Scratchy-Servant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

3,244

Trades

12,879

lifetime

Volume

$143.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-20 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 21% -$7,016

Politics

26% 24% -$211

Other

2% 11% -$1,621

Sports

1% 6% -$186

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	18	$23.5K	32,051	32,051	+0	Yes	+$1,203	02-28 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 02:40 UTC	229	$2.2K	2,281	2,167	+114	Down	-$27	02-18 02:46
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	20	$1.9K	51,137	51,137	+0	No	-$1,079	01-29 15:55
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	10	$1.6K	1,783	1,783	+0	Yes	+$1,365	02-28 10:04
will germany strike iran by march 31	11	$1.4K	17,864	17,864	+0	No	-$336	03-14 01:30
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	32	$1.1K	18,621	18,621	+0	No	-$109	02-09 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 02:30 UTC	86	$1.1K	1,120	836	+284	Up	-$54	02-18 02:35
will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	30	$996	21,631	21,631	+0	No	-$460	01-22 01:07
will france strike iran by march 31	21	$898	8,912	8,912	+0	No	-$41	03-19 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:25 UTC	5	$842	797	790	+7	Up	+$402	02-15 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:20 UTC	22	$762	552	546	+6	Down	+$34	02-17 15:24
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	3	$696	1,088	1,088	+0	No	+$326	01-14 19:03
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$672	6,148	6,148	+0	No	-$168	02-19 15:57
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$666	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$160	03-02 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 17:35 UTC	9	$649	563	560	+3	Up	+$462	02-14 17:40
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	6	$643	31,283	31,283	+0	No	-$319	02-05 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 20:35 UTC	18	$595	1,000	500	+500	Down	+$395	02-15 20:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	6	$553	31,938	31,938	+0	No	-$361	01-31 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$548	533	533	+0	Down	+$508	05-30 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:15 UTC	12	$545	1,000	500	+500	Up	+$445	02-15 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 02:30 UTC	16	$545	1,000	500	+500	Up	+$445	02-15 02:35
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 02:25 UTC	32	$512	789	469	+320	Up	+$197	03-19 02:29
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 4pm et	8	$487	495	493	+2	Down	+$349	03-17 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:00 UTC	49	$477	774	313	+461	Up	+$109	02-16 01:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 02:15 UTC	3	$476	800	400	+400	Down	+$316	02-15 02:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 17:00 UTC	23	$476	800	400	+400	Down	+$316	02-15 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 19:15 UTC	8	$475	471	466	+4	Up	+$239	02-14 19:20
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	4	$451	21,071	7,889	+13,182	No	-$203	02-07 00:03
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 22:30 UTC	41	$430	721	462	+258	Up	+$311	03-18 22:34
nba dal orl 2026 03 05	7	$409	1,429	429	+1,000	Magic	+$319	03-06 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 04:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xe80d2c…
09-20 04:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x82ca00…
09-20 04:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0xadfafe…
09-20 04:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	59	91¢	$54	0x2aee24…
09-20 03:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x91daff…
09-20 03:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x0f92dd…
09-20 03:54:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x90d0de…
09-20 03:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x3199e1…
09-20 03:44:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xf557ee…
09-20 03:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x8eb26d…
09-20 03:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0xb24c08…
09-20 03:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xf0a3e9…
09-20 03:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x781d0e…
09-20 03:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x500ea1…
09-20 03:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x38d64a…
09-20 03:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x29e7b1…
09-20 01:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x02adbd…
09-20 01:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0x0f427c…
09-20 01:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0xa67d3e…
09-20 01:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xdd45ca…
09-20 01:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xf17bb8…
09-20 01:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x346c3b…
09-20 01:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0xc507a8…
09-20 01:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9401e2…
09-20 01:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x48acc2…
09-20 01:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xdb88a3…
09-20 01:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x356fe0…
09-20 01:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xfbc7f2…
09-20 01:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfa3883…
09-20 01:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x79f3a3…
09-20 01:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x55dd5f…
09-20 01:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2600c2…
09-20 01:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x10f188…
09-20 01:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfe9922…
09-20 01:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	71	91¢	$64	0x711a08…
09-20 00:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x3f30bc…
09-20 00:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x300caf…
09-20 00:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x93859a…
09-20 00:54:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	77	90¢	$69	0x1715bb…
09-20 00:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x22fe80…
09-20 00:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	77	89¢	$69	0x842830…
09-20 00:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x68e41c…
09-20 00:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x68a05f…
09-20 00:07:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8da883…
09-20 00:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaa437f…
09-20 00:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x72b84b…
09-20 00:05:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x91ae9b…
09-20 00:04:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x593eaf…
09-20 00:03:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x38616c…
09-20 00:03:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x956400…
09-20 00:02:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4928df…
09-19 22:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x864efa…
09-19 22:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	91¢	$18	0xedf4c5…
09-19 22:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xe099b8…
09-19 22:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcb3afc…
09-19 22:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf73bfe…
09-19 22:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xc43981…
09-19 22:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x8034e2…
09-19 22:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x54754e…
09-19 22:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x4b4b05…
09-19 22:49:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x0adb09…
09-19 22:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x68adde…
09-19 22:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	74	91¢	$67	0xdd019e…
09-19 21:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf6979e…
09-19 21:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x90f79c…
09-19 21:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x806049…
09-19 21:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x7695f2…
09-19 21:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x75a7e8…
09-19 21:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x634d63…
09-19 21:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3cf666…
09-19 21:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x15c58d…
09-19 21:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x133035…
09-19 21:54:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	74	59¢	$44	0xdd64f4…
09-19 21:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x702413…
09-19 21:39:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x24f5cc…
09-19 21:39:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xc49458…
09-19 21:39:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x860e89…
09-19 21:39:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x58805a…
09-19 21:39:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x519499…
09-19 21:39:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x211cb4…
09-19 21:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x44f4d0…
09-19 21:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x129623…
09-19 21:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xc8e98b…
09-19 21:34:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf94f6d…
09-19 21:24:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfbee4b…
09-19 21:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0xaa8b54…
09-19 21:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x067c9f…
09-19 21:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0xed3784…
09-19 21:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2c3e95…
09-19 21:19:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x8d4a58…
09-19 21:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	74	94¢	$70	0xfa5ea7…
09-19 20:59:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x262b81…
09-19 20:59:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xa0729a…
09-19 20:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xf23680…
09-19 20:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x700659…
09-19 20:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4229c7…
09-19 20:39:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xe2065f…
09-19 20:39:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x59a321…
09-19 20:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0xbf52a4…
09-19 20:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3e3fc0…