Miniature-Alpenglow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

12,055

Trades

14,116

lifetime

Volume

$94.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-27 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

100% 80% +$2,410

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	2	$147	76	76	+0	No	+$4	03-20 10:38
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	5	$142	639	639	+0	Yes	-$38	02-14 22:30
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	2	$140	76	76	+0	No	+$11	03-24 09:46
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 12 2026 26c	2	$100	106	101	+5	Yes	+$85	04-12 18:12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 19?	5	$58	43	28	+15	Yes	-$2	07-19 22:56
highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 44 45f	4	$55	64	64	+0	No	-$5	02-27 18:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?	4	$54	32	24	+8	Yes	+$0	05-20 21:23
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 38 39f	4	$53	99	99	+0	No	-$6	03-03 20:00
highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 30 31f	4	$52	76	76	+0	No	-$7	03-02 18:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	2	$52	69	69	+0	Yes	+$32	05-31 07:07
highest temperature in chicago on march 23 2026 40 41f	3	$46	36	21	+15	Yes	+$2	03-23 21:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 25?	3	$42	30	15	+15	Yes	-$3	08-25 22:58
highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 40 41f	3	$41	34	26	+8	Yes	+$3	03-19 23:16
highest temperature in atlanta on february 24 2026 52 53f	4	$40	49	19	+30	Yes	+$14	02-24 15:45
highest temperature in seattle on february 27 2026 48 49f	9	$38	320	270	+50	No	-$11	02-27 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 20?	3	$35	31	16	+15	Yes	+$4	08-20 22:55
highest temperature in atlanta on march 14 2026 76 77f	3	$34	31	21	+10	Yes	+$4	03-14 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 22?	3	$33	60	60	+0	No	-$6	05-22 09:12
highest temperature in miami on february 25 2026 72 73f	5	$33	32	25	+7	Yes	+$6	02-25 19:28
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	2	$32	67	67	+0	No	+$1	03-20 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 15?	2	$32	29	29	+0	No	+$2	06-15 22:52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 20?	4	$32	55	0	+55	No	-$32	05-20 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 12?	3	$31	25	9	+15	Yes	+$1	07-12 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 6?	3	$30	29	11	+18	Yes	+$3	07-06 21:53
highest temperature in miami on february 24 2026 64 65f	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	02-25 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 21?	2	$30	34	0	+34	Yes	+$4	05-22 00:46
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	07-28 23:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 5?	4	$30	163	163	+0	No	-$16	09-05 20:48
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 30?	3	$29	23	8	+15	Yes	-$1	06-30 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	2	$29	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	08-15 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbe84a1…
10-28 01:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe84a8c…
10-27 22:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x205fdc…
10-27 21:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81ff9f…
10-27 21:58:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaa91c7…
10-27 21:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc35d5…
10-27 19:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb48084…
10-27 18:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x25d551…
10-27 17:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2cf3a0…
10-27 17:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0d00e8…
10-27 17:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x681cb1…
10-27 16:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x895da9…
10-27 16:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x91b1f4…
10-27 16:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbe75af…
10-27 16:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xfacb74…
10-27 13:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xca1ef0…
10-27 13:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5509e5…
10-27 13:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x463cf4…
10-27 13:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd96e54…
10-27 13:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfbe983…
10-27 13:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf00b66…
10-27 11:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c621f…
10-27 11:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x988ff0…
10-27 11:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x02d4a7…
10-27 11:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x5bc3e5…
10-27 11:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb61ccd…
10-27 11:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe063a3…
10-27 10:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44d67b…
10-27 10:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x28520f…
10-27 10:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x70a991…
10-27 09:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x79a70a…
10-27 09:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x38d686…
10-27 09:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2dcab4…
10-27 09:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0bba2b…
10-27 09:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x780b20…
10-27 08:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0ff104…
10-27 08:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa60bc7…
10-27 07:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfdba34…
10-27 07:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5f5f83…
10-27 06:26:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb00a45…
10-27 06:26:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf46552…
10-27 06:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0566c3…
10-27 06:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b0652…
10-27 06:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x63bea9…
10-27 06:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x367cd3…
10-27 06:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x379b08…
10-27 06:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1448d4…
10-27 06:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3819c2…
10-27 06:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d01ae…
10-27 06:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcd4b2c…
10-27 06:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xfb9cc2…
10-27 04:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4a92fc…
10-27 04:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8ee30e…
10-27 04:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe01565…
10-27 04:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xce09e3…
10-27 03:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xa65c34…
10-27 03:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaf4e6c…
10-27 03:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xaa5d32…
10-27 03:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xc9ac37…
10-27 03:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8c27c0…
10-27 03:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x08b9ee…
10-27 03:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x43d943…
10-27 03:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc58f6f…
10-27 03:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5e455b…
10-26 22:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x225403…
10-26 22:58:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b9ea7…
10-26 21:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2781f4…
10-26 21:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd7f05c…
10-26 21:25:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x61c5ac…
10-26 21:25:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3d0d3b…
10-26 21:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9b90a6…
10-26 21:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1e80c0…
10-26 20:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x736c53…
10-26 20:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xceb34a…
10-26 20:54:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a2b81…
10-26 20:54:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfc7063…
10-26 19:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe9553d…
10-26 19:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x699184…
10-26 19:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd9c9b8…
10-26 19:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x24cdfa…
10-26 19:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd5a4b3…
10-26 17:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa0721a…
10-26 17:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xda2ddc…
10-26 17:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xae77ea…
10-26 17:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x47d679…
10-26 16:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1716c1…
10-26 16:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xaf2521…
10-26 16:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x31ca33…
10-26 15:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xefd183…
10-26 15:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x39e184…
10-26 15:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf94a2a…
10-26 15:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7c6055…
10-26 14:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6cde4d…
10-26 12:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x555979…
10-26 12:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x462ae1…
10-26 12:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x264502…
10-26 12:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf3e1df…
10-26 12:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6088bd…
10-26 12:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaef1e9…
10-26 11:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc90e09…