Horrible-Strap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.56K

Unrealized P&L

-$199

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

199

Trades

399

lifetime

Volume

$29.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$27

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-09 23:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Sports

60% 52% -$3,215

Other

32% 76% +$82

Crypto

5% 33% +$812

Politics

2% 43% -$238

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI		+942	$206	2¢	$16	-$190	10-27 23:05
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+625	$20	2¢	$11	-$9	08-29 17:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Titans vs. Bengals	5	$3.9K	4,393	0	+4,393	Bengals	+$527	11-01 15:22
Giants vs. Texans	8	$2.3K	2,864	0	+2,864	Giants	-$2,320	10-25 14:10
Cardinals vs. Rams	3	$1.4K	1,605	0	+1,605	Cardinals	-$1,412	10-18 14:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	22	$1.4K	1,722	1,508	+213	Yes	+$815	05-14 22:46
Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	4	$1.3K	1,370	0	+1,370	Yes	+$70	08-26 23:03
Commanders vs. 49ers	5	$1.0K	1,287	0	+1,287	49ers	+$270	10-19 12:48
mlb ari col 2026 09 23	1	$775	1,292	0	+1,292	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$517	09-23 11:12
Korea Open: So-Hyun Park vs Robin Montgomery	4	$586	654	0	+654	So-Hyun Park	-$586	09-21 21:43
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	27	$563	3,348	1,000	+2,348	No	-$36	10-20 04:16
Chiefs vs. Dolphins	1	$542	630	0	+630	Chiefs	+$88	09-23 02:06
Celtics vs. Bucks	4	$529	608	0	+608	Celtics	+$79	11-08 15:44
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	30	$472	4,159	3,217	+942	open	—	10-27 23:05
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff	4	$426	496	0	+496	Daniil Medvedev	+$69	10-09 23:19
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves	1	$416	650	0	+650	Cincinnati Reds	-$416	09-21 20:43
wta parks yamaguc 2026 09 22	3	$397	496	0	+496	Alycia Parks	+$99	09-21 21:41
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$390	574	0	+574	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$184	10-03 18:41
Korea Open: Da-Yeon Back vs Maya Joint	1	$341	431	0	+431	Maya Joint	+$91	09-23 00:30
mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 spread home 1pt5	1	$334	522	0	+522	Tampa Bay Rays	-$334	10-13 11:54
Georgia vs. Arkansas	1	$328	343	0	+343	Georgia	+$15	09-19 12:18
Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)	3	$323	351	0	+351	Miami (FL)	+$28	10-24 15:19
Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest	2	$308	331	0	+331	Miami (FL)	+$23	09-18 20:12
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov	3	$305	348	0	+348	Carlos Alcaraz	+$43	10-03 19:00
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	1	$293	525	0	+525	New York Yankees	+$232	09-21 20:26
Bulls vs. Raptors	4	$290	362	0	+362	Raptors	+$72	10-21 22:24
Wisconsin vs. Penn State	1	$272	349	0	+349	Wisconsin	-$272	09-26 20:18
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier	3	$270	307	0	+307	Ben Shelton	+$37	10-09 03:23
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky	3	$262	382	0	+382	Chicago Sky	+$120	09-22 22:47
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	4	$226	281	0	+281	Buccaneers	-$226	10-08 22:53
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$215	204	204	+0	No	+$5	05-30 14:25
f1 australian grand prix h2h piastri vs russell 2026 03 07	3	$215	218	0	+218	Russell	+$3	03-08 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 23:19:55	Wizards vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0x9e241d…
11-09 23:19:33	Wizards vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x6d903a…
11-09 13:29:27	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xe7ae04…
11-08 15:50:06	Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	22	52¢	$12	0xb36679…
11-08 15:44:49	Celtics vs. Bucks	Celtics	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0xeaf767…
11-08 15:44:10	Celtics vs. Bucks	Celtics	BUY	83	87¢	$72	0x7950e0…
11-08 15:43:42	Celtics vs. Bucks	Celtics	BUY	166	87¢	$144	0x47e956…
11-08 15:43:09	Celtics vs. Bucks	Celtics	BUY	332	87¢	$289	0x07a49b…
11-08 01:15:10	Iowa vs. Northwestern	Iowa	BUY	71	83¢	$59	0xe8feed…
11-07 15:18:40	Rice vs. North Texas	North Texas	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0xcaa55d…
11-07 15:17:19	Rice vs. North Texas	North Texas	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0xf9348e…
11-07 15:16:36	Rice vs. North Texas	North Texas	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x3ed749…
11-07 15:15:54	Rice vs. North Texas	North Texas	BUY	65	87¢	$57	0x924d46…
11-07 15:14:09	Spread: Texas (-2.5)	Texas	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xc1a634…
11-06 13:34:58	Spurs vs. Kings	Spurs	BUY	43	90¢	$39	0xfaea1e…
11-05 23:59:00	Jaguars vs. Ravens	Jaguars	BUY	159	80¢	$127	0x621ff6…
11-05 23:54:00	Jaguars vs. Ravens	Jaguars	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0x3a947f…
11-04 12:32:25	Bucks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xb70b92…
11-04 12:31:31	Bucks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	152	83¢	$126	0x0bc39b…
11-01 15:22:55	Titans vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0xdc7f6c…
11-01 15:22:16	Titans vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	119	88¢	$105	0x530ccd…
11-01 15:21:40	Titans vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	299	88¢	$263	0x0fe809…
11-01 15:21:13	Titans vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	449	88¢	$395	0xfbe054…
11-01 15:18:19	Titans vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	3,497	88¢	$3,077	0x5c9326…
10-31 20:20:09	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0xd469bb…
10-31 15:12:04	Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan	Western Michigan	BUY	110	84¢	$92	0x7dc6ef…
10-31 15:09:39	Arizona State vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	27	87¢	$24	0xcb99c2…
10-31 15:08:52	Arizona State vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	65	87¢	$57	0x9ecaf9…
10-31 14:53:27	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc9f5ae…
10-31 14:52:04	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	67	72¢	$48	0x7c45c0…
10-30 18:11:37	Bulls vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	36	88¢	$32	0xf06198…
10-30 13:18:01	Bulls vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	90	88¢	$80	0x159e53…
10-29 11:48:11	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x4c560a…
10-27 23:05:18	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	942	3¢	$29	0x06b9f9…
10-27 22:33:17	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	2,917	3¢	$82	0xa1d630…
10-27 12:08:00	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0x7e6bd1…
10-26 12:01:24	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	32	67¢	$21	0x95d3dd…
10-26 12:00:15	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer	Jakub Mensik	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xa53988…
10-26 11:59:06	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	29	67¢	$19	0x294e11…
10-25 21:08:27	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	94	59¢	$55	0x481797…
10-25 14:10:26	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	228	81¢	$185	0xb07563…
10-25 14:09:32	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	267	81¢	$216	0xa0c3fc…
10-25 14:08:23	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	1,145	81¢	$927	0xeb7f22…
10-25 14:03:41	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcf9527…
10-25 14:03:15	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0x32c636…
10-25 14:02:24	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	1,022	81¢	$828	0x26ad6e…
10-25 14:01:14	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x801ffd…
10-25 14:00:30	Giants vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	114	81¢	$92	0x2c2c82…
10-25 13:55:18	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	22	56¢	$13	0xb9f2ac…
10-25 13:52:45	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x994ac1…
10-24 15:19:21	Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)	Miami (FL)	BUY	255	92¢	$234	0x904644…
10-24 15:17:27	Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)	Miami (FL)	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0x59f9d4…
10-24 15:16:44	Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)	Miami (FL)	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x0237de…
10-24 15:07:27	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Asaf Chopurov	BUY	69	85¢	$59	0xcb92c7…
10-24 15:07:06	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Asaf Chopurov	BUY	69	85¢	$59	0x2216fc…
10-24 15:06:44	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Asaf Chopurov	BUY	69	85¢	$59	0xbbf221…
10-23 10:53:00	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x893881…
10-23 10:52:26	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	42	77¢	$32	0x09df0b…
10-23 10:51:33	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	42	77¢	$32	0xeada08…
10-23 10:49:45	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x0b9ec3…
10-23 10:48:47	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	54	77¢	$41	0x9e8c26…
10-23 10:46:21	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x30c890…
10-22 22:36:23	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	37	50¢	$19	0xd298bd…
10-22 22:32:27	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	109	85¢	$92	0xcb272a…
10-22 22:30:15	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xdf03ac…
10-22 00:30:27	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xd09f2f…
10-21 22:24:02	Bulls vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	220	80¢	$176	0x264d20…
10-21 22:21:30	Bulls vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	47	80¢	$38	0x6d8b79…
10-21 22:21:08	Bulls vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	47	80¢	$38	0x26bad1…
10-21 22:20:47	Bulls vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	47	80¢	$38	0xe7b1c7…
10-20 12:21:33	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xf1b27f…
10-20 12:20:12	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0xd96d1e…
10-20 12:16:50	Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xf57ba1…
10-20 04:16:00	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe372a8…
10-20 04:05:39	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xb5828a…
10-20 04:05:15	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x2983c6…
10-20 03:56:05	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0x10e1a8…
10-20 03:03:05	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0xc42451…
10-20 03:01:33	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x822337…
10-19 12:48:02	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x8ba9f7…
10-18 21:38:56	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	237	79¢	$187	0xa9e4d4…
10-18 21:35:24	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	520	79¢	$411	0x9bacbc…
10-18 14:49:47	Jets vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	136	76¢	$103	0x0e2ce8…
10-18 14:40:54	Cardinals vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	1,404	88¢	$1,236	0xac1ca3…
10-18 14:35:45	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	49	52¢	$25	0xefb377…
10-18 14:24:57	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x2478cb…
10-18 14:23:24	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	62	79¢	$49	0x6822a1…
10-18 14:20:15	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	417	79¢	$329	0x31dc84…
10-18 14:18:05	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x7d553c…
10-18 14:13:08	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	105	79¢	$83	0xa8c6b2…
10-18 14:02:24	Cardinals vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0x4277a9…
10-18 14:01:30	Cardinals vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	142	88¢	$125	0x3bc09e…
10-18 13:47:42	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Cowboys	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x4c8cd0…
10-18 13:37:59	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x8c682b…
10-18 00:10:20	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa340f9…
10-17 17:33:33	Auburn vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	80	91¢	$73	0x7504b9…
10-17 16:16:08	Auburn vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	91	91¢	$83	0x7f8206…
10-16 22:31:05	atp wild kicker 2026 10 16	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	219	84¢	$184	0x29b31b…
10-16 02:59:22	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	34	69¢	$24	0xbbeb91…
10-14 12:25:23	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x7f4f59…