Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

3,330

Trades

5,244

lifetime

Volume

$37.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-27 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% +$37

Sports

1% 46% +$31

Other

1% 20% -$24

Politics

1% 14% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	7	$117	100	99	+1	No	+$2	02-26 15:34
ethereum above 1900 on february 27	6	$116	61	61	+0	Yes	+$1	02-27 16:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:45 UTC	11	$106	152	16	+136	Down	-$9	03-02 01:47
nba sas bkn 2026 02 26	4	$102	57	57	+0	Spurs	+$6	02-27 01:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:45 UTC	13	$101	78	87	-9	Down	+$1	03-02 01:46
ethereum above 1800 on march 1	4	$89	47	47	+0	Yes	+$2	02-28 19:46
nba bos den 2026 02 25	2	$88	41	63	-22	Nuggets	+$16	02-26 06:00
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	5	$84	90	90	+0	Yes	-$23	02-25 21:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 01:10 UTC	2	$84	89	0	+89	Down	+$5	03-01 01:12
uel stu3 cel3 2026 02 26 stu3	4	$83	68	67	+1	No	+$28	02-26 19:45
ethereum above 1900 on february 28	7	$80	112	112	+0	Yes	+$13	02-28 07:09
bitcoin above 68k on february 26	8	$79	114	84	+30	No	+$28	02-26 17:43
bitcoin above 62k on march 1	7	$76	44	44	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 01:20 UTC	3	$73	78	0	+78	Up	+$5	03-01 01:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 01:10 UTC	4	$71	74	0	+74	Down	+$3	03-01 01:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	1	$71	75	0	+75	Up	-$71	09-11 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$69	71	0	+71	Up	+$2	09-11 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$64	66	0	+66	Down	+$2	09-01 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$64	69	0	+69	Up	-$64	09-01 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$63	65	0	+65	Down	+$2	09-01 15:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:35 UTC	9	$63	45	56	-11	Up	-$11	03-02 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$63	64	0	+64	Down	+$2	09-01 08:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:40 UTC	1	$62	64	0	+64	Up	+$2	08-31 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:35 UTC	1	$62	65	0	+65	Up	+$3	08-31 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$62	64	0	+64	Down	+$2	09-10 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$61	63	0	+63	Down	+$2	09-10 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:45 UTC	1	$61	63	0	+63	Down	+$2	08-30 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$60	64	0	+64	Down	+$5	09-10 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:45 UTC	1	$60	65	0	+65	Up	+$5	08-30 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$60	63	0	+63	Down	+$3	09-10 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:08:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x079853…
10-27 04:59:00	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9b0d2e…
10-27 03:01:06	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x77f30a…
10-27 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xd32847…
10-27 02:16:18	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1908c2…
10-26 22:02:30	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4d8ab6…
10-26 21:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4ac223…
10-26 21:42:30	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x153a40…
10-26 20:22:36	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xfdb14b…
10-26 20:09:54	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc87706…
10-26 19:38:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb6d546…
10-26 18:36:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9cbedc…
10-26 18:18:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xf43783…
10-26 18:15:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7e0756…
10-26 18:01:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0cf4d8…
10-26 17:11:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x9a0621…
10-26 16:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x649926…
10-26 16:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xb0b533…
10-26 14:47:17	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x11ab00…
10-26 13:41:48	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x7839f0…
10-26 13:37:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0bc181…
10-26 13:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb3b62c…
10-26 13:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$20	0x9dd170…
10-26 13:04:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xe71fcf…
10-26 13:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x13a42d…
10-26 10:44:02	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x3e0126…
10-26 09:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf2db82…
10-26 09:17:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2585dc…
10-26 08:23:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xe2491a…
10-26 08:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x264040…
10-26 08:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xea4751…
10-26 08:03:15	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x61b0c8…
10-26 07:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xa00db0…
10-26 07:20:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xe6c55a…
10-26 07:20:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc1b9f2…
10-26 06:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3ead94…
10-26 06:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x6f3da9…
10-26 05:40:26	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xf5b341…
10-26 05:36:57	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x1e6888…
10-26 04:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1f2db4…
10-26 03:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xc4c0c9…
10-26 02:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x94c8d2…
10-26 01:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x955fd5…
10-26 01:41:00	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xcf5070…
10-25 22:01:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8123df…
10-25 19:41:08	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd017c1…
10-25 16:12:26	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8c3850…
10-25 15:36:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x436d4a…
10-25 14:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x1c7ce4…
10-25 10:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc9f580…
10-25 10:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x40ef86…
10-25 07:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe51c09…
10-25 05:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2f45b9…
10-25 05:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd507e9…
10-25 05:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x3b90e2…
10-25 04:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb45e93…
10-25 04:15:56	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf12975…
10-25 04:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd0ce0e…
10-25 03:10:15	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcb2657…
10-25 02:57:14	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x17173a…
10-25 01:58:14	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x846df2…
10-25 01:58:14	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x25d202…
10-25 01:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd997cf…
10-24 23:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfb4bd3…
10-24 23:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9cb26e…
10-24 23:31:05	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x50ec64…
10-24 21:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x849b34…
10-24 21:12:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc9027f…
10-24 19:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc0e2f9…
10-24 19:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0f330a…
10-24 19:16:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x512667…
10-24 18:52:21	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x898e63…
10-24 18:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5a6d7a…
10-24 17:38:30	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xdddc7d…
10-24 16:05:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x31f08c…
10-24 15:59:15	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xaabd12…
10-24 15:24:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x44b782…
10-24 15:16:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0c4c33…
10-24 14:58:54	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x746ff5…
10-24 14:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2c640e…
10-24 13:05:09	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5fcabc…
10-24 13:04:12	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xc46b5b…
10-24 13:01:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x51430d…
10-24 11:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf12770…
10-24 11:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xaa4496…
10-24 09:27:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0d1e96…
10-24 09:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1fba1f…
10-24 09:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x2803e7…
10-24 09:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xbe5355…
10-24 07:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x8fa804…
10-24 07:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xda177a…
10-24 05:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x27a116…
10-24 04:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe0615d…
10-24 04:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf08544…
10-24 04:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xf49837…
10-24 04:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc700af…
10-24 02:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc95aa4…
10-23 22:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf96dab…
10-23 22:52:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x546e8f…
10-23 22:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb5cc69…