Tremendous-Pompom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

1,558

Trades

4,078

lifetime

Volume

$9.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-26 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

49% 50% +$55

Crypto

42% 54% -$43

Politics

5% 27% -$156

Sports

4% 40% -$18

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+3	$2	66¢	$2	+$0	10-24 21:06
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+3	$2	47¢	$2	$0	10-07 15:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	29¢	$1	$0	10-06 19:24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+2	$1	29¢	$1	$0	10-25 18:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+2	$1	24¢	$0	-$1	10-24 21:07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+9	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	10-07 15:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$100	216	216	+0	No	-$60	05-24 05:29
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$100	156	0	+156	Yes	+$56	04-26 20:04
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	13	$94	158	74	+84	Karmine Corp	+$4	05-24 20:05
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$93	152	0	+152	Yes	+$59	05-07 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$88	89	39	+49	Up	+$4	04-25 19:54
wnba min sea 2026 07 22	44	$76	49	45	+4	Minnesota Lynx	+$0	07-22 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$71	94	0	+94	Up	+$20	04-25 19:58
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$70	85	0	+85	No	+$15	05-15 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	24	$65	78	68	+10	Down	-$5	05-17 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	21	$65	94	44	+50	Down	-$1	05-17 19:28
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	11	$60	47	44	+3	EDward Gaming	+$6	05-24 10:55
atp fearnle kozlov 2026 07 09	10	$59	36	36	+0	Jacob Fearnley	+$1	07-10 17:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$58	114	114	+0	No	-$22	05-27 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	6	$56	181	0	+181	Up	-$56	05-09 13:54
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$52	32	32	+0	Spirit	+$12	05-17 14:52
mlb oak ari 2026 07 21 total 10pt5	33	$51	70	55	+15	Over	+$8	07-21 20:01
atp royer daniel 2026 07 10	13	$51	33	33	+0	Valentin Royer	+$15	07-10 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$50	97	0	+97	Down	-$50	05-01 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	15	$45	55	55	+0	Up	+$1	05-20 10:22
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	12	$45	51	34	+18	KOLESIE	-$7	05-26 20:06
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$45	54	0	+54	Up	+$9	04-25 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	10	$45	46	31	+15	Down	-$9	05-26 11:30
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$42	55	18	+37	Down	$0	04-30 14:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 9?	11	$41	35	35	+0	Yes	+$3	08-09 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	21	$41	562	39	+523	Down	-$4	05-17 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$41	50	0	+50	Up	+$9	05-09 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$41	83	0	+83	Down	-$41	05-09 20:54
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	7	$40	62	19	+42	Up	-$21	05-01 08:50
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$40	61	0	+61	Yes	+$21	05-04 09:53
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	16	$38	38	38	+0	Eternal Fire	-$2	05-27 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:12:02	Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2cb10…
10-26 17:01:27	Beitar Jerusalem FC vs. Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8164cc…
10-26 17:01:14	Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x177766…
10-26 17:00:51	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3c90ce…
10-26 17:00:42	Maccabi Haifa FC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x5fe405…
10-26 17:00:33	Maccabi Haifa FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xab9366…
10-26 16:59:51	Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x46fc90…
10-25 20:02:54	Browns vs. Titans	Titans	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3465f6…
10-25 20:02:29	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbeb548…
10-25 19:23:11	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf7bd32…
10-25 18:31:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1748e0…
10-25 17:50:39	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbff035…
10-25 17:50:15	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd54ed5…
10-25 17:49:54	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x57892c…
10-24 21:07:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2ca075…
10-24 21:06:30	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8749ea…
10-24 21:06:12	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x13d0d4…
10-24 18:43:30	Will KVC Westerlo win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xca5b10…
10-23 20:44:36	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x894395…
10-23 20:17:45	Vitória SC vs. CS Marítimo: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9a65c3…
10-23 20:17:23	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa89d89…
10-23 20:16:48	Cali: Valerio Aboian vs Miguel Tobon	Miguel Tobon	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5a2d04…
10-23 20:16:27	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xde9072…
10-23 20:13:47	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xed188a…
10-23 20:12:47	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x2fd409…
10-23 20:12:42	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xf43470…
10-18 18:24:23	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3fab8a…
10-18 18:24:03	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2e013a…
10-18 18:21:51	Racing Club vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf02115…
10-15 22:30:40	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	FURIA	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3cd4b9…
10-15 20:54:51	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe2f8ae…
10-15 20:36:32	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	FURIA	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa6d919…
10-15 20:36:14	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xd20b68…
10-15 20:11:05	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1c5df1…
10-15 20:10:16	wta olmo masarov 2026 10 15	Rebeka Masarova	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x63f392…
10-15 20:10:04	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xcb86f3…
10-15 20:06:38	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x10562c…
10-15 20:06:17	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	Legacy	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x42b67c…
10-15 20:05:52	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x42f945…
10-15 19:27:22	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	Legacy	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x058aa7…
10-15 19:24:17	Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3cc856…
10-15 19:23:37	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0ed1b1…
10-15 19:23:13	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xef13ce…
10-15 16:15:08	Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x32fefc…
10-15 16:14:44	wta olmo masarov 2026 10 15	Rebeka Masarova	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf0e491…
10-15 16:14:32	Maia: Tristan Boyer vs Vilius Gaubas	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2fb1d6…
10-14 20:07:19	FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AEK: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x507a24…
10-14 20:07:15	AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8ad966…
10-14 19:42:09	AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x33623a…
10-14 19:35:07	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x26711a…
10-14 19:34:57	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x495f9c…
10-14 19:34:28	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x1ec876…
10-14 19:18:25	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x0d9c5a…
10-14 19:18:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5e5d80…
10-14 19:14:24	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3be1b2…
10-14 19:13:18	Portsmouth FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf5c2f6…
10-14 19:12:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb56a8f…
10-14 19:07:00	Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7366d5…
10-14 19:06:40	FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AEK: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbc541b…
10-11 20:30:51	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x9351d6…
10-11 20:29:48	Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x2b7771…
10-11 20:27:21	Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb4f031…
10-11 19:55:07	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9f26da…
10-11 19:54:58	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x182d2e…
10-11 19:54:37	CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x49cc30…
10-11 19:37:22	Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x09c2e2…
10-11 19:18:24	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x94f2da…
10-11 19:17:25	CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5b1d90…
10-11 17:58:43	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb0e9f5…
10-09 19:17:34	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x831339…
10-09 19:17:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x9834e1…
10-09 19:11:17	Palermo: Massimo Giunta vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x65a5fc…
10-09 18:43:53	Palermo: Massimo Giunta vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe6a825…
10-09 18:43:25	Will Pau FC vs. Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x38d09b…
10-09 18:42:26	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7c7c3e…
10-09 18:42:11	Palermo: Massimo Giunta vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf75043…
10-09 18:41:56	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x788bde…
10-07 20:39:11	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc86578…
10-07 20:38:51	LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	G2 NORD	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc31784…
10-07 20:38:42	Palermo: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Massimo Giunta	Massimo Giunta	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5c7277…
10-07 20:20:20	Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4bd435…
10-07 20:19:02	Palermo: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Massimo Giunta	Massimo Giunta	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7300d5…
10-07 20:09:28	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2b901e…
10-07 20:09:05	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe816f7…
10-07 19:57:19	LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	G2 NORD	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2fdcd9…
10-07 19:56:29	Palermo: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Massimo Giunta	Massimo Giunta	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd906d3…
10-07 15:56:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8bcdf9…
10-07 15:55:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x194068…
10-06 20:55:41	Will Belarus win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd4f30f…
10-06 19:28:06	Will Belarus vs. Finland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfab2ca…
10-06 19:27:09	Will Belarus win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfa479b…
10-06 19:24:17	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8b8c3c…
10-06 19:24:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xffbb7b…
10-06 19:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xac62a3…
10-03 00:01:02	Londrina EC vs. Criciúma EC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3c1986…
10-02 23:36:12	Londrina EC vs. Criciúma EC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x40b6ec…
10-02 23:35:36	Londrina EC vs. Criciúma EC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9c2abb…
10-02 22:51:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0ea403…
10-02 22:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfa5d9c…
09-24 19:30:03	Netherlands vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xcf18d1…