Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$268

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-29

last 09-19 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

100% 46% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 20?	6	$92	68	68	+0	No	+$2	09-19 12:28
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	5	$50	31	31	+0	No	+$13	08-11 13:27
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	5	$29	550	550	+0	Yes	+$8	08-01 08:34
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	2	$26	16	16	+0	No	+$6	08-18 12:34
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	2	$23	45	45	+0	No	-$2	09-10 20:32
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	2	$20	16	16	+0	Yes	+$9	08-24 16:30
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	4	$12	1,410	0	+1,410	No	-$12	08-04 16:00
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	09-11 07:21
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	5	$3	1,631	0	+1,631	No	-$3	08-04 15:46
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 18 2026 20260722225036942	2	$2	1,004	0	+1,004	No	-$2	08-22 16:17
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	6	$1	1,110	0	+1,110	No	-$1	08-04 15:44
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 16 2026 20260722225036940	1	$0	151	0	+151	No	$0	08-17 14:37
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	7	$0	370	0	+370	No	$0	08-18 13:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 12:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 20?	No	SELL	68	69¢	$47	0x67645a…
09-19 12:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 20?	No	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x56a408…
09-19 11:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 20?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x9f64f4…
09-19 11:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe9edc6…
09-19 11:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xfcb772…
09-19 11:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 20?	No	BUY	28	77¢	$22	0x79bbe4…
09-11 07:21:09	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x350ab1…
09-10 20:32:42	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x524610…
09-10 14:50:52	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0xc5502e…
08-24 16:30:34	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	SELL	16	92¢	$14	0xbd60cd…
08-22 16:17:27	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 18 2026 20260722225036942	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xc8b2c4…
08-20 03:10:28	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 18 2026 20260722225036942	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xb2ae2d…
08-18 17:04:19	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x904a9c…
08-18 13:12:51	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xc5020a…
08-18 12:45:52	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x0b85b9…
08-18 12:34:15	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x748896…
08-18 12:34:15	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x2f0152…
08-18 12:33:40	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xbe226e…
08-18 12:33:30	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9afadc…
08-18 12:33:30	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x8401ba…
08-17 14:37:40	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 16 2026 20260722225036940	Yes	BUY	151	0¢	$0	0xf87d90…
08-13 05:27:51	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xc79c00…
08-11 13:27:27	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xc64153…
08-09 11:07:33	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xd2736c…
08-09 10:25:46	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x275cc5…
08-09 10:08:18	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0xf42160…
08-09 07:53:03	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x12fae2…
08-04 16:00:14	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	572	0¢	$1	0xde934b…
08-04 15:46:29	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	834	0¢	$2	0xbf87d3…
08-04 15:44:12	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	228	0¢	$0	0xb15ba8…
08-04 15:33:26	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	408	0¢	$1	0x100267…
08-04 15:20:14	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	297	2¢	$7	0xf26359…
08-04 15:20:14	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$3	0xd1d232…
08-04 15:20:14	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	293	0¢	$1	0xa80f55…
08-04 15:20:14	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$0	0x9184da…
08-04 15:20:14	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x4dab80…
08-04 15:20:14	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$0	0x0144ee…
08-04 15:19:27	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xdfb1b5…
08-04 15:19:27	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x938176…
08-04 15:19:27	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x0ba8af…
08-04 15:19:26	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xf46ba6…
08-04 15:19:20	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x447602…
08-01 08:34:24	Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	SELL	363	2¢	$8	0x73f0af…
07-31 14:59:06	Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	SELL	187	5¢	$10	0xadaa96…
07-31 06:04:38	Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	128	2¢	$3	0x961ffe…
07-30 22:55:00	Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xe3ebd6…
07-29 19:39:26	Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	380	2¢	$7	0x693311…