Talkative-Epoch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$691

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

1,549

Trades

3,814

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-06 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 88% -$57

Other

12% 80% -$334

Politics

2% 33% -$294

Sports

0% 50% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$271	434	0	+434	Yes	-$271	06-14 20:23
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	6	$222	130	130	+0	Yes	+$19	07-07 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:50 UTC	4	$222	230	0	+230	Down	+$8	07-19 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:45 UTC	3	$212	227	0	+227	Down	+$15	07-19 17:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?	2	$209	106	106	+0	Yes	+$3	07-01 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:40 UTC	2	$200	213	0	+213	Down	+$13	07-19 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$200	208	0	+208	Down	+$8	07-19 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?	2	$199	104	104	+0	Yes	+$8	07-01 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:35 UTC	2	$195	236	236	+0	Down	-$163	07-19 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:30 UTC	1	$190	194	0	+194	Up	+$4	07-19 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?	2	$189	97	97	+0	Yes	+$3	07-01 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 6?	2	$180	110	110	+0	No	+$40	07-06 08:00
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$164	401	0	+401	Spain	-$164	07-19 19:41
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?	4	$159	202	0	+202	No	-$159	07-09 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:15 UTC	4	$157	170	108	+62	Down	-$24	07-17 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:10 UTC	2	$135	144	0	+144	Up	+$9	07-19 17:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:20 UTC	2	$125	170	0	+170	Up	+$45	07-19 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:05 UTC	2	$121	136	0	+136	Up	+$15	07-19 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:00 UTC	4	$112	117	0	+117	Up	+$5	07-18 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 2?	1	$111	128	0	+128	No	-$111	07-02 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:00 UTC	3	$110	118	0	+118	Up	-$110	07-19 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 16:25 UTC	3	$109	125	0	+125	Down	+$16	07-19 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:40 UTC	3	$107	110	0	+110	Down	+$3	07-18 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 8?	2	$106	120	0	+120	Yes	+$14	07-08 06:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:10 UTC	3	$106	116	0	+116	Down	+$10	07-18 23:14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 1?	1	$106	111	0	+111	Yes	+$6	07-01 22:43
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?	2	$106	56	56	+0	Yes	+$6	08-01 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?	2	$105	117	0	+117	Yes	+$12	07-07 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:25 UTC	2	$105	109	0	+109	Up	+$4	07-18 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:35 UTC	2	$103	125	0	+125	Down	+$22	07-18 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 17:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x9b2fa1…
10-06 17:19:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xfac74c…
10-06 17:08:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xebfafd…
10-06 17:02:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x065326…
10-06 17:01:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf4ac24…
10-06 16:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8909aa…
10-06 16:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xafb727…
10-01 17:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x5f8991…
10-01 13:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd542b7…
10-01 13:54:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x267ebc…
10-01 13:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd01643…
10-01 13:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x5049c3…
10-01 13:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe0bf60…
10-01 13:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x839e03…
10-01 04:57:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0f89d2…
10-01 04:57:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x123bad…
10-01 04:57:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4813ae…
10-01 04:57:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4a9f33…
10-01 04:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x0d2506…
10-01 01:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xd10178…
10-01 01:14:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6bcf6c…
10-01 01:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x462c65…
10-01 01:13:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb89e65…
10-01 00:14:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x24d535…
09-30 18:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x53f30c…
09-30 18:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x24ba6a…
09-30 16:28:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x79acdb…
09-30 16:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x77f7a1…
09-30 16:23:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9958e2…
09-30 16:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xdbcfc5…
09-30 16:14:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb4e083…
09-30 16:14:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3038df…
09-30 16:12:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7b434e…
09-30 06:08:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x28b0f9…
09-30 06:08:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7ddfd6…
09-30 06:08:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x01d0b1…
09-27 14:59:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x605e6e…
09-27 14:57:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7bb009…
09-27 14:53:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x2ff302…
09-26 16:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0fd114…
09-26 16:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xde0215…
09-26 16:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2c22e4…
09-23 18:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x139f3f…
09-18 20:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x10118c…
09-18 20:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x919acf…
09-17 13:58:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x273347…
09-16 16:53:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x8090ea…
09-16 16:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe4cabd…
09-16 15:58:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xd7574a…
09-16 15:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb63ce5…
09-16 15:28:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x942269…
09-16 15:18:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x53940c…
09-16 12:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb438e…
09-16 12:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63ddbb…
09-16 12:04:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x394d0a…
09-16 12:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x490abc…
09-16 11:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9311aa…
09-14 17:53:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x79e0ad…
09-14 17:53:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2a6da5…
09-14 14:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcd17ce…
09-14 10:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x57207d…
09-14 10:44:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x40aef7…
09-14 10:43:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd35e3a…
09-14 10:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x0a7d19…
09-13 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xe33bf1…
09-13 05:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x28baba…
09-12 18:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd3da03…
09-12 18:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf56167…
09-12 18:43:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0f66aa…
09-12 18:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x87ec40…
09-12 18:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4f0f8c…
09-12 18:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x752a8c…
09-12 18:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x99c3fc…
09-07 11:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd5895e…
09-07 11:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x80dabd…
09-07 11:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x437d10…
09-07 11:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2db0a3…
09-07 11:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa36695…
09-07 11:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xe674a5…
09-07 11:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x218afb…
09-06 23:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7b7ca…
09-06 23:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4538ce…
09-06 23:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b5f7d…
09-06 23:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x50404a…
09-06 23:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe25bd1…
09-06 23:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8abb6b…
09-06 23:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaaefbb…
09-06 23:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf3c94c…
09-06 10:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x17c429…
09-06 10:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcb07a2…
09-06 10:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x65b0ed…
09-06 07:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a816b…
09-06 07:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x13e19c…
09-06 07:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5c4f0d…
09-06 07:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xce968a…
09-06 06:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x68f337…
09-06 06:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf26d66…
09-06 06:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0ad9cc…
09-06 06:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeb3a6e…
09-06 06:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xbe2be2…