9dada…
05-21 16:09:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdf565f…
05-21 10:04:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf564e8…
05-20 14:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x755312…
05-19 17:37:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc4aa6c…
05-19 02:08:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x35176d…
05-17 15:34:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1ac5ea…
05-13 22:57:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xa6182b…
05-12 07:26:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1f0d78…
05-10 23:00:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8f876c…
05-10 19:59:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x17ce41…
05-09 21:34:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x677e37…
05-08 23:57:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeeb237…
04-29 06:36:24	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf9caac…
04-29 03:31:40	Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5a7901…
04-27 12:57:28	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x14b9e8…
04-26 21:33:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3e9c9…
04-26 15:52:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x132255…
04-26 03:04:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x921c92…
04-25 12:10:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x02a787…
04-24 00:12:52	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3024b3…
04-23 21:02:34	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x189185…
04-23 13:37:02	ethereum above 2500 on april 23	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x031d3a…
04-23 07:11:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x788f85…
04-22 10:03:46	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7b4ca6…
04-21 18:00:34	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf9c4bf…
04-21 17:10:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x323fc0…
04-21 04:48:24	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xef0842…
04-20 21:03:52	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 20	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb678fb…
04-19 22:59:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe1afac…
04-19 13:35:22	will ethereum dip to 2100 april 13 19	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x903891…
04-18 17:25:38	Will Dimitar Glavchev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3845ec…
04-18 09:54:38	highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9bcf41…
04-16 14:58:40	Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x74998e…
04-16 03:58:36	will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x336219…
04-15 21:33:34	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xe49613…
04-15 02:06:58	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x4906bb…
04-14 18:27:44	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x25bde9…
04-13 22:37:39	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3ec1e0…
04-13 01:05:01	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe5457d…
04-12 01:37:25	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xca9c61…
04-10 18:56:19	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6b7712…
04-07 07:39:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x85570b…
04-03 08:33:19	ethereum above 2200 on april 3	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x847a6c…
03-20 12:48:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x771daf…
02-10 05:31:27	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7d0e78…
02-05 15:55:55	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x40c5e1…
01-29 18:49:54	will ethereum reach 3800 in january 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6a534…
01-27 15:09:23	will lorenzo musetti win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6c2891…
01-21 13:42:04	will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x122681…
01-16 10:46:36	will tommy paul win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x06792f…
01-06 13:46:47	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x64d830…