Variable-Detective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$231

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-02 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$1

Politics

47% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$2.4K	1,301	1,301	+0	open	—	03-19 10:46
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	3	$2.4K	1,235	1,235	+0	open	—	03-19 10:57
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$143	1,275	1,274	+1	No	$-0	03-19 09:59
will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$99	659	659	+0	open	—	03-19 08:54
cs2 mibra paina 2026 03 18 game2	1	$78	140	0	+140	open	—	03-18 10:27
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 total 2pt5	2	$71	260	0	+260	open	—	03-18 10:01
nba okc bkn 2026 03 18	2	$47	49	0	+49	open	—	03-18 09:47
cbb hawaii ark 2026 03 19	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	03-19 16:54
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team total home 0pt5	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	07-02 06:00
Spread: Spurs (-24.5)	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 06:23
Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	05-29 11:34
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)	1	$18	19	0	+19	Al Ahli Saudi Club	+$1	05-11 01:59
Dundee United FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 5.5	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	05-12 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 06:00:50	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xa69cb9…
06-03 06:23:49	Spread: Spurs (-24.5)	Knicks	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x88d9da…
05-29 11:34:20	Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x89c8eb…
05-12 13:32:46	Dundee United FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xdfa1fe…
05-11 01:59:44	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x8ca5a7…
03-19 16:54:45	cbb hawaii ark 2026 03 19	Arkansas Razorbacks	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xa62a93…
03-19 10:57:15	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	No	SELL	1,235	96¢	$1,186	0xc5fe83…
03-19 10:51:47	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	No	BUY	1,024	96¢	$983	0x1378b8…
03-19 10:51:47	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	No	BUY	211	96¢	$203	0x0c9aee…
03-19 10:46:01	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	1,301	92¢	$1,202	0x115c23…
03-19 10:35:59	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	1,301	92¢	$1,197	0xd438cc…
03-19 09:59:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	811	6¢	$45	0xd6bbe1…
03-19 09:59:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	463	6¢	$26	0x0d1497…
03-19 09:49:17	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	243	6¢	$14	0x17e7fa…
03-19 09:49:17	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,032	6¢	$58	0x029045…
03-19 08:54:33	will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	659	7¢	$49	0xa82d68…
03-19 08:48:13	will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	659	8¢	$50	0x810c19…
03-18 10:27:47	cs2 mibra paina 2026 03 18 game2	paiN Academy	BUY	140	56¢	$78	0x1d1dc4…
03-18 10:01:27	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	251	27¢	$68	0xf84e14…
03-18 10:01:27	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xc6c99c…
03-18 09:47:27	nba okc bkn 2026 03 18	Thunder	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x43e2f1…
03-18 09:39:39	cbb hawaii ark 2026 03 19	Arkansas Razorbacks	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x77d7d1…
03-18 09:21:13	nba okc bkn 2026 03 18	Thunder	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xc59f80…