Valid-Psychologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$204

Unrealized P&L

+$684

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,256

lifetime

Volume

$1.63M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.29K

Open exposure

$24.0K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-21 08:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 100% +$2

Other

10% — —

Politics

4% 100% +$202

Sports

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No		+24,012	$23,292	100¢	$24.0K	+$684	06-01 12:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on march 6	4	$55.5K	55,644	+55,644	open	—	03-06 09:44
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	20	$55.3K	55,418	+55,418	open	—	03-04 15:24
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	45	$55.1K	55,305	+55,305	open	—	03-03 14:08
bitcoin above 72k on march 9	46	$53.5K	53,745	+53,745	open	—	03-09 13:35
bitcoin above 72k on march 7	22	$52.9K	52,969	+52,969	open	—	03-07 18:37
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	28	$51.3K	51,400	+51,400	open	—	03-16 11:25
will real madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	19	$51.3K	51,390	+51,390	open	—	03-17 21:30
bitcoin above 78k on march 17	4	$51.1K	51,262	+51,262	open	—	03-17 13:39
Tria FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$51.0K	51,145	+51,145	open	—	02-04 14:32
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	30	$50.6K	50,771	+50,771	open	—	02-05 16:13
bitcoin above 70k on february 28	1	$48.9K	48,956	+48,956	open	—	02-28 14:39
bitcoin above 74k on march 10	8	$46.6K	46,638	+46,638	open	—	03-10 14:54
bitcoin above 72k on february 18	2	$46.1K	46,210	+46,210	open	—	02-18 13:09
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	1	$45.4K	45,505	+45,505	open	—	02-11 14:08
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	13	$42.1K	42,155	+42,155	open	—	03-24 12:03
bitcoin above 72k on february 27	31	$40.5K	40,661	+40,661	open	—	02-27 09:55
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	15	$38.7K	38,909	+38,909	open	—	02-13 11:42
Netanyahu out by April 30?	23	$38.4K	38,883	+38,883	open	—	04-04 03:47
bitcoin above 70k on february 20	16	$37.2K	37,392	+37,392	open	—	02-20 15:16
bitcoin above 72k on february 17	17	$35.4K	35,471	+35,471	open	—	02-17 18:26
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	18	$33.5K	33,556	+33,556	open	—	03-11 17:26
bitcoin above 80k on february 1	16	$31.1K	31,549	+31,549	open	—	02-01 15:58
bitcoin above 72k on february 16	9	$29.6K	29,678	+29,678	open	—	02-16 15:16
bitcoin above 68k on february 23	30	$27.8K	27,862	+27,862	open	—	02-23 18:12
bitcoin above 68k on february 26	33	$26.4K	26,399	+26,399	open	—	02-26 19:40
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$26.2K	26,319	+26,319	open	—	03-30 21:59
bitcoin above 74k on march 28	5	$25.6K	25,620	+25,620	open	—	03-28 14:08
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	13	$23.9K	23,947	+23,947	open	—	02-24 20:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$23.3K	24,012	+24,012	open	—	06-01 12:42
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	9	$22.6K	22,602	+22,602	open	—	02-25 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 08:22:26	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1,037	96¢	$1,000	0x769d96…
06-01 12:42:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	24,000	97¢	$23,280	0xbd9676…
06-01 12:34:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x392057…
05-28 12:16:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,711	97¢	$1,658	0xa3047c…
05-28 12:14:55	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	2,754	94¢	$2,586	0x26ba6c…
05-10 06:49:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12,800	95¢	$12,160	0x8482af…
05-08 09:05:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	12,202	98¢	$12,000	0x1c1cbb…
05-02 14:19:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0x0d0b65…
05-02 14:18:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6292e3…
05-02 14:17:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd34a9e…
05-02 14:10:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xba956f…
05-02 14:10:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x95888e…
05-02 14:10:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xcc511e…
05-02 14:09:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2266a3…
05-02 14:09:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x41b7f6…
05-02 14:09:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x7b6965…
05-02 14:08:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb20b68…
05-02 14:08:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8eba5b…
05-02 14:07:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x661d88…
05-02 14:07:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8acedf…
05-02 14:07:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb55aa2…
05-02 14:06:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x7e3afc…
05-02 14:05:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x594354…
05-02 14:05:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x574788…
05-02 14:04:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x50148f…
05-02 14:04:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x97063d…
05-02 14:03:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xca7a9d…
05-02 14:02:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1fe970…
05-02 14:02:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x25274c…
05-02 14:02:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xec5b77…
05-02 14:01:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd5b3f2…
05-02 13:58:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	98¢	$9,760	0x499e11…
05-02 13:53:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x30719a…
05-02 13:49:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x82847a…
05-02 13:49:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x11a1bc…
05-02 13:47:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf948c4…
05-02 13:45:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x54bcc6…
05-02 13:39:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x429baf…
05-02 13:39:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa23b1e…
05-02 13:37:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x93694c…
05-02 13:36:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbf254c…
05-02 13:29:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4aa5fc…
05-02 13:20:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x91cb46…
05-02 13:18:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x44b272…
05-02 13:18:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc670de…
05-02 13:16:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6ff4d3…
05-02 13:14:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	262	98¢	$256	0xfb1800…
05-02 13:12:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa61504…
05-02 13:09:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0x4baaf5…
05-02 13:06:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x50d6e6…
05-02 13:05:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	291	98¢	$284	0x11c047…
05-02 13:05:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,790	98¢	$1,747	0x3abbd0…
05-02 13:04:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc9dfb7…
05-02 12:58:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0e41ca…
05-02 12:58:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf02e90…
05-02 12:56:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb41cd4…
05-02 12:55:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5db5d1…
05-02 12:52:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	409	98¢	$400	0x766f6c…
05-02 12:49:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	4,400	93¢	$4,092	0x3c90a4…
05-02 12:48:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	531	98¢	$518	0xda0e78…
05-02 12:48:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xb0e33c…
05-02 12:47:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x492691…
05-02 12:47:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x3389dd…
05-02 12:44:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,014	98¢	$989	0xa0fb2c…
04-28 08:51:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,758	99¢	$6,671	0x87eb74…
04-28 08:46:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef58ff…
04-28 08:44:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1df946…
04-28 08:29:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	99¢	$286	0xdc2434…
04-28 08:15:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0x2e0d7d…
04-28 08:13:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x8bb27a…
04-28 08:13:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25e8a7…
04-28 08:12:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfee847…
04-28 08:10:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x14aad7…
04-28 08:09:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	99¢	$142	0x4640dd…
04-28 08:08:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x941449…
04-28 08:07:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x9b4502…
04-28 08:05:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x8f0efc…
04-28 08:01:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb23035…
04-28 08:01:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x573de3…
04-28 04:54:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2afa7…
04-28 04:54:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	98¢	$204	0xeb2a4c…
04-28 04:42:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x4bd74b…
04-28 04:40:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x591743…
04-27 19:53:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	98¢	$113	0x35ab19…
04-27 19:37:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,043	98¢	$4,968	0x2e8b7b…
04-27 19:36:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xce3c60…
04-27 19:36:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	533	99¢	$525	0xb7be39…
04-27 19:36:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x86eec4…
04-27 19:30:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x188976…
04-27 19:30:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x0f925c…
04-27 19:30:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xc5fd5c…
04-27 19:30:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x62508a…
04-27 19:30:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xd13e03…
04-27 19:30:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xcb5e11…
04-27 19:30:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x76cb5d…
04-27 19:30:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x32c558…
04-27 19:30:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xac4400…
04-27 19:30:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xbd785b…
04-27 19:30:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x429065…
04-27 19:29:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0xece1dc…