Cavernous-Washcloth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

208

Trades

1,322

lifetime

Volume

$85.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 71% +$2,602

Other

27% 42% -$1,609

Sports

16% 78% +$2,573

Politics

5% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		+3	$4	3¢	$0	-$3	06-07 12:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	31	$7.5K	6,840	6,840	+0	No	+$644	03-23 15:23
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	21	$4.5K	3,167	3,167	+0	No	-$118	01-19 23:35
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	12	$4.1K	3,100	3,100	+0	No	+$1,030	03-31 12:29
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	28	$4.1K	5,110	5,110	+0	open	—	10-29 22:02
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	54	$3.5K	3,778	3,611	+167	No	-$350	03-22 09:49
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$3.4K	4,297	4,297	+0	Yes	+$182	06-05 20:25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	17	$3.2K	1,743	1,743	+0	open	—	05-20 12:42
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	28	$3.2K	2,681	2,949	-268	No	-$248	01-12 14:01
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	17	$3.1K	1,997	1,997	+0	open	—	10-15 08:16
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	28	$2.5K	7,317	6,577	+740	Yes	+$987	03-24 13:49
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$2.2K	2,565	2,565	+0	Yes	+$318	04-23 20:15
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	16	$1.8K	2,876	1,102	+1,774	Yes	-$736	01-30 13:18
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	15	$1.8K	2,436	2,436	+0	No	+$32	02-16 19:19
will backpack launch a token on march 23	8	$1.7K	893	892	+1	Yes	+$58	03-23 13:03
new stranger things episode released by january 14 741	3	$1.6K	804	804	+0	No	+$0	01-13 20:22
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	171	$1.4K	10,695	14,926	-4,231	No	+$885	04-16 10:38
sea fio cag 2026 01 24 fio	8	$1.3K	1,370	1,370	+0	No	+$18	01-24 17:20
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$1.3K	1,278	1,278	+0	Yes	+$232	03-31 12:25
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$1.3K	1,129	1,129	-0	Yes	-$23	01-30 09:53
will jessica pegula win the 2026 womens australian open	2	$1.2K	577	577	+0	No	+$1	01-29 13:00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	29	$1.1K	1,292	1,292	+0	No	-$90	05-22 08:31
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	13	$1.1K	1,922	1,809	+113	No	+$121	01-20 15:17
efl ars mnc 2026 03 22 ars win	6	$1.1K	1,500	800	+700	No	-$303	03-22 17:25
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	13	$1.1K	813	813	+0	No	-$16	02-11 00:32
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1.0K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$168	04-14 19:21
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	39	$1.0K	1,012	1,012	+0	No	-$10	01-04 11:49
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	18	$990	801	956	-155	No	-$37	02-10 14:25
uel fen1 ast4 2026 01 22 fen1	7	$888	1,266	705	+561	No	+$251	01-22 17:36
ucl nap1 cfc 2026 01 28 nap1	2	$879	606	606	+0	No	+$6	01-28 20:00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	12	$830	992	1,095	-103	No	+$32	01-11 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:02:07	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x940ca7…
10-28 08:07:49	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	81	8¢	$6	0xd5c99b…
10-26 14:26:53	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	74	8¢	$6	0xe9cf7c…
10-26 10:36:11	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	826	7¢	$59	0xee0f4d…
10-15 08:33:08	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x5c97f2…
10-15 08:16:55	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	820	99¢	$812	0x8062cf…
10-15 08:16:37	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8cb008…
10-15 08:16:25	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xd3bf4e…
10-15 08:16:16	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6a9367…
10-15 08:13:43	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	530	100¢	$528	0x46c0e7…
10-15 08:02:55	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x9f7edb…
09-29 20:43:17	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x896a0c…
09-29 19:53:20	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xa38386…
09-29 19:49:17	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xa4be7c…
09-29 19:48:24	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	489	75¢	$367	0x7f9f95…
09-25 12:59:56	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	239	17¢	$42	0xa56c99…
09-25 12:54:18	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	105	18¢	$19	0x41f1d6…
09-24 09:58:23	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	304	18¢	$54	0x43f865…
06-22 14:44:40	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	428	43¢	$184	0xed4e5f…
06-15 02:43:04	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x09f7c0…
06-11 12:21:04	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xf18ac1…
06-11 08:03:36	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	394	45¢	$176	0x83da3c…
06-10 10:19:37	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	900	44¢	$394	0x8230aa…
06-09 16:01:40	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	144	21¢	$30	0xfbaebf…
06-09 16:01:21	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x9cb709…
06-09 14:29:13	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xbd7629…
06-09 14:28:55	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	39	19¢	$7	0x4940e6…
06-09 14:28:18	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb6fe67…
06-09 14:24:04	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xb8b9ff…
06-09 14:24:04	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	120	18¢	$22	0x0fdf1a…
06-08 21:19:25	will stripes valuation hit high 185b by june 30	No	SELL	215	90¢	$194	0xcb6065…
06-08 14:03:06	will stripes valuation hit high 185b by june 30	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x8ba9e8…
06-08 13:28:37	will stripes valuation hit high 185b by june 30	No	BUY	235	86¢	$202	0x4c1917…
06-08 09:09:19	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,131	44¢	$497	0xf85d77…
06-07 17:49:13	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xbf8b1a…
06-07 12:56:37	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	57	27¢	$15	0xede42e…
06-07 11:07:36	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	131	42¢	$55	0x20ca40…
06-07 10:44:51	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	737	28¢	$206	0x8e479f…
06-07 02:48:42	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x8f366a…
06-05 20:29:22	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,267	42¢	$945	0x655ab3…
06-05 20:25:55	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	2,000	48¢	$950	0xe484eb…
06-05 17:29:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xa5676b…
06-05 04:44:15	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x0eb1f9…
06-04 20:49:51	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,992	46¢	$924	0x87dee0…
06-04 20:39:33	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x9389a1…
06-04 11:29:21	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	400	34¢	$136	0x9ab6e4…
06-04 03:36:10	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8f2a40…
06-03 15:57:49	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc3261e…
06-03 13:02:19	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xbf129b…
06-03 12:00:56	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	737	30¢	$221	0xd181fe…
06-03 09:45:48	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8b8c11…
06-02 21:46:17	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	407	30¢	$122	0xe5245c…
05-31 21:04:52	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,844	36¢	$664	0x9813d3…
05-31 12:57:56	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	437	36¢	$155	0xfc04bb…
05-31 12:57:33	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xcff9ad…
05-31 12:57:21	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$1	0x769db1…
05-29 13:37:14	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	333	31¢	$105	0xe1a3b9…
05-28 16:49:33	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,964	29¢	$560	0x2da449…
05-27 12:52:33	StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x1429d2…
05-27 03:56:04	StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x349dba…
05-26 07:46:29	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x9a91fb…
05-26 04:18:33	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,115	36¢	$401	0xe79a7a…
05-25 12:15:33	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xcd5bc8…
05-25 05:12:01	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0x5c0070…
05-23 06:03:42	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x9ed6d4…
05-22 15:09:59	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x1e5f4a…
05-22 13:47:26	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x213b2d…
05-22 13:39:46	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xe4f3af…
05-22 08:31:04	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	133	40¢	$53	0x3d8f1e…
05-22 08:25:05	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	16	40¢	$7	0x827f81…
05-22 08:22:47	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x0670e2…
05-22 08:05:55	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	224	43¢	$97	0x2d9f4e…
05-22 08:03:58	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x9f4963…
05-22 07:56:37	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	122	40¢	$49	0x8b3358…
05-22 00:57:49	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe14c3b…
05-22 00:57:49	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	146	40¢	$58	0x243bef…
05-22 00:54:22	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	39	40¢	$16	0xc31a0f…
05-22 00:54:19	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	81	40¢	$32	0xde5a00…
05-22 00:49:23	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xef51e9…
05-22 00:34:52	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	150	40¢	$60	0xf3f57c…
05-22 00:34:52	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	150	40¢	$60	0xdb29cd…
05-22 00:32:40	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x34bc63…
05-22 00:30:54	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xe78070…
05-22 00:30:54	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x0a2cc0…
05-22 00:28:00	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x81bd02…
05-22 00:28:00	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x3608a4…
05-22 00:20:57	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	164	40¢	$66	0x4438dc…
05-22 00:13:41	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xbe1f07…
05-22 00:13:41	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x16c25f…
05-22 00:12:12	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xf77b79…
05-22 00:01:47	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xa039e2…
05-21 23:49:55	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x6dd10a…
05-21 13:03:38	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	982	30¢	$295	0x0ed580…
05-21 10:46:18	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	30¢	$36	0xf4aea1…
05-21 08:49:08	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	566	64¢	$362	0x247e1e…
05-20 22:17:39	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x882c01…
05-20 21:33:36	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	190	47¢	$89	0x5f5954…
05-20 21:32:30	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	195	47¢	$92	0x6f048e…
05-20 21:32:19	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9e57ea…
05-20 21:29:47	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	881	47¢	$414	0x6bc927…