Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

218

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-14

last 10-16 11:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 57% +$10

Other

13% 78% +$10

Politics

7% 60% -$7

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	4	$143	116	58	+58	Yes	+$8	07-16 14:00
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	2	$104	61	61	+0	open	—	09-28 17:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	1	$49	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	08-05 17:30
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$32	17	17	+0	No	+$2	09-28 17:51
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	09-28 17:51
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	09-28 17:50
XRP Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$16	29	0	+29	Up	+$13	10-10 10:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$16	29	0	+29	Down	-$16	10-12 12:45
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$15	18	0	+18	No	+$3	08-05 17:20
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	1	$15	18	0	+18	Yes	-$15	07-16 22:50
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	07-14 21:40
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?	1	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$2	08-01 06:10
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp	1	$15	17	0	+17	Alexander Zverev	+$2	09-09 14:40
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	-$15	07-16 13:50
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$15	19	0	+19	No	+$4	09-10 03:00
atp smith matsuok 2026 07 16	1	$15	18	0	+18	Colton Smith	+$4	07-16 13:50
atp draxl trotter 2026 07 14	1	$15	19	0	+19	Liam Draxl	+$5	07-14 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$8	14	0	+14	Down	-$8	10-12 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$8	14	0	+14	Down	+$6	10-11 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	-$8	10-06 01:45
Solana Up or Down - October 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$8	15	0	+15	Up	+$7	10-12 17:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$8	13	0	+13	Down	-$8	10-12 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$8	15	0	+15	Down	-$8	10-08 15:30
XRP Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	-$8	10-08 17:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 03:45 UTC	1	$8	13	0	+13	Down	+$5	10-04 03:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 06:45 UTC	1	$8	14	0	+14	Up	-$8	09-29 06:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 07:15 UTC	1	$8	14	0	+14	Up	+$6	09-30 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Up	-$8	10-02 03:00
Solana Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$8	15	0	+15	Up	+$7	10-07 02:15
Solana Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$8	14	0	+14	Up	-$8	10-15 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 11:30:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x65569e…
10-16 11:15:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xff20b1…
10-16 11:15:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x25e4b3…
10-16 10:15:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x8d45b7…
10-16 05:15:24	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x050cb4…
10-16 02:00:24	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x1e9ef6…
10-16 01:30:24	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x171c08…
10-15 15:30:25	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x802e55…
10-15 15:00:28	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x8fb881…
10-15 15:00:23	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x6b9609…
10-15 14:45:23	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x05d285…
10-15 02:30:26	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x5f4aad…
10-15 02:30:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x64767c…
10-14 14:30:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x06566e…
10-14 14:15:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xea13cd…
10-14 12:45:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x295053…
10-12 17:45:27	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x06de58…
10-12 17:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xa37702…
10-12 17:30:23	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x57d997…
10-12 12:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xb62af9…
10-12 12:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x19b362…
10-12 12:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x62c8b7…
10-12 11:45:27	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xc0bea8…
10-12 11:45:23	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xba1f1c…
10-12 09:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xee521e…
10-12 09:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x8b62c5…
10-12 04:45:30	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x054a60…
10-12 04:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x705ae2…
10-12 04:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xc6eee9…
10-12 00:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x3fd3d1…
10-12 00:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x775fc0…
10-12 00:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xc695b6…
10-11 21:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x5c6d73…
10-11 16:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xeffd31…
10-11 15:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xb93bdf…
10-11 15:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x433d84…
10-11 14:45:25	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xec12b0…
10-11 10:45:23	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x4a8f56…
10-11 07:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x3f8352…
10-11 04:00:24	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xa077d5…
10-11 03:30:23	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc3166a…
10-11 03:15:23	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x20996a…
10-11 02:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xd8d20a…
10-11 00:45:25	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x1b8eb0…
10-11 00:30:22	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xc32792…
10-10 14:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x11cdd6…
10-10 14:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x192958…
10-10 13:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xf8464a…
10-10 10:30:24	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x172886…
10-10 10:15:22	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x824346…
10-10 06:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x8900bf…
10-10 05:45:24	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xca7acc…
10-10 02:00:27	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x7cbbd8…
10-10 02:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x5a120f…
10-10 01:15:41	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x0e7ee9…
10-10 01:15:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x972945…
10-10 00:15:23	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x1fc3d5…
10-09 23:45:23	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xfcc679…
10-09 20:00:23	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x73d935…
10-09 12:00:27	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xaf8664…
10-09 12:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xd31c42…
10-09 10:45:27	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x3f2680…
10-09 10:45:24	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xdabef3…
10-09 08:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x5ed1e3…
10-09 05:30:27	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x0b91b4…
10-09 05:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x01f8d0…
10-09 04:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x94981e…
10-09 03:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x938706…
10-09 02:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x55b6ad…
10-09 01:45:27	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xc0cb77…
10-09 01:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xc1796f…
10-09 00:45:24	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x7ee279…
10-08 22:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x7e8723…
10-08 21:00:23	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xe8863c…
10-08 20:45:23	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x0bf138…
10-08 17:30:27	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xbcf8ac…
10-08 17:30:23	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xac2393…
10-08 15:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xd547b3…
10-08 15:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xb4bf99…
10-08 15:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb9bad3…
10-08 12:15:23	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xa735ab…
10-08 10:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x5fe00e…
10-08 04:30:23	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xdbc211…
10-08 02:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x3f60b9…
10-08 01:15:52	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xdfe606…
10-08 01:15:41	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xb7c6f5…
10-08 01:15:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x4d19c6…
10-07 21:45:22	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x1583a0…
10-07 13:45:31	XRP Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x21b346…
10-07 13:45:26	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xa586e3…
10-07 12:30:23	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x7d3699…
10-07 10:15:27	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x6319a3…
10-07 10:15:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x6e7ca5…
10-07 09:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xb3dfb3…
10-07 09:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x6d5785…
10-07 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x94a657…
10-07 02:15:30	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x74348c…
10-07 02:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x9d20cb…
10-07 02:15:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x45e1c6…
10-07 01:30:23	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xbeb81d…