Sturdy-Author — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$314

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-30 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 42% $-4

Other

1% 0% $-3

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-11	$-1	4¢	$-0	+$0	05-30 23:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776860700	5	$21	48	0	+48	open	—	04-22 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$20	50	50	+0	Down	+$18	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$15	14	8	+6	Down	$-5	05-13 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	11	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	6	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	7	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	7	$7	7	5	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	6	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$6	8	6	+2	Up	$-0	05-10 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$5	8	3	+5	Up	$-1	05-09 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$5	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$4	26	6	+20	Up	$-2	05-13 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$4	5	4	+2	Down	$-0	05-05 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$4	7	2	+5	open	—	05-04 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$4	8	5	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$4	6	3	+3	Up	$-0	05-05 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$4	22	5	+17	Down	$-0	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 23:17:58	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x132349…
05-16 22:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x3a63cb…
05-16 22:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcea401…
05-14 16:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x58cab7…
05-14 15:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x542175…
05-14 15:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x35da42…
05-14 15:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x89d933…
05-13 22:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5f7ee4…
05-13 22:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcc10f4…
05-13 22:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcd5bd3…
05-13 22:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa9c732…
05-13 22:15:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1f296f…
05-13 22:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe445a0…
05-13 22:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9359e1…
05-13 22:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd77cdb…
05-13 22:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x68dc9e…
05-13 22:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xee8690…
05-13 22:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa6f8a4…
05-13 21:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x760253…
05-13 21:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x348b4d…
05-13 21:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x140379…
05-13 21:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x55fade…
05-13 21:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xff8069…
05-13 21:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x8e94aa…
05-13 21:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd8141b…
05-13 10:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbc283c…
05-13 10:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x767248…
05-10 18:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc2137d…
05-10 18:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xa303b8…
05-10 18:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe3bcd5…
05-10 18:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xaeb250…
05-10 18:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x734311…
05-09 17:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x20910f…
05-09 17:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xf6324f…
05-09 17:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xffa5cd…
05-09 17:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x982aaf…
05-09 17:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xcb48e2…
05-09 17:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x201de6…
05-09 17:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0dbf07…
05-09 02:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x25a8fb…
05-09 02:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x8afc13…
05-09 02:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x89125b…
05-09 02:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x204a43…
05-09 02:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xff3549…
05-09 02:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3fc0e2…
05-09 02:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5ee72d…
05-09 01:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xee8760…
05-09 01:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x557d4a…
05-09 01:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xbdc495…
05-09 01:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1bca19…
05-09 01:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$2	0x83385a…
05-09 01:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf24874…
05-09 01:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x63963d…
05-09 01:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x910df1…
05-07 15:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x450d4d…
05-07 15:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5e56ce…
05-06 23:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xab30dc…
05-06 23:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf73ffd…
05-06 23:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x16e76f…
05-06 23:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x1f6ff7…
05-06 23:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xa3a1cd…
05-06 23:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5e1800…
05-06 23:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdf6b22…
05-06 17:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9f5d9d…
05-06 17:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3b5a7c…
05-06 17:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xdceaee…
05-06 17:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9a958e…
05-06 17:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0e8a3e…
05-06 17:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9f8510…
05-06 13:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf5df65…
05-06 13:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x93b998…
05-06 13:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xe3a1ae…
05-06 13:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbbfdf1…
05-06 13:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x0ce923…
05-06 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2e2503…
05-06 13:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x9552e7…
05-06 13:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x24b8f0…
05-06 13:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd28f4a…
05-06 13:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb00a89…
05-06 02:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x36d9aa…
05-06 01:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4c6bb1…
05-06 01:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xab5114…
05-06 01:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc05d02…
05-06 01:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe247fb…
05-06 01:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f3460…
05-06 01:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x6f4007…
05-06 01:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2919ef…
05-06 01:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x257187…
05-06 01:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbfb1b3…
05-06 01:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xc43d61…
05-06 01:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x729791…
05-05 23:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd8386f…
05-05 23:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x14a09a…
05-05 23:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4152a0…
05-05 23:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd6eb94…
05-05 23:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa68768…
05-05 21:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xad8b11…
05-05 21:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbcbc1c…
05-05 21:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x4e54a7…
05-05 21:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc63f0d…