Subtle-Bulb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

Trades

516

lifetime

Volume

$2.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-16 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$1

Sports

27% 49% +$2

Crypto

21% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	2	$84	67	67	+0	open	—	03-08 05:00
efa new mnc 2026 03 07 mnc	2	$82	61	61	+0	open	—	03-07 21:31
wbc jap ven 2026 03 14	5	$66	1,048	48	+1,000	open	—	03-15 04:16
wbc can pan 2026 03 08	2	$66	154	73	+81	open	—	03-09 03:02
wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	5	$56	1,046	46	+1,000	open	—	03-17 02:49
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	3	$50	100	50	+50	open	—	03-17 21:53
wbc mex ita 2026 03 11	4	$49	54	36	+19	open	—	03-12 00:09
wbc pur pan 2026 03 07	3	$49	104	65	+39	open	—	03-08 02:38
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	2	$48	67	67	+0	open	—	03-11 19:09
wbc usa ven 2026 03 17	4	$41	39	39	+0	open	—	03-18 02:29
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	2	$36	32	32	+0	open	—	03-17 20:19
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	3	$32	27	27	+0	open	—	05-03 02:19
wbc aus sok 2026 03 09	1	$30	107	0	+107	open	—	03-09 05:24
btc updown 5m 1775756700	3	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	04-09 17:50
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 psg1	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	03-11 21:40
Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 03:24
wbc ven dor 2026 03 11	3	$26	80	0	+80	open	—	03-12 00:29
wbc cub can 2026 03 11	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	03-11 22:01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	04-25 18:08
btc updown 5m 1775714400	3	$24	32	12	+20	open	—	04-09 06:05
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	2	$24	29	29	+1	open	—	04-08 19:49
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	3	$24	22	22	+1	open	—	04-15 20:55
epl new bou 2026 04 18 bou	2	$23	19	18	+0	open	—	04-18 18:26
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	04-26 01:32
btc updown 5m 1775756100	2	$22	13	12	+0	open	—	04-09 17:39
btc updown 5m 1775719200	2	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	04-09 07:23
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	5	$21	59	22	+37	open	—	04-15 20:52
wbc pur cub 2026 03 09	1	$20	77	0	+77	open	—	03-09 21:35
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	1	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	03-10 03:12
dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 bay	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 06:08:13	btc updown 5m 1784181900	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa810f8…
07-15 20:49:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2c54f9…
07-14 21:30:28	btc updown 5m 1784064600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd01ba6…
07-14 21:29:40	btc updown 5m 1784064300	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd48d0e…
07-14 21:28:05	btc updown 5m 1784064300	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3b95d2…
07-14 20:50:11	btc updown 5m 1784061900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x991488…
07-14 20:47:22	btc updown 5m 1784061900	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x98cae0…
07-14 20:47:08	btc updown 5m 1784061900	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x228e4e…
07-14 20:46:49	btc updown 5m 1784061900	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd47ba1…
07-14 20:38:20	btc updown 5m 1784061300	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x583e39…
07-14 20:35:23	btc updown 5m 1784061300	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc9c299…
07-14 20:28:55	btc updown 5m 1784060700	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xbf120a…
07-14 20:26:49	btc updown 5m 1784060700	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x308ebd…
07-13 21:43:44	btc updown 5m 1783978800	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb0087f…
07-13 21:42:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc39e79…
07-13 21:40:56	btc updown 5m 1783978800	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x50e12b…
07-13 21:40:13	btc updown 5m 1783978800	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe24949…
07-13 21:37:38	btc updown 5m 1783978500	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x047f95…
07-13 21:35:11	btc updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x17a1ec…
07-12 21:21:34	btc updown 5m 1783891200	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf670f7…
07-12 04:45:08	btc updown 5m 1783831500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb9f2d4…
07-12 04:43:29	btc updown 5m 1783831200	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac4dc4…
07-12 04:42:28	btc updown 5m 1783831200	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x19c41c…
07-12 04:33:26	btc updown 5m 1783830600	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf633f0…
07-12 04:32:41	btc updown 5m 1783830600	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa41073…
07-12 03:35:14	btc updown 5m 1783827300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb50507…
07-12 03:33:35	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa7399e…
07-12 03:30:26	btc updown 5m 1783827000	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x32d0c2…
07-12 03:27:13	btc updown 5m 1783826700	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xe0b2ff…
07-12 03:26:14	btc updown 5m 1783826700	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdb37a6…
07-12 03:23:49	btc updown 5m 1783826400	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdf48c6…
07-12 03:18:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x613d7b…
07-12 03:14:05	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb30775…
07-12 03:10:47	btc updown 5m 1783825800	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdfe796…
07-12 02:42:25	btc updown 5m 1783824000	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x31a217…
07-12 02:40:32	btc updown 5m 1783824000	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1747a6…
07-12 02:38:23	btc updown 5m 1783823700	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x60434b…
07-12 02:38:20	btc updown 5m 1783823700	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd8bd05…
07-12 02:30:13	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x821134…
07-12 00:38:13	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x10fb29…
07-11 22:50:59	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf5b445…
06-24 00:46:05	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe99f57…
06-23 01:15:07	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0xdd052c…
06-22 02:21:19	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8370dc…
06-22 02:13:13	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x854b43…
06-20 18:58:08	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x01abc5…
06-19 18:43:04	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe5854b…
06-19 18:42:13	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x1b022b…
06-19 01:02:02	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcf0800…
06-18 18:58:23	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x61a52b…
06-16 02:41:21	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x034989…
06-15 23:51:33	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x70bacc…
06-15 19:40:24	mlb mia phi 2026 06 15	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x667e8f…
06-15 19:38:15	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x598adb…
06-15 01:51:00	btc updown 5m 1781488200	Down	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xeb624f…
06-15 01:48:30	btc updown 5m 1781488200	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd95acb…
06-15 01:36:57	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6d8c19…
06-15 01:34:12	btc updown 5m 1781487300	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x509216…
06-15 01:30:43	btc updown 5m 1781487000	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6bcc69…
06-15 01:16:27	btc updown 5m 1781486100	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x11bb23…
06-15 01:12:30	btc updown 5m 1781486100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x158a45…
06-15 01:11:33	btc updown 5m 1781485800	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8b6f55…
06-10 05:12:18	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6b47df…
06-10 04:51:15	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xbfd775…
06-10 04:48:22	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x407fa7…
06-10 04:47:54	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd1edbd…
06-10 04:47:25	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7549e2…
06-09 16:42:01	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf19957…
06-09 16:29:46	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3367f8…
05-22 21:56:53	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2e2c30…
05-20 21:58:13	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7baf20…
05-20 21:54:43	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago White Sox	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2c077b…
05-20 04:26:02	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago White Sox	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xaceb3e…
05-20 04:25:08	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x384b5b…
05-20 04:12:18	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf123f5…
05-20 04:09:21	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago White Sox	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x48b941…
05-20 02:09:09	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x9ff681…
05-19 04:14:31	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x528e2b…
05-19 04:11:24	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9b561c…
05-19 03:46:33	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xeb7419…
05-19 03:44:34	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x941f7f…
05-18 18:30:49	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x12a8d5…
05-18 05:40:38	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd010b2…
05-18 02:12:00	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x859fab…
05-18 00:28:58	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3a498b…
05-16 19:42:40	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0b7718…
05-15 04:32:34	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe794ca…
05-14 02:50:39	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x69aa1a…
05-14 02:50:00	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe3366c…
05-14 02:47:09	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x36e1e8…
05-14 02:44:40	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xaae041…
05-14 02:39:58	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x33f4a7…
05-14 02:22:42	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5167ca…
05-14 02:21:09	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe3430f…
05-14 02:16:07	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	Detroit Tigers	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8bdaa7…
05-14 02:13:08	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Kansas City Royals	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x06e96b…
05-14 01:56:52	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7bff94…
05-14 01:45:52	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1d8925…
05-14 00:06:24	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x801e43…
05-14 00:05:04	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x22c875…