Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$266

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

45% 100% +$25

Other

44% 100% +$56

Tech

6% 100% +$13

Sports

3% 100% +$5

Crypto

1% 0% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes		+267	$260	100¢	$266	+$6	10-27 13:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$335	168	168	+0	No	+$0	07-17 16:38
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	1	$260	267	0	+267	open	—	10-27 13:43
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	1	$246	260	0	+260	Yes	+$13	08-28 09:29
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$245	246	0	+246	Yes	+$1	08-15 05:52
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	8	$244	244	0	+244	Yes	+$0	08-03 01:15
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	1	$222	222	0	+222	Yes	+$0	07-21 13:01
over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	1	$221	245	0	+245	Yes	+$25	07-24 15:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	1	$167	167	0	+167	No	+$0	06-20 02:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$167	167	0	+167	No	+$0	07-05 13:57
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	2	$166	181	0	+181	Yes	+$14	07-17 16:40
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$166	166	0	+166	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$161	161	0	+161	Yes	+$0	05-25 04:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$158	161	0	+161	No	+$3	05-21 01:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$138	139	0	+139	No	+$1	04-22 04:02
mikel merino 20260609173616759	1	$107	107	0	+107	No	+$0	06-15 15:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$81	84	0	+84	No	+$4	06-04 15:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	1	$81	82	0	+82	No	+$1	06-04 15:46
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$76	80	0	+80	No	+$4	05-13 06:13
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	1	$76	78	0	+78	No	+$1	05-13 04:09
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	1	$69	69	0	+69	No	+$1	04-14 07:24
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$65	73	0	+73	Yes	+$8	01-02 07:29
martin zubimendi 20260609173616771	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	06-15 15:18
will cbs sports app scores news be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	1	$47	48	0	+48	No	+$1	03-18 10:02
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	1	$47	49	0	+49	Yes	-$47	01-30 08:43
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	01-30 09:55
will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the 2 us netflix movie this week	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	04-14 07:27
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	04-14 07:24
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$28	36	0	+36	No	+$8	04-25 03:19
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	2	$28	31	0	+31	No	+$3	04-25 02:14
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	1	$28	29	0	+29	No	+$2	04-25 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:43:30	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	98¢	$260	0x51c83d…
08-28 09:29:18	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	260	95¢	$246	0xb0d64f…
08-15 05:52:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0x849f06…
08-03 01:15:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x109362…
08-03 00:45:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x264416…
08-03 00:45:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1af9b0…
08-03 00:41:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1a92c5…
08-03 00:41:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cf632…
08-03 00:41:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa05726…
08-03 00:41:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5c14c8…
08-03 00:41:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x11235b…
08-02 23:54:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x298b65…
07-24 15:44:19	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	245	90¢	$221	0x174c4d…
07-21 13:01:51	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xc6a4e5…
07-17 16:40:46	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	126	92¢	$116	0xec8fed…
07-17 16:39:58	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0x2770ca…
07-17 16:38:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x94f37f…
07-13 13:01:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x5aa0e6…
07-05 13:57:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x7fa0af…
06-20 02:28:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x9547d5…
06-15 15:18:21	mikel merino 20260609173616759	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x6699ae…
06-15 15:18:10	martin zubimendi 20260609173616771	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x6d4a93…
06-08 08:37:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x366c8c…
06-04 15:46:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x969e65…
06-04 15:43:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	84	96¢	$81	0xaf0b3e…
05-25 04:42:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xdd3907…
05-21 01:59:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	161	98¢	$158	0x25e83c…
05-13 06:13:39	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0x7ea393…
05-13 05:55:50	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xb707d5…
05-13 04:09:26	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x8031e6…
04-29 16:06:54	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3faf63…
04-25 08:56:44	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x9e0328…
04-25 03:52:34	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xddc32e…
04-25 03:19:08	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x251dc9…
04-25 02:55:08	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xbc0952…
04-25 02:16:38	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xc3851d…
04-25 02:14:16	Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x2fb89c…
04-25 02:14:00	Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xa3b7e3…
04-22 04:02:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x5dd9b9…
04-14 07:27:39	will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the 2 us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4cd18a…
04-14 07:24:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x043437…
04-14 07:24:43	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0x99a8be…
03-26 06:27:33	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0xef813b…
03-26 06:13:41	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xe9d16d…
03-26 04:24:25	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x2efa83…
03-26 03:40:31	will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x80eb5f…
03-26 02:09:13	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xa9d8d4…
03-18 10:02:23	will cbs sports app scores news be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xce1dc7…
01-30 09:55:52	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x3d0d0e…
01-30 08:43:54	will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x4018b0…
01-02 07:30:41	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x46c593…
01-02 07:29:47	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	24	89¢	$22	0xefaaaf…
01-02 07:29:31	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0x7ee38a…