Outlying-Legacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.88K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

586

Trades

965

lifetime

Volume

$46.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 10-17 22:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 51% +$1,738

Politics

2% 67% -$13

Other

0% 100% +$156

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$632	381	381	+0	Down	+$32	05-29 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$597	401	401	+0	Up	+$197	05-28 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$594	398	398	+0	Down	+$194	05-28 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$592	769	377	+392	Down	+$184	05-29 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$582	386	386	+0	Down	+$182	05-29 06:30
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$577	1,429	1,429	+0	No	-$23	05-29 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$574	377	377	+0	Down	+$174	05-29 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$553	426	426	+0	Down	-$47	05-28 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$531	335	335	+0	Down	+$131	05-28 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$514	317	317	+0	Down	+$114	05-28 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$505	308	308	+0	Down	+$105	05-28 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$495	397	397	+0	Up	+$95	05-29 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$492	586	386	+200	Up	-$108	05-29 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	4	$477	393	393	+0	Up	+$77	05-29 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$470	273	273	+0	Down	+$70	05-28 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$465	383	383	+0	Up	+$65	05-29 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$460	314	314	+0	Down	+$160	05-29 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$428	281	281	+0	Down	+$128	05-29 23:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$426	241	241	+0	No	+$26	05-29 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$408	413	413	+0	Down	+$8	05-28 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$339	9,899	139	+9,760	Up	-$61	05-28 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$334	221	221	+0	Down	+$104	05-29 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$319	396	396	+0	Down	-$81	05-29 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	4	$316	400	400	+0	Down	-$84	05-29 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$306	399	399	+0	Up	-$94	05-29 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$304	381	200	+181	Up	-$96	05-29 08:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$302	441	184	+257	Down	+$212	05-29 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$302	204	204	+0	Down	+$102	05-29 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$301	203	203	+0	Up	+$101	05-29 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$300	604	0	+604	Up	+$304	05-28 18:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 22:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0c82ad…
10-17 22:09:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xa8917a…
10-17 22:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6817e2…
09-23 04:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x11e9bd…
09-23 04:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	96	11¢	$11	0x83838a…
09-23 04:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xab5fd8…
09-06 20:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5ce179…
09-06 20:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf0a915…
07-10 10:12:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6ae559…
07-10 10:06:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x70d226…
07-10 09:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa6356b…
07-10 09:40:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5ac747…
07-10 09:24:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa0a7ec…
07-10 09:20:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe03616…
07-10 09:04:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x270b9c…
07-03 22:00:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0811c5…
07-03 21:56:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb3a022…
07-03 21:46:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3c130d…
07-03 21:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcb4655…
07-03 21:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5cb3f3…
07-03 20:34:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe7e7f2…
07-03 19:55:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd94101…
07-03 19:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1057a5…
07-03 17:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbaaab1…
07-03 17:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x16c24c…
07-03 16:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd9e304…
07-02 18:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5fb89e…
07-02 18:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x6e8753…
07-02 18:11:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1a5b08…
07-02 17:49:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x324d0a…
07-02 01:42:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x60635c…
07-02 01:38:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa0373b…
07-02 01:30:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x25c355…
07-02 01:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x21e329…
07-01 20:13:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf4940b…
07-01 20:13:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbdd732…
07-01 20:04:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x33c93e…
07-01 19:55:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xccb717…
07-01 19:49:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8438f3…
07-01 19:47:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xd5478a…
07-01 19:47:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2521f1…
07-01 19:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x8d1801…
07-01 19:40:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbd6730…
06-30 21:01:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6d1b8a…
06-30 20:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa8f0b2…
06-30 20:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x11a389…
06-30 20:46:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe80eea…
06-30 20:41:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3699db…
06-30 20:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x777a5f…
06-29 01:54:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1d9fc1…
06-29 01:45:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4a1bd5…
06-29 01:40:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa2e5a4…
06-29 01:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd0d1b8…
06-29 01:14:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xc05abe…
06-29 01:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa90b69…
06-29 00:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd9083a…
06-29 00:50:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xde33d7…
06-29 00:47:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x584e2a…
06-29 00:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x12e996…
06-29 00:40:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x88f909…
06-29 00:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x48a995…
06-29 00:24:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x84d9d2…
06-28 21:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8a0896…
06-28 21:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x952108…
06-28 21:20:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2caf66…
06-28 21:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x985417…
06-28 20:59:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x43f9ac…
06-28 20:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7e921a…
06-28 20:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xece09e…
06-28 20:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xd66540…
06-28 20:30:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa23785…
06-28 20:24:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb23f5a…
06-28 20:23:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xb4ca59…
06-28 20:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4a465d…
06-28 20:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x235218…
06-28 02:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7a4393…
06-28 02:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xe78cdd…
06-28 02:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x82c129…
06-28 01:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:50 UTC	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x17f0a7…
06-28 01:51:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x38be4c…
06-28 01:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xb5cb98…
06-28 01:37:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:35 UTC	Down	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0xc544a7…
06-28 01:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0a32c4…
06-27 23:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x23747a…
06-27 23:00:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x27484a…
06-27 08:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1d5b5c…
06-26 21:48:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4d90c4…
06-26 20:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x54269c…
06-26 07:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x7ec60a…
06-26 07:17:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf21202…
06-26 07:10:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x69eb02…
06-26 07:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x9a699c…
06-26 07:06:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xef600f…
06-26 07:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc07637…
06-26 07:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x084712…
06-26 07:06:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6a4e22…
06-26 07:06:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe648c4…
06-26 07:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x1bb052…
06-26 07:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xac5344…
06-26 06:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xdd6f88…