Rough-Outcome — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

3,484

Trades

9,244

lifetime

Volume

$54.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 11-06 01:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$875

Sports

0% 0% -$143

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:45 UTC	39	$1.4K	873	873	+0	Up	+$35	10-05 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:10 UTC	21	$974	754	754	+0	Down	+$78	10-05 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:30 UTC	7	$831	490	490	+0	Down	+$51	10-05 04:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:55 UTC	3	$829	438	438	+0	Up	+$29	10-05 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	19	$710	500	500	+0	Up	+$260	10-05 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:25 UTC	19	$680	579	579	+0	Down	+$124	10-05 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	6	$670	508	508	+0	Up	+$20	10-06 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC	2	$660	678	0	+678	Down	-$3	10-05 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	24	$654	443	443	+0	Up	+$33	10-05 02:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:40 UTC	28	$649	582	582	+0	Up	+$49	10-05 02:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:00 UTC	33	$533	643	478	+165	Up	+$54	04-24 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$478	392	392	+0	Up	+$78	10-02 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	36	$478	419	419	+0	Down	+$58	10-06 02:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:25 UTC	25	$443	2,392	283	+2,109	Up	-$3	04-24 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:50 UTC	9	$427	795	300	+495	Down	-$156	10-05 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	5	$427	240	240	+0	Up	+$27	10-05 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:15 UTC	4	$415	875	212	+663	Down	+$1	10-05 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:45 UTC	16	$397	617	305	+312	Down	+$17	04-22 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$367	463	463	+0	Down	+$167	10-05 02:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:30 UTC	4	$339	302	197	+105	Up	+$37	10-04 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	7	$325	2,414	0	+2,414	Down	-$325	10-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	10	$308	172	169	+3	Down	-$2	10-28 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:25 UTC	1	$300	310	0	+310	Up	+$10	10-04 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 03:55 UTC	25	$299	401	300	+101	Up	+$39	04-21 04:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:55 UTC	4	$288	254	245	+9	Down	+$30	04-22 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:05 UTC	17	$288	330	293	+37	Down	+$41	04-22 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:05 UTC	18	$285	380	0	+380	Down	-$285	10-05 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	10	$272	441	241	+200	Up	+$7	10-05 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:55 UTC	29	$270	500	0	+500	Down	-$270	10-05 03:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	14	$265	163	163	+0	Up	+$12	10-05 03:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 01:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7777b7…
11-06 01:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xf5ebde…
11-06 01:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x96b4e3…
11-02 03:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xe190ea…
11-02 03:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2c5ff7…
10-30 05:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0feabb…
10-30 05:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x3af2f3…
10-30 05:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe3ff8c…
10-30 04:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x8482d8…
10-29 02:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xfa11bd…
10-29 02:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf00b0e…
10-29 02:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xd58197…
10-29 02:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9c5d3b…
10-29 02:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0x70d2f1…
10-29 02:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6e58bd…
10-29 02:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x546ffc…
10-29 02:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x3a100f…
10-29 02:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x34ccfd…
10-29 02:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	62	35¢	$22	0x1688ce…
10-29 02:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x8d70bf…
10-28 02:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x7ae397…
10-28 02:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x161b3b…
10-28 02:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd4e3ba…
10-28 02:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x75f8c6…
10-28 02:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x478b62…
10-28 02:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xefe591…
10-28 01:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xad94ac…
10-28 01:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	191	35¢	$67	0xa2a4a4…
10-28 01:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4249e1…
10-28 01:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d4455…
10-28 01:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	163	91¢	$148	0x1a321b…
10-28 01:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0xe6e829…
10-28 01:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4be80b…
10-28 01:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x28d66d…
10-28 01:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xe9685d…
10-28 01:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x0800bc…
10-28 01:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8c0e2d…
10-28 01:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x85c380…
10-28 01:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x524622…
10-28 01:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2f03b1…
10-26 00:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	57	55¢	$31	0x8c1331…
10-26 00:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x46dd01…
10-26 00:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x4e4778…
10-26 00:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x3ee120…
10-26 00:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb266a7…
10-26 00:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5a6e81…
10-26 00:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	87¢	$28	0x5d3a16…
10-26 00:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x7e7425…
10-09 01:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x845f6b…
10-09 01:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfd64f1…
10-09 01:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x028f30…
10-08 02:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe18b93…
10-08 02:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x084a8b…
10-06 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe20f9a…
10-06 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xde733e…
10-06 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9102c5…
10-06 03:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x38e8b5…
10-06 03:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x41682a…
10-06 03:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	290	52¢	$150	0x1f09bd…
10-06 03:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc3e8a9…
10-06 03:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x72447b…
10-06 03:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8b191b…
10-06 03:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	594	25¢	$150	0xf2d9be…
10-06 03:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x793814…
10-06 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8e18d2…
10-06 03:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0x9ca1e8…
10-06 03:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	161	96¢	$155	0x83022d…
10-06 03:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	74	2¢	$1	0xc5ddf5…
10-06 03:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0xda9988…
10-06 03:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x175a1d…
10-06 03:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	273	69¢	$188	0x3b0016…
10-06 03:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	273	55¢	$150	0x1ca9d4…
10-06 02:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x3a364b…
10-06 02:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd7e137…
10-06 02:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x76b0f7…
10-06 02:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0x2efb58…
10-06 02:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7f0bcb…
10-06 02:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd604f0…
10-06 02:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x92e687…
10-06 02:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0x1cba4b…
10-06 02:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0xab0137…
10-06 02:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	24	65¢	$16	0x6ced3b…
10-06 02:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x4c1aeb…
10-06 02:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x1ef09a…
10-06 02:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xfca484…
10-06 02:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x5aaa1e…
10-06 02:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x4f4ffd…
10-06 02:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4d0b94…
10-06 02:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x109145…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xfec807…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	60	65¢	$39	0xfdf9b9…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xf1b85a…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0xe432aa…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xde6e05…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xdbe034…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	57	65¢	$37	0xa82ff2…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	65¢	$15	0xa0f6fe…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	60	65¢	$39	0xa06cf1…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x83c5a1…
10-06 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x80bac5…