Doting-Chaplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$30.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$536

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-09 13:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 54% -$33

Other

17% 61% -$43

Politics

0% 60% -$24

Sports

0% 89% +$28

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		+22	$20	98¢	$21	+$1	05-12 08:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	No	+$5	03-11 03:40
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	Yes	+$5	03-12 03:30
bitcoin above 76k on march 14	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	No	+$5	03-14 02:41
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	Yes	+$5	03-09 07:54
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	No	+$5	03-13 03:27
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	No	+$5	03-10 03:59
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$20	24	0	+24	No	+$3	03-15 08:27
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	04-14 04:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-12 08:42
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	2	$20	15	15	+0	No	$0	02-09 05:17
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$19	25	0	+25	Yes	+$6	03-16 08:36
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	+$10	01-21 06:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	02-27 04:23
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$12	42	0	+42	Yes	-$12	03-18 03:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$12	32	0	+32	Yes	-$12	01-30 07:23
lol wb al 2026 03 05	1	$11	14	0	+14	Weibo Gaming	-$11	03-05 02:07
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$11	16	0	+16	Yes	+$5	02-04 04:44
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	1	$11	16	0	+16	Yes	+$5	02-15 06:39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	-$10	02-07 06:16
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	07-09 13:10
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 360 379	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$10	03-02 06:20
bitcoin above 90k on january 25	1	$10	62	0	+62	No	-$10	01-25 04:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 1	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$10	02-01 13:18
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11	1	$10	16	0	+16	Invictus Gaming	+$6	02-11 03:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	03-07 04:08
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	-$10	02-06 05:42
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	1	$10	20	0	+20	Seahawks	+$10	02-08 11:27
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	02-13 05:33
val cls1 tse 2026 02 11	1	$10	31	0	+31	Coalesce	-$10	02-10 02:55
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	03-04 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 13:10:35	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xeb60f6…
06-14 04:03:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb3d1af…
05-12 08:42:18	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xdbb007…
04-14 04:29:57	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x917a36…
03-21 01:48:47	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa3c953…
03-20 05:02:07	lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20	BNK FEARX	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x636aff…
03-19 05:35:57	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe2c565…
03-18 03:00:51	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0x377b23…
03-17 04:12:13	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0ecdae…
03-16 08:36:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x043b28…
03-15 08:27:57	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	24	86¢	$20	0x2882ec…
03-14 02:41:37	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x90cc54…
03-13 03:27:53	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x258fd7…
03-12 03:30:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x9f18ae…
03-11 03:40:21	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x71e7a6…
03-10 03:59:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x93e744…
03-09 07:54:33	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x302204…
03-07 04:08:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe830ae…
03-06 03:26:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7bb276…
03-05 02:07:07	lol wb al 2026 03 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0xfd1d3c…
03-04 04:56:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc5189f…
03-03 02:48:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa8dc8f…
03-02 06:20:39	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 360 379	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x57b87a…
02-27 04:23:06	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x9ea81a…
02-25 02:43:54	lol wb ig1 2026 02 25	Weibo Gaming	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6fc48f…
02-24 03:52:06	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xcb4970…
02-22 05:37:14	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc57363…
02-20 03:38:16	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf46f13…
02-19 03:44:12	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x13c8be…
02-18 13:02:34	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	95	11¢	$10	0xdf3638…
02-17 08:08:27	will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1ac6ae…
02-15 06:39:07	will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	Yes	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xe0c823…
02-14 08:54:57	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 25 in february	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x775060…
02-13 05:33:49	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xfd2f34…
02-12 06:44:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2c6763…
02-11 03:53:53	lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11	Invictus Gaming	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x871497…
02-10 02:55:43	val cls1 tse 2026 02 11	Twisted Saints Esports	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe8783a…
02-09 05:17:43	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x094146…
02-09 05:17:13	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xbf5ddd…
02-09 05:16:59	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6ec961…
02-08 11:27:21	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	Seahawks	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x31eb7a…
02-07 06:16:41	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x60716c…
02-06 05:42:35	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x98a2d8…
02-05 02:50:51	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdb9887…
02-04 04:44:00	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xf08a08…
02-03 06:13:38	will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1e53ea…
02-02 06:13:56	will mike macdonald win nfl coach of the year	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6a7300…
02-01 13:18:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 1	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x376a3a…
01-31 12:27:04	bitcoin above 82k on january 31	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbec02a…
01-30 07:23:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xefbfd4…
01-29 11:18:24	will solana dip to 110 in january 2026	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x85f768…
01-28 03:01:25	will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xea57ae…
01-27 05:51:47	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe72969…
01-26 06:09:06	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9fb6f3…
01-25 04:46:46	bitcoin above 90k on january 25	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7d5d50…
01-23 07:59:04	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x76c8fe…
01-21 06:32:32	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x0ee9cb…