Cautious-College — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved (90d)

725

Trades (90d)

1,446

2,398 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.35K

$16.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-18 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 71% -$752

Other

9% 47% -$8

Politics

1% 100% +$14

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:20 UTC	2	$558	288	288	+0	Down	+$11	03-25 20:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 03:00 UTC	3	$536	279	278	+0	Down	+$16	03-04 03:15
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	3	$508	262	262	+0	No	+$16	03-24 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 23:45 UTC	1	$500	975	0	+975	Up	-$500	03-25 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:25 UTC	2	$499	252	252	+0	Up	+$0	03-08 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 23:15 UTC	2	$494	485	478	+8	Up	$0	03-02 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:10 UTC	2	$487	246	246	+0	Up	+$5	03-23 08:15
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	2	$480	258	258	+0	No	-$13	03-17 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:35 UTC	9	$469	439	432	+7	Up	+$7	03-10 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:55 UTC	2	$387	231	228	+3	Up	+$71	03-20 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 16:00 UTC	2	$384	255	251	+4	Down	+$117	03-04 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:05 UTC	3	$272	162	160	+1	Up	+$31	03-01 14:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:15 UTC	2	$249	127	127	+0	Down	+$5	03-25 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:05 UTC	2	$242	123	123	+0	Up	+$2	03-25 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:45 UTC	2	$241	144	143	+2	Down	+$43	03-25 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 22:50 UTC	2	$207	111	111	+0	Down	+$13	03-25 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:35 UTC	2	$147	100	98	+2	Up	+$49	03-25 21:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:10 UTC	2	$143	98	96	+2	Down	+$45	03-02 22:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:10 UTC	2	$141	98	96	+2	Down	+$43	03-02 22:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 22:35 UTC	1	$125	235	0	+235	Up	-$125	03-25 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	4	$114	92	91	+1	Down	+$15	03-25 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 02:20 UTC	3	$114	75	74	+1	Up	+$35	03-02 02:24
will iran strike israel on march 7	5	$110	61	61	+0	Yes	+$10	03-07 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 22:55 UTC	1	$110	239	0	+239	Up	-$110	03-25 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:20 UTC	8	$110	130	118	+12	Down	-$50	08-25 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 22:10 UTC	2	$106	109	107	+2	Up	+$8	03-25 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:50 UTC	9	$103	97	96	+2	Up	+$4	03-02 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:00 UTC	1	$100	149	0	+149	Up	-$100	03-25 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 20:20 UTC	3	$92	88	87	+1	Down	+$5	02-26 20:20
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	2	$86	47	47	+0	Yes	+$8	02-23 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 18:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4a0861…
10-18 18:29:29	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb58256…
10-18 18:29:06	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x467172…
10-18 18:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x98ff69…
10-18 18:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x219b3f…
10-18 18:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2891d2…
10-18 18:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xf6ca54…
10-18 18:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe3dc5f…
10-18 18:19:05	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x040ee2…
10-18 18:18:32	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4f03df…
10-18 18:12:59	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x2f7d7d…
10-18 18:12:23	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbf28b4…
10-18 18:11:29	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1e281e…
10-18 18:09:08	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x47c77e…
10-18 18:08:45	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x958705…
10-18 18:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x9e61d4…
10-18 18:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x25379d…
10-18 18:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x57d0cf…
10-18 18:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe9a9c9…
10-18 18:01:20	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xfd65d3…
10-18 18:00:41	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x139bfc…
10-18 17:59:33	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x6cdba2…
10-18 17:56:35	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7416fe…
10-18 17:52:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x2d4599…
10-18 17:52:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a76c5…
10-18 17:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x563095…
10-18 17:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xc402a4…
10-18 17:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8532c0…
10-18 17:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x508c3e…
10-18 17:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xea7886…
10-18 17:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc353bd…
10-18 17:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x25cc78…
10-18 17:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xceed6a…
10-18 17:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2cdbea…
10-18 17:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x575094…
10-18 17:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2c1a0f…
10-18 17:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5e0808…
10-18 17:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd46876…
10-06 14:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd63a19…
10-06 14:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x128556…
10-06 14:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x816e30…
10-06 14:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xad5e26…
10-06 14:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9c9069…
10-06 14:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x0d12e9…
10-06 14:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd80b0f…
10-06 14:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x968afc…
10-06 14:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4faea5…
10-06 06:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x111de5…
10-06 06:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd8f76d…
10-05 16:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x2b7556…
10-05 16:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x025d03…
10-05 13:58:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x676e53…
10-05 13:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x248571…
10-05 13:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4586ac…
10-05 12:04:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xbd10c6…
10-05 11:56:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa004f1…
10-05 11:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd6bd18…
10-05 11:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9f9bab…
10-05 11:18:40	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe6ed85…
10-05 11:18:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb64e14…
10-05 11:15:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf0b7ad…
10-05 11:14:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x85664f…
10-05 11:09:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5da920…
10-05 11:07:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe12e88…
10-05 11:07:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x7b4ed7…
10-05 11:06:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbf03a0…
10-02 21:55:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,650 on October 2?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x3b0687…
10-02 21:51:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,650 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x14e266…
10-02 21:41:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x90a3d9…
10-02 21:35:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe4aff6…
10-02 21:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x006a73…
10-02 21:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x5e74df…
10-02 21:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x96b830…
10-02 20:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x0075ca…
10-02 20:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6ed3a1…
10-02 20:53:48	BNB Up or Down - October 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4e31f9…
10-02 20:52:27	BNB Up or Down - October 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfda856…
10-02 20:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x05d2d9…
10-02 20:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8d9fc9…
10-02 20:49:08	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x398972…
10-02 20:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2559cc…
10-02 20:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x72ac9a…
10-02 20:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7f9b20…
10-02 20:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3ac618…
10-02 20:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x0c0b1f…
10-02 20:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1fbc68…
10-02 20:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8f064c…
10-02 20:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf7efce…
10-02 20:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x452857…
10-02 20:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x504f1a…
10-02 20:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf66761…
10-02 20:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xfd2f1b…
10-02 20:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x9122f7…
10-02 20:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xc805f7…
10-02 20:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xffa302…
10-02 20:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x19469e…
10-02 20:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x0a349a…
10-02 20:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3c00b6…
10-02 19:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc0116a…
10-02 19:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x7168e2…