Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$448

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

3,434

Trades

7,327

lifetime

Volume

$49.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-07 02:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 76% +$112

Politics

3% 82% +$331

Other

0% 43% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+50	$12	28¢	$14	+$2	10-03 15:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	14	$726	435	1,500	-1,065	No	+$418	01-07 17:41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	8	$393	335	700	-365	Yes	-$199	01-07 17:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 18:15 UTC	147	$299	336	335	+0	Down	-$6	03-10 18:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:45 UTC	108	$259	264	234	+30	Down	+$20	03-10 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 17:00 UTC	60	$152	152	135	+17	Up	-$11	03-09 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 17:45 UTC	59	$146	130	130	+0	Up	-$1	03-10 17:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 03:15 UTC	62	$133	152	152	+0	Down	-$12	03-10 03:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 18:30 UTC	66	$126	162	116	+46	Down	+$5	03-09 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 19:45 UTC	70	$124	154	121	+34	Up	-$7	03-09 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 01:30 UTC	51	$122	128	98	+29	Up	-$17	03-10 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 20:45 UTC	35	$117	90	95	-5	Down	+$2	03-10 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 19:30 UTC	52	$111	128	120	+8	Down	+$2	03-09 19:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 18:00 UTC	76	$106	185	143	+42	Down	-$20	03-10 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:15 UTC	46	$105	113	100	+13	Up	-$16	03-10 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 16:45 UTC	40	$104	100	93	+7	Down	-$1	03-09 16:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 03:30 UTC	45	$104	120	95	+25	Down	-$3	03-10 03:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 20:00 UTC	55	$103	120	120	-0	Up	-$10	03-09 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 20:30 UTC	31	$93	75	64	+11	Down	+$2	03-09 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 20:15 UTC	36	$92	92	70	+21	Down	+$10	03-09 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 17:45 UTC	40	$92	187	87	+100	Up	+$3	03-09 17:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 20:30 UTC	36	$85	90	81	+9	Up	+$6	03-10 20:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 01:15 UTC	22	$85	55	54	+1	Down	+$14	03-10 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 01:00 UTC	34	$79	94	65	+29	Down	+$10	03-10 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 17:30 UTC	37	$76	80	74	+6	Down	-$9	03-09 17:38
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$68	0	664	-664	No	+$68	01-07 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 20:00 UTC	32	$68	68	65	+3	Up	+$2	03-10 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 00:45 UTC	31	$61	69	63	+6	Down	-$5	03-10 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:15 UTC	13	$59	65	0	+65	Up	+$6	08-13 05:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 18:45 UTC	28	$57	78	49	+29	Down	-$7	03-09 18:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 00:00 UTC	18	$57	50	50	+0	Down	-$1	03-10 00:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 02:06:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 7?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xa1ba1e…
10-07 01:45:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x2e113f…
10-06 19:49:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb90303…
10-06 03:10:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe0d532…
10-06 02:28:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9178a7…
10-06 02:27:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xfce71d…
10-06 02:27:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x533efb…
10-06 00:45:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x588ddd…
10-05 23:53:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xc756e8…
10-05 21:48:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa7f30d…
10-05 21:46:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb9a8ab…
10-05 21:45:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd5ce85…
10-05 21:33:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x527a4b…
10-05 17:17:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xc8ea6a…
10-05 17:08:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x145a25…
10-05 16:48:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xc9dafd…
10-05 16:48:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x7dc70f…
10-05 16:25:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3e0b55…
10-05 16:22:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xb91bab…
10-05 16:19:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 5?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xe18381…
10-05 01:50:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xfc46f3…
10-05 01:26:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xae30be…
10-05 01:26:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x985cb0…
10-05 01:24:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaf47b8…
10-04 20:21:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe13193…
10-04 20:11:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x44074f…
10-04 20:11:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x076b31…
10-04 20:10:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1ad861…
10-04 19:43:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x491383…
10-04 17:26:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb950db…
10-03 15:59:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x6c468a…
09-12 16:28:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe99247…
09-11 19:58:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xe4f170…
09-11 19:49:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x5d60be…
09-11 18:34:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x9d5169…
09-11 18:34:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xf2c803…
09-11 17:10:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 11?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x9300ca…
09-10 20:24:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10?	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x13f5e5…
09-10 20:18:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x4bead4…
09-10 20:17:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x35e885…
09-10 20:10:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 10?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x9b6ee7…
09-10 19:59:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9f06cf…
09-10 19:43:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x208460…
09-10 17:36:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd1bb2b…
09-10 17:15:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0xbfd347…
09-09 19:43:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x05cdd5…
09-09 19:06:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x29c07f…
09-09 18:48:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x2edf68…
09-09 18:34:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x862d21…
09-09 18:34:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x63286e…
09-09 18:01:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6b7be2…
09-09 17:21:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xba15ab…
09-09 16:36:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xcec75e…
09-08 23:19:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x43c9da…
09-08 23:15:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0xde9658…
09-08 23:15:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x4aade0…
08-14 14:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4d4294…
08-14 14:32:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0aef81…
08-14 14:24:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc2a73f…
08-14 14:22:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7a9a37…
08-14 14:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1b1f3c…
08-14 14:18:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x351210…
08-14 14:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcce966…
08-14 14:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcbc8a5…
08-14 14:08:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4e98e6…
08-14 14:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xda1053…
08-14 13:53:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x378f57…
08-14 13:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x53c42e…
08-14 13:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0350c9…
08-14 13:46:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6821ca…
08-14 13:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xdbe8be…
08-14 13:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xbba020…
08-14 13:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1b5919…
08-14 13:31:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4d66e5…
08-14 13:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa03585…
08-14 13:27:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4373db…
08-14 13:12:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8adacb…
08-14 13:06:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x59518d…
08-14 12:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x988bec…
08-14 12:48:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xae44b6…
08-14 12:48:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x97a2d9…
08-14 12:48:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xfe05a7…
08-14 12:48:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa85810…
08-14 12:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x68b0b5…
08-14 12:13:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe31e7c…
08-14 12:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x22552a…
08-14 12:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd756a1…
08-14 12:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb881a4…
08-14 11:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa18da6…
08-14 11:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x45cf6e…
08-14 11:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x81107a…
08-14 11:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf0f824…
08-14 10:53:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x028efa…
08-14 10:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe70e71…
08-14 10:31:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe207ac…
08-14 10:29:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf786a1…
08-14 10:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa88e9c…
08-14 10:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0f8712…
08-14 10:01:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x30d73d…
08-14 09:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x96b431…