Charming-Listing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$165

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

655

Trades

1,154

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 09-29 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 68% -$212

Other

24% 75% +$44

Politics

2% 100% +$3

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	8	$276	154	154	+0	No	+$7	07-26 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 13:55 UTC	4	$220	118	117	+1	Down	+$11	04-19 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 05:15 UTC	1	$200	204	0	+204	Up	+$4	04-09 05:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 08:00 UTC	2	$200	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	04-10 08:14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	4	$163	85	85	+0	No	+$3	07-17 08:53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$160	86	86	+0	No	+$11	07-24 02:03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	2	$152	101	101	+0	No	-$18	08-04 14:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	3	$146	204	104	+100	No	+$17	07-30 11:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	3	$146	210	105	+105	No	+$24	07-29 19:00
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	2	$141	72	72	+0	No	+$1	02-02 01:57
bitcoin up or down on february 2	2	$139	70	70	+0	Up	+$1	02-02 16:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$138	70	70	+0	No	+$1	03-02 12:41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$133	133	0	+133	Yes	+$0	08-08 15:13
bitcoin up or down january 17 6am et	5	$127	214	214	+0	Up	-$13	01-17 11:50
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 12pm et	8	$123	70	69	+1	Down	+$4	04-05 17:03
bitcoin up or down on february 1	2	$120	61	61	+0	Down	+$0	02-01 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC	3	$114	70	59	+11	Down	+$4	04-05 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	2	$112	56	56	+0	Down	+$1	05-23 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3PM ET	2	$112	56	56	+0	Up	+$0	05-17 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:35 UTC	3	$110	107	6	+101	Down	+$2	04-16 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 12:05 UTC	2	$110	66	65	+1	Up	+$11	04-05 12:08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	11	$108	88	88	+0	No	+$3	08-03 12:44
bitcoin up or down february 2 5am et	2	$103	53	53	+0	Down	+$3	02-02 11:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 13:35 UTC	3	$102	103	1	+101	Up	+$2	04-14 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 13:45 UTC	2	$102	56	56	+0	Up	+$3	04-05 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 05:20 UTC	2	$102	103	0	+103	Down	+$1	04-20 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 12:20 UTC	2	$101	106	0	+106	Down	+$0	04-19 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 11:35 UTC	2	$101	105	0	+105	Up	+$4	04-19 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	2	$101	51	51	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:50 UTC	2	$101	52	51	+0	Down	+$1	04-20 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 08:52:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xe9cc15…
09-23 00:48:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa25453…
09-23 00:14:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	35	30¢	$10	0x34a7e4…
09-22 18:32:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfcc369…
09-22 18:31:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x8d207c…
09-22 15:52:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x166ac9…
09-22 08:07:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xb2e95c…
09-21 16:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0xaa247b…
09-21 16:12:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1d8670…
09-21 16:10:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x720c38…
09-21 16:09:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x0424b7…
09-21 14:49:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2df878…
09-21 14:43:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0xe3f4b1…
09-20 21:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x50d499…
09-20 21:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7024fa…
09-20 21:14:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 20?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xfbd6ea…
09-20 21:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x062f41…
09-20 20:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9dfff4…
09-20 20:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x451c2c…
09-20 17:55:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x9bdc37…
09-20 13:58:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$2	0x6045e7…
09-20 13:57:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x2fa146…
08-31 10:48:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x1be3e2…
08-27 04:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$27	0xfb4ad6…
08-26 13:19:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x497be6…
08-25 17:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	49	70¢	$34	0x676c6f…
08-25 17:45:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x713f4a…
08-25 15:42:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xef58c3…
08-25 07:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x58d726…
08-25 07:38:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x67fe8f…
08-24 09:36:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	0¢	$1	0x037d91…
08-24 09:35:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x7d663b…
08-23 22:54:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x4b9380…
08-23 22:45:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7fc2c3…
08-23 22:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xa81bfb…
08-23 22:19:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x13a521…
08-23 21:45:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x770e52…
08-23 14:06:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x26e352…
08-23 13:54:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x4ecf89…
08-22 03:17:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x5af94e…
08-21 16:34:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0x27a8cc…
08-21 15:06:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x21f96c…
08-20 14:59:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$2	0x666c42…
08-20 14:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x33c8ff…
08-19 16:31:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x19881b…
08-19 15:35:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xd697f8…
08-19 15:09:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd8887e…
08-19 05:40:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa237d5…
08-18 05:02:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x5565a5…
08-18 05:01:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x85b1db…
08-18 05:01:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4b5c2a…
08-18 05:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x721c31…
08-17 15:04:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	85¢	$17	0x63aca1…
08-15 16:34:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x948d64…
08-15 16:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x62ba5e…
08-15 14:12:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x1c530b…
08-14 13:33:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x331fc1…
08-13 22:05:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	38	66¢	$25	0xc0f8e7…
08-13 03:20:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x245726…
08-12 14:34:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x00577e…
08-12 14:04:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x48c7f6…
08-10 17:23:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$1	0x37cc94…
08-10 17:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xb950fd…
08-10 13:35:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0xd244bc…
08-09 14:25:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xa07ed4…
08-09 14:08:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xde1388…
08-08 22:39:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xe6b0ff…
08-08 22:24:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xc75354…
08-08 15:13:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x299d01…
08-08 14:14:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x1736f2…
08-08 13:35:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6de1ed…
08-07 07:17:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x695bbf…
08-06 15:02:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x6c8ee5…
08-06 08:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x308040…
08-05 17:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x65df40…
08-05 10:48:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xe33944…
08-04 14:08:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	SELL	101	66¢	$67	0xba3ebe…
08-03 12:44:11	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0x1c099c…
08-03 03:03:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x955589…
08-02 17:31:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x2f714c…
08-02 16:21:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	101	84¢	$85	0xd9517d…
08-02 15:22:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xa4f767…
08-02 15:20:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0x18f94e…
08-02 15:19:17	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xe3ccbe…
08-02 15:17:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xca4235…
08-02 15:17:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$10	0xf92f05…
08-02 06:07:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x696793…
08-02 06:07:14	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xe8fb8f…
08-01 23:22:35	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0ab4dc…
08-01 23:21:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x5878a3…
08-01 16:49:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x734532…
08-01 16:18:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5cd8b9…
08-01 13:47:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x65820e…
07-31 23:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x68e1a9…
07-31 22:53:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x5724a4…
07-31 17:59:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x436030…
07-31 16:39:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xfb2ef9…
07-31 16:39:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1b90a1…
07-31 13:40:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x03e994…
07-31 03:58:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x0643a1…