Intent-Pomegranate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

620

Trades

1,763

lifetime

Volume

$39.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-26 01:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

87% 37% +$3,508

Sports

8% 32% -$803

Pop-Culture

3% 44% -$482

Crypto

2% 43% -$73

Politics

0% 67% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	12	$985	2,099	2,099	+0	No	+$681	03-10 15:41
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	5	$946	1,016	1,016	+0	Yes	+$882	03-22 09:42
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	3	$908	760	760	+0	Yes	+$598	04-06 18:23
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	4	$779	642	642	+0	Yes	+$503	04-11 17:26
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	9	$764	1,047	821	+225	Yes	+$177	03-30 15:47
will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 4	5	$702	388	388	+0	Yes	+$70	03-11 12:25
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	3	$692	754	720	+35	Yes	+$606	04-24 10:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	3	$678	380	380	+0	No	+$78	04-07 05:50
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	1	$600	977	0	+977	Yes	+$377	04-12 14:58
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	6	$590	875	134	+740	Yes	+$226	04-23 18:37
will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	4	$556	467	467	+0	Yes	+$376	03-16 06:22
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	9	$535	636	636	+0	No	+$36	03-01 16:21
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	2	$525	326	326	+0	No	+$125	05-03 16:55
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1 212	4	$488	1,549	1,549	+0	No	+$168	03-24 23:42
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 75m and 80m	20	$483	2,244	234	+2,010	No	-$179	03-23 12:06
will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 62 million views on day 3	2	$450	250	250	+0	No	+$50	03-24 14:23
will mrbeasts next video get 67 million or more views on day 5	2	$425	225	225	+0	Yes	+$25	03-12 04:10
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	3	$405	265	260	+6	Yes	+$110	04-27 15:20
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	3	$400	580	0	+580	No	+$180	05-01 16:20
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$395	307	307	+0	No	-$45	05-11 19:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 65 and 68 million views on day 3	13	$392	2,340	0	+2,340	No	-$392	03-24 07:41
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	6	$376	663	645	+18	No	-$226	04-25 06:56
will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	4	$373	314	314	+0	Yes	+$109	03-23 12:20
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	8	$361	1,568	1,568	+0	No	-$342	05-03 15:44
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be between 5m and 6m	10	$352	696	696	+0	No	+$160	03-30 15:46
will kanye release bully by march 27	6	$340	1,025	0	+1,025	No	-$340	03-28 05:37
76ers vs. Celtics	8	$337	380	222	+158	76ers	+$107	04-29 02:12
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	4	$331	1,057	1,016	+41	No	-$143	04-26 15:13
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	4	$320	469	0	+469	Warriors	-$320	04-16 04:38
will mrbeasts next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4	12	$312	1,354	0	+1,354	Yes	+$1,042	03-25 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 01:37:32	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	SELL	318	1¢	$4	0xe339fb…
10-24 16:32:59	Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xc5cfc0…
10-24 16:32:33	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xe62701…
10-24 16:18:21	Will The Black Ball win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	81	15¢	$12	0x967162…
10-24 16:17:56	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x18fde7…
10-23 17:12:12	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0xd79712…
10-23 17:11:42	Will "Clayface" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x6110ed…
10-23 16:48:20	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xaabaf7…
10-23 16:48:15	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	108	10¢	$11	0x544472…
10-22 21:55:36	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x494b66…
10-22 00:14:00	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf30420…
10-22 00:13:48	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x8cf827…
10-21 20:50:48	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $11M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0xee30d9…
10-21 19:35:11	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	87	8¢	$7	0x7160c3…
10-21 17:09:36	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	BUY	102	6¢	$6	0x57f249…
10-21 17:09:18	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x755407…
10-21 17:07:08	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x2ce8d8…
10-21 17:06:50	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x58a0f5…
10-21 15:50:32	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $11M?	No	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0x89fdbc…
10-21 15:02:59	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x338404…
10-21 15:01:42	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0xdeb6e3…
10-21 15:01:18	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2b24b5…
10-21 14:55:02	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x401ce0…
10-21 14:53:39	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $11M?	No	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0x2e834c…
10-21 14:50:17	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x3110c0…
10-20 18:33:00	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x0b5e43…
10-20 18:32:39	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x10c217…
10-20 17:09:08	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	81	23¢	$18	0xfe2d63…
10-20 17:07:48	Will "Wildwood" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x2cabaf…
10-20 02:16:47	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$7	0x4f696c…
10-20 02:15:41	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2bff47…
10-20 02:12:53	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3d6e4e…
10-19 18:48:26	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x6d911e…
10-19 16:13:41	Will The Black Ball win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	158	15¢	$24	0x3bed28…
10-19 03:59:32	Will The Black Ball win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0x1c7f5a…
10-19 03:58:30	Will Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xbe7f8d…
10-18 21:51:11	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	33	26¢	$9	0x0dade8…
10-16 17:24:56	Will "Whalefall" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x0107a3…
10-15 22:17:20	Will "Whalefall" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x07d6d7…
10-15 20:50:59	Will "Whalefall" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x757b4d…
10-15 04:27:38	will street fighter score at least 40 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261019	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbc060f…
10-15 04:27:01	will whalefall score at least 78 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xbacede…
10-12 22:42:39	Will "Street Fighter" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x15feff…
10-12 22:41:33	will godzilla minus zero score at least 96 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3d560e…
10-12 22:41:27	will godzilla minus zero score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xef50b3…
10-12 22:39:50	will clayface score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5540d1…
10-12 22:31:09	will clayface score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcffdc3…
10-12 22:30:44	will wildwood score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfc5337…
10-11 17:45:42	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	43	13¢	$5	0x7554de…
10-11 17:45:21	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x6881f1…
10-11 00:39:25	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x4c1a4a…
10-09 19:55:34	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xa29569…
10-09 00:51:27	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa81319…
10-09 00:42:06	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe4e00e…
10-09 00:41:39	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xee91bd…
10-07 14:11:01	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	33	59¢	$19	0x0cac86…
10-07 14:10:17	Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe96d0b…
10-06 13:16:33	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x12c728…
10-06 04:50:00	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x111db3…
10-06 04:48:48	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	No	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xc9cb6f…
10-01 01:23:06	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?	No	SELL	83	18¢	$15	0x930ccd…
09-30 04:56:20	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?	No	BUY	48	28¢	$13	0xc05740…
09-30 04:51:48	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xb8e5eb…
09-29 14:11:48	will sense and sensibility score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261019	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x1d2db6…
09-29 14:10:14	Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf76af0…
09-29 14:09:41	Will "Verity" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xaba882…
09-20 18:03:55	Jaguars vs. Broncos	Jaguars	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xe7b44d…
09-20 18:01:49	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x086585…
09-20 18:01:43	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x4e3e1d…
09-20 17:55:16	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x35be97…
09-20 17:49:33	Will "Heart of the Beast" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xa57e79…
09-20 17:49:24	Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x34e4c7…
09-14 14:50:28	Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xff3471…
09-14 14:49:57	Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xeb02bb…
09-14 14:48:57	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x6d167d…
09-14 14:48:43	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	85	50¢	$43	0xd7f74f…
09-14 14:48:10	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x28bea9…
09-14 14:47:48	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x96f4d9…
09-14 14:47:40	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x9f0d46…
09-14 14:45:45	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xb77e4b…
09-12 23:37:28	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x23ae4f…
09-12 23:36:43	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	42¢	$14	0x9fc822…
09-08 23:21:27	Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xeee16c…
09-08 23:21:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xfeaf45…
09-08 17:14:04	Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4ecfc9…
09-08 17:13:42	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8d219a…
09-08 17:06:00	Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x205d16…
09-06 06:17:06	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x02caa3…
09-06 06:16:40	Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x4e99cd…
09-06 04:20:22	Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	111	20¢	$22	0xd11efe…
08-17 15:30:28	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xde9cf1…
08-17 15:29:37	Will La Bola Negra win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	67	10¢	$7	0x74f71a…
08-17 15:28:25	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x193eed…
08-17 15:27:51	Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0xb654e3…
08-14 23:24:18	Will La Bola Negra win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa83549…
08-14 23:23:54	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x940933…
08-14 05:22:06	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7ebbaf…
08-14 05:21:49	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x865ba4…
08-12 18:23:55	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?	Yes	BUY	39	22¢	$9	0x9b39ed…
08-12 18:23:22	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0xc4cfc3…