Upbeat-Rise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-06 06:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

83% 91% $0

Crypto

11% 100% +$0

Politics

6% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	10-06 06:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	1	$169	169	+169	No	+$0	04-21 06:50
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	1	$169	169	+169	No	+$0	04-16 07:01
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	1	$169	169	+169	No	+$0	04-09 10:52
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?	1	$168	168	+168	No	+$0	05-31 07:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	1	$168	168	+168	Yes	+$0	05-08 12:49
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$168	168	+168	No	+$0	04-30 09:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$168	168	+168	Yes	+$0	05-13 09:20
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$168	168	+168	No	+$0	02-15 02:28
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 200 219	1	$167	168	+168	No	+$0	02-10 09:02
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$167	167	+167	No	+$0	02-03 03:12
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	1	$167	167	+167	No	+$0	05-28 09:28
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	1	$167	167	+167	No	+$0	01-30 09:52
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 200 219	1	$167	167	+167	No	+$0	01-26 07:07
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	1	$166	167	+167	No	+$0	01-21 09:16
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	1	$166	166	+166	No	+$0	01-07 08:30
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1280 1319	1	$166	166	+166	No	+$0	01-17 03:44
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$166	166	+166	No	+$0	03-24 08:59
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	1	$165	165	+165	No	+$0	03-06 11:21
elon musk of tweets march 2026 880 919	1	$163	163	+163	No	+$0	03-19 09:52
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	1	$163	163	+163	No	+$0	03-12 02:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?	1	$41	41	+41	No	+$0	05-23 09:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	08-29 08:43
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	07-23 09:54
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	09-02 12:38
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	10-06 06:51
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?	1	$3	27	+27	No	-$3	10-06 06:48
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	1	$3	3	+3	Yes	+$0	03-06 11:21
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	03-12 02:29
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	10	+10	No	+$9	09-02 12:36
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$1	399	+399	No	-$1	05-23 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 06:51:01	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3c4ba6…
10-06 06:48:18	Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x7e1029…
09-02 12:38:24	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb24519…
09-02 12:36:21	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x4f2d48…
08-29 08:43:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1e1864…
07-23 09:54:09	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa362a5…
05-31 07:22:10	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x39ad24…
05-28 09:28:59	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x9773ab…
05-23 09:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	399	0¢	$1	0x3e6498…
05-23 09:49:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x25d9a5…
05-13 09:20:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x8c76cf…
05-08 12:49:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x75df2d…
04-30 09:38:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xe5f673…
04-21 06:50:30	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x1d60af…
04-16 07:01:06	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xab551b…
04-09 10:52:33	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x46516f…
03-24 08:59:03	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x607bdc…
03-19 09:52:01	elon musk of tweets march 2026 880 919	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x7d527a…
03-12 02:29:43	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe371e9…
03-12 02:29:35	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14f52d…
03-12 02:29:25	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x4a3df1…
03-06 11:21:41	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa14209…
03-06 11:21:35	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 80 99	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x239006…
02-15 02:28:51	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xba09ea…
02-10 09:02:59	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 200 219	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x2956e5…
02-03 03:12:28	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x1808dd…
01-30 09:52:26	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x96f99c…
01-26 07:07:56	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 200 219	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x9a453c…
01-21 09:16:02	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0x04c733…
01-17 03:44:18	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1280 1319	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xe1484c…
01-07 08:30:37	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xa8f89f…