Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$230

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-03

last 11-04 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

68% 33% -$14

Politics

21% 33% -$190

Tech

10% 0% -$26

Crypto

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	7	$380	506	506	+0	open	—	11-04 00:00
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	8	$223	209	209	+0	open	—	11-03 23:59
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	5	$171	102	102	+0	open	—	11-04 00:00
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$150	215	0	+215	Yes	-$150	10-21 15:29
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$116	196	196	+0	Yes	+$6	10-25 20:36
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	6	$84	131	131	+0	No	-$45	10-27 21:05
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?	2	$75	45	45	+0	open	—	11-04 00:00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	3	$64	99	99	-0	No	-$15	10-27 16:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$64	125	125	+0	No	-$26	10-21 16:04
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$64	100	0	+100	Yes	+$36	10-21 15:14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$48	50	50	+0	No	-$24	10-23 12:32
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	8	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	11-04 00:00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$33	18	18	+0	Yes	+$2	10-29 17:56
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	10-29 17:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	4	$30	43	43	+0	open	—	10-29 17:56
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	2	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	11-04 00:00
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	3	$25	32	32	+0	open	—	11-04 00:00
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	5	$21	49	30	+19	No	-$3	10-24 07:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	2	$19	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	10-03 08:10
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	13	$12	123	70	+53	No	-$10	10-29 08:21
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	3	$8	5	5	+0	No	$0	10-03 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 00:00:37	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	137	2¢	$2	0x4ca3be…
11-04 00:00:31	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x4cd45e…
11-04 00:00:24	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x0206b3…
11-04 00:00:16	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0x4ef18c…
11-04 00:00:09	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	102	88¢	$90	0x61ace3…
11-04 00:00:00	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?	Yes	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0x21beb6…
11-03 23:59:40	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	169	62¢	$105	0xe09acc…
10-30 10:14:21	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x0554a0…
10-30 10:10:10	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x3f4e6b…
10-29 19:15:34	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0xe440c3…
10-29 17:56:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	26¢	$11	0xcb2a56…
10-29 17:56:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xbbefff…
10-29 17:56:07	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x24d260…
10-29 17:56:07	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0x01d6c6…
10-29 08:21:49	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0xed2672…
10-28 17:18:43	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?	Yes	BUY	45	79¢	$35	0x13579e…
10-28 02:21:17	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x40e8e3…
10-27 21:05:45	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	51	14¢	$7	0x4e9aa4…
10-27 20:51:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0xe8561b…
10-27 20:40:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	79	15¢	$12	0xf87871…
10-27 19:20:39	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xb2e995…
10-27 18:48:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x9dcbc0…
10-27 16:59:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	25¢	$25	0xed8f26…
10-27 15:45:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe70983…
10-26 16:43:23	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	124	48¢	$60	0xe9ef1d…
10-26 16:43:18	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0xa8546c…
10-26 14:51:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x15397b…
10-26 14:29:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	40¢	$26	0x570c8e…
10-25 20:36:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	196	31¢	$61	0x327a48…
10-25 20:12:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	78	35¢	$27	0x909b6f…
10-25 20:12:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x40e305…
10-25 19:12:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	98	21¢	$21	0x70b459…
10-25 16:21:51	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	334	44¢	$146	0x68cc6a…
10-25 11:06:14	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7bd1c6…
10-25 10:53:56	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x2cdf09…
10-25 10:30:42	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	145	34¢	$49	0x69383a…
10-25 10:27:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	189	34¢	$64	0xded212…
10-25 10:23:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0x6a281a…
10-25 09:57:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x435bd0…
10-25 09:40:15	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x591679…
10-25 09:40:15	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x43a306…
10-25 09:40:14	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x3f716c…
10-25 09:04:05	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x37dad5…
10-24 07:39:24	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xfac76c…
10-23 13:45:27	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xde9679…
10-23 13:45:27	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x7502f5…
10-23 13:45:26	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x161aea…
10-23 12:32:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x37090a…
10-23 12:31:38	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7aada1…
10-23 09:38:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x47283a…
10-23 09:33:36	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x72a44b…
10-23 09:31:11	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x7c1010…
10-23 07:38:12	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x41a357…
10-23 06:27:26	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xc86060…
10-23 06:27:26	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x7fda01…
10-22 20:49:36	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdcf906…
10-21 19:25:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x720643…
10-21 19:24:57	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	79¢	$33	0xd38a3d…
10-21 19:24:57	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x923b72…
10-21 16:04:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	15¢	$19	0x46d3d1…
10-21 15:29:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	215	70¢	$150	0x868fe8…
10-21 15:26:30	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	137	69¢	$94	0x7596ce…
10-21 15:14:53	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x6d8682…
10-21 15:08:54	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xd2530c…
10-21 15:07:06	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	64¢	$54	0xc3582a…
10-21 15:05:59	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x13fda8…
10-21 15:05:05	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x3ca5a7…
10-21 15:04:15	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0x938ee6…
10-21 15:03:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xf5b98f…
10-03 08:34:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	36¢	$45	0x4931aa…
10-03 08:21:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xeff939…
10-03 08:20:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x2041e6…
10-03 08:19:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x73a4c0…
10-03 08:10:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0x24e255…
10-03 08:09:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xc867f7…