Realized P&L (7d)
+$18
Unrealized P&L
-$118
Hit rate
94.1%
Resolved (7d)
22
Trades (7d)
4
1,600 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$10
$27.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.09K
26 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
50% 80% +$137
Sports
23% 94% +$211
Politics
20% 85% -$84
Tech
6% 88% +$4
Pop-Culture
1% 83% +$12
Crypto
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +154 $151 94¢ $145 -$6 09-30 00:35
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +124 $124 100¢ $124 +$0 09-27 00:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +313 $109 34¢ $105 -$5 09-24 11:47
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? No +86 $86 100¢ $86 +$0 09-29 02:20
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +78 $77 98¢ $77 $0 10-03 05:45
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +85 $83 88¢ $75 -$9 09-24 15:38
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $62 95¢ $60 -$1 09-27 00:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +49 $48 100¢ $49 +$0 09-23 15:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +62 $44 74¢ $46 +$2 09-22 04:25
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +44 $44 100¢ $44 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +41 $40 99¢ $40 +$0 10-03 14:00
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +72 $55 53¢ $38 -$16 10-01 01:11
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +39 $38 93¢ $36 -$2 09-29 16:35
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 $0 10-01 03:06
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +34 $31 88¢ $30 -$1 09-22 21:48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No +27 $27 99¢ $27 $0 09-25 13:20
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 $0 09-23 04:28
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 09-30 20:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +8 $1 99¢ $8 +$7 09-30 20:08
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 10-02 08:05
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 09-25 05:42
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 09-29 03:15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 09-27 09:53
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? No +6 $5 77¢ $5 $0 10-03 09:50
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +77 $56 4¢ $3 -$53 09-23 17:45
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +54 $34 1¢ $1 -$34 09-29 15:25