Average-Coal-Ostrich — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

136

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 11-14 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

92% 52% +$318

Sports

5% 6% -$324

Crypto

4% 100% +$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 10m committed to the ethos public sale	3	$1.0K	556	556	+0	No	+$43	09-04 17:30
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)	2	$876	476	476	+0	Gen.G	+$76	05-24 11:24
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner	2	$700	400	400	+0	KT Rolster	+$100	05-30 10:26
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$664	621	621	+0	Gen.G	+$64	05-27 09:43
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	4	$662	400	450	-50	Yes	+$98	10-30 15:59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	2	$585	500	500	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$35	11-14 22:19
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	4	$479	500	500	+0	Yes	-$81	10-30 14:43
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner	3	$445	245	245	+0	KT Rolster	+$45	05-30 11:01
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$425	241	241	+0	open	—	10-31 17:57
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$419	267	267	+0	T1	+$19	05-28 12:04
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	2	$416	225	225	+0	Japan	+$16	06-29 18:21
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	3	$377	400	281	+119	No	-$55	10-28 11:22
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	4	$364	240	240	+0	Under	+$3	07-02 20:54
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	3	$362	200	200	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$34	05-31 08:34
Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?	1	$307	313	0	+313	No	+$7	10-09 14:32
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	4	$262	241	241	+0	Spain	-$103	07-02 20:51
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	2	$250	344	0	+344	Yes	+$94	06-20 17:15
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	2	$221	143	143	+0	Japan	+$21	06-29 18:23
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$205	110	110	+0	Yes	+$5	06-26 00:38
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$194	115	115	+0	Yes	-$6	06-23 17:53
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$193	312	312	+0	Yes	-$7	06-26 19:08
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	2	$188	137	137	+0	Netherlands	-$12	06-26 00:18
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$186	209	204	+5	BNK FEARX	-$14	05-27 11:48
Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$177	192	0	+192	No	+$15	10-08 15:07
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	2	$173	198	198	+0	No	-$27	06-25 23:48
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 first half total 0pt5	3	$172	143	143	+0	Under	-$28	06-25 23:20
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	3	$168	210	0	+210	DR Congo	+$42	07-01 16:35
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 3pt5	1	$158	200	0	+200	Under	+$42	07-01 17:18
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	3	$155	221	0	+221	T1	+$66	05-30 10:51
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total away 0pt5	2	$140	100	100	+0	Over	-$2	07-01 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 22:19:11	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	SELL	500	55¢	$275	0x89d43f…
11-14 21:52:44	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x672f5a…
11-14 21:49:56	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xb557d5…
11-14 21:48:14	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x4ab188…
11-14 19:32:02	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0x22df7b…
11-12 05:07:45	Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x41ab8e…
11-12 05:07:09	Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0xbf54d3…
11-11 17:12:28	Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x86e61a…
11-11 17:12:22	Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x075afd…
11-08 14:57:52	Will Hims & Hers (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x2cca88…
11-08 12:32:27	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf47c07…
11-08 10:40:03	Will Hims & Hers (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x219967…
11-08 05:24:45	Will Hims & Hers (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x4c8591…
11-08 02:50:00	Will Hims & Hers (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x84a570…
11-08 02:49:01	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x5590aa…
11-06 05:14:42	Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x7c7b61…
11-06 05:14:22	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x817025…
10-31 17:57:37	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	93¢	$225	0x3e7cf0…
10-30 15:59:34	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x3cf56c…
10-30 15:53:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	400	94¢	$376	0xda4d11…
10-30 14:43:28	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	SELL	59	39¢	$23	0xbd4b44…
10-30 14:42:43	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	SELL	441	40¢	$176	0xec98bd…
10-30 04:44:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x0c2887…
10-30 04:44:49	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x33134e…
10-29 19:41:07	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7858e3…
10-29 16:54:02	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x52a737…
10-29 16:53:41	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x9e763b…
10-29 09:05:22	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	270	10¢	$27	0x7a6789…
10-29 09:05:16	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xb85d63…
10-29 08:46:46	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x827246…
10-29 06:26:11	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x0046d7…
10-28 11:22:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	55¢	$76	0x8988bb…
10-28 11:20:43	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	59¢	$84	0x631bb6…
10-28 10:10:35	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0xcfba8f…
10-09 14:32:49	Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	BUY	313	98¢	$307	0x01f9bb…
10-09 13:13:48	Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0xf63ff7…
10-08 15:23:21	Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x5fa4ea…
10-08 15:07:17	Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	192	92¢	$177	0x3a4787…
10-06 07:25:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x5a436d…
09-04 17:30:43	over 10m committed to the ethos public sale	No	SELL	304	100¢	$304	0x809b51…
09-04 16:40:42	over 10m committed to the ethos public sale	No	SELL	251	95¢	$239	0xf8cdfc…
09-04 16:09:27	over 10m committed to the ethos public sale	No	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x801343…
07-11 23:56:13	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	160	51¢	$82	0xf423ba…
07-11 23:30:04	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x852c62…
07-11 10:21:23	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x524a46…
07-08 09:12:23	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	T1	SELL	36	62¢	$22	0x986acd…
07-08 08:16:25	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	T1	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x7f6172…
07-07 18:00:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0xaf012e…
07-07 17:52:01	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0xe16fb8…
07-07 17:51:26	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 extra time	Yes	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0xc371e6…
07-07 16:56:55	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	80	55¢	$44	0x9fb96d…
07-06 23:18:07	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	90	82¢	$74	0xb21a98…
07-06 23:17:55	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 spread away 1pt5	United States	BUY	90	85¢	$76	0x6466d3…
07-06 20:31:08	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	SELL	400	9¢	$36	0x761f4a…
07-06 19:05:40	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0xed96e9…
07-05 22:06:14	will erling haaland score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x04a15f…
07-05 22:05:41	will erling haaland score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	327	3¢	$10	0x520eaf…
07-05 21:56:43	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	189	5¢	$10	0xdf4b34…
07-05 21:55:49	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0x6511bf…
07-05 21:44:43	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	SELL	44	29¢	$13	0xbb8116…
07-05 21:44:08	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	SELL	28	28¢	$8	0xaff0c2…
07-05 20:19:56	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x53a858…
07-04 19:11:16	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	89	41¢	$37	0x52e96f…
07-04 19:10:49	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x463ad5…
07-04 17:46:19	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xed12b7…
07-04 17:14:41	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x8e3eda…
07-04 17:04:28	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x1e72a2…
07-04 08:56:29	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xc8050d…
07-03 23:27:26	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	195	4¢	$8	0x97f2f9…
07-03 23:27:25	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	105	4¢	$4	0x7d6233…
07-03 23:25:49	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xffae8f…
07-03 22:15:13	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x095657…
07-03 22:14:44	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x1bb3ab…
07-03 22:14:38	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x79a4a4…
07-03 22:14:37	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4028c4…
07-03 22:13:49	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xe4f39d…
07-03 22:13:49	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x33f20a…
07-03 22:13:37	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x6dacb9…
07-03 22:10:02	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x8d496c…
07-03 21:52:58	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x33f723…
07-03 18:43:55	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	82	74¢	$61	0xd5fe02…
07-03 18:02:37	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xd94b73…
07-03 18:02:29	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xdaac05…
07-02 20:54:19	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	140	83¢	$116	0x129d7e…
07-02 20:51:16	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Austria	SELL	141	8¢	$11	0x8b1a58…
07-02 19:45:40	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Austria	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xe57001…
07-02 19:45:32	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0x643d87…
07-02 19:38:55	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Austria	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x5392c1…
07-02 19:38:49	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x227a37…
07-02 19:28:35	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x89a7b7…
07-02 19:28:10	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Austria	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x5d5726…
07-01 20:50:02	will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0x023c1d…
07-01 20:47:46	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	Yes	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0xdd5436…
07-01 20:47:46	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb79db1…
07-01 20:46:34	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x988f4e…
07-01 20:27:55	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	65	47¢	$31	0x3e0ab9…
07-01 20:21:31	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xc6d1a4…
07-01 20:18:38	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x97ecb5…
07-01 20:06:40	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	120	24¢	$29	0x7617d3…
07-01 17:59:43	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x84b83d…