Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$346

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved

70,336

Trades

93,338

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$72

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 09-27 05:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 2% +$477

Other

12% 2% -$24

Politics

7% 50% -$108

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+110	$66	66¢	$72	+$6	09-19 10:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	5	$817	420	420	+0	No	+$22	09-05 15:08
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$695	500	500	+0	No	+$5	04-21 20:10
will bitcoin reach 81k on august 26 2026	1	$209	211	0	+211	No	+$2	08-26 16:04
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$205	205	0	+205	No	+$0	04-22 02:56
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	6	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:59
will ethereum reach 2800 on august 25 2026	1	$182	182	0	+182	No	+$0	08-25 22:15
atp tseng zha 2026 08 30	2	$160	160	0	+160	Chun-Hsin Tseng	+$0	09-01 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?	1	$135	150	0	+150	Up	+$15	09-19 10:24
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	1	$113	115	0	+115	No	-$113	08-29 08:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:35 UTC	2	$109	220	0	+220	Down	+$1	04-18 09:39
xrp above 1pt6 on april 18	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-18 09:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:25 UTC	2	$99	105	0	+105	Down	+$1	04-21 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:10 UTC	2	$99	105	0	+105	Up	+$1	04-21 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 12:35 UTC	2	$99	105	0	+105	Down	+$1	04-18 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:45 UTC	2	$99	105	0	+105	Down	+$1	04-19 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$99	105	0	+105	Down	+$1	04-29 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:00 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	04-18 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 09:55 UTC	1	$97	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	04-18 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:30 UTC	2	$97	105	0	+105	Down	+$3	04-21 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:50 UTC	1	$97	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	04-18 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:25 UTC	12	$96	205	0	+205	Down	+$4	04-18 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	6	$95	200	0	+200	Up	+$5	09-06 15:54
Como: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Pablo Varillas	2	$94	200	0	+200	Juan Pablo Varillas	+$6	09-04 11:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:35 UTC	5	$73	82	0	+82	Up	-$6	04-21 15:39
will ethereum reach 2700 on august 27 2026	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	08-28 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:40 UTC	2	$68	75	0	+75	Up	+$2	04-19 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 05:50 UTC	2	$68	75	0	+75	Up	+$2	04-20 05:54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$66	110	0	+110	open	—	09-19 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:45 UTC	6	$65	140	0	+140	Down	+$5	08-28 02:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	8	$56	50	50	+0	Up	+$3	08-28 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 05:19:17	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	5¢	$6	0x1a029f…
09-19 10:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?	Up	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x691b11…
09-19 10:19:07	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	110	60¢	$66	0x045111…
09-19 10:15:44	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0x7a4dc5…
09-06 15:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2abcc9…
09-06 15:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x61e631…
09-06 15:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x4abc12…
09-06 15:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	66	44¢	$29	0x2e9dbc…
09-06 15:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x229997…
09-06 15:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8ce5ca…
09-06 15:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x15b7ce…
09-06 15:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9181a8…
09-06 15:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x6cf2cb…
09-06 15:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x96397a…
09-06 15:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x088cda…
09-05 15:08:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	SELL	420	100¢	$420	0xbc6d06…
09-04 22:19:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xcf9c50…
09-04 22:11:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdedff9…
09-04 22:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xee821e…
09-04 22:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x0ad8c4…
09-04 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xccd3c4…
09-04 16:18:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	330	94¢	$312	0x7af2d1…
09-04 16:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x23e4ad…
09-04 16:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xeafef1…
09-04 16:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xc1ba4b…
09-04 16:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4d7fc5…
09-04 16:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x3b57d2…
09-04 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc0c754…
09-04 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x3fa4e4…
09-04 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x11f3e2…
09-04 16:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x3fd4b1…
09-04 16:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x38f9fa…
09-04 11:50:01	Como: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Pablo Varillas	Juan Pablo Varillas	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x5b0d8a…
09-04 11:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xfc465d…
09-04 11:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x53372f…
09-04 11:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x707438…
09-04 11:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x7c54a2…
09-04 11:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x2cee2c…
09-04 11:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x443f04…
09-04 11:44:01	Como: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Pablo Varillas	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x57c742…
09-04 11:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xafef0e…
09-04 11:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x783236…
09-04 11:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6e8f4a…
09-04 11:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5de74f…
09-04 11:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x53acb6…
09-04 11:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x1fdec4…
09-01 06:27:30	atp tseng zha 2026 08 30	Chun-Hsin Tseng	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa7dd2d…
09-01 06:27:28	atp tseng zha 2026 08 30	Chun-Hsin Tseng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f38fc…
08-30 10:21:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x1aee73…
08-29 08:20:24	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x14b2bd…
08-28 03:14:48	will ethereum reach 2700 on august 27 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x710210…
08-28 03:13:34	will solana reach 120 on august 27 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x590958…
08-28 03:13:27	will solana reach 115 on august 27 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2a0e90…
08-28 02:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x181366…
08-28 02:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x235eef…
08-28 02:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x3cd676…
08-28 02:52:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xcd4880…
08-28 02:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x8a9486…
08-28 02:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x25f786…
08-28 02:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x142e96…
08-28 02:49:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xce0e87…
08-28 02:49:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x98a07a…
08-28 02:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xd9527f…
08-28 02:49:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x15e5f8…
08-28 02:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe28d4f…
08-28 02:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa962f8…
08-28 02:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x210456…
08-28 02:47:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x892987…
08-28 02:46:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xfe0196…
08-28 02:46:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x034ce5…
08-28 02:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x41437c…
08-28 02:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1f134c…
08-28 02:36:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xd80f66…
08-28 02:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x0ac9c3…
08-28 02:36:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xce4146…
08-28 02:30:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x70e00a…
08-28 02:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xff0ef3…
08-28 02:26:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xbffc01…
08-28 02:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x24b64e…
08-28 02:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf2e876…
08-28 02:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x813579…
08-28 02:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5e049d…
08-28 02:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x53b7a6…
08-28 02:21:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x5f3d79…
08-26 16:04:51	will bitcoin reach 81k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x81d253…
08-26 16:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xea21de…
08-26 16:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x902cd5…
08-26 16:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x73ebf5…
08-26 15:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf4a16e…
08-26 11:30:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x776b3c…
08-26 11:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x286630…
08-26 11:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x66c5bf…
08-26 10:47:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73cf89…
08-26 10:31:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7156ab…
08-25 22:15:34	will ethereum reach 2800 on august 25 2026	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x513313…
08-25 22:13:01	will solana reach 115 on august 25 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6979c9…
08-25 22:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xabc65c…
08-25 22:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9a944c…
08-25 22:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x798215…
08-25 22:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x0cade5…