Fatal-Norm-Loyalty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,366

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 06-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

77% 96% +$0

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:16:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46c3c4…
06-30 18:00:58	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ac3f5…
06-30 10:12:44	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1182af…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ddbbb…
06-30 04:16:10	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd85fd2…
06-30 03:46:01	will kai havertz score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145926128	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf180f5…
06-30 00:35:02	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6201f…
06-29 21:06:28	wti closes above 71 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x470197…
06-29 19:30:53	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f1d60…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x235a2c…
06-29 19:06:22	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 shots vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x581c9b…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca5313…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4cc54…
06-28 17:52:04	cs2 ast berg 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd516b…
06-28 09:38:43	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa124e2…
06-28 04:00:23	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6dcad…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x439147…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5eddc…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e823b…
06-27 15:47:10	cs2 biga berg 2026 06 27 game1	BIG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb3ff8…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37cb4a…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad4846…
06-25 22:16:16	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27dc5b…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3c1817…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b418a…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c7f6e…
06-25 00:04:23	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fc947…
06-24 21:13:58	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners team home 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7a7bb…
06-24 20:58:34	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde80a2…
06-24 13:07:17	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61c5b8…
06-24 09:08:35	cs2 mana1 hon1 2026 06 24 game1	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc10f93…
06-24 03:09:10	mlb bos col 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc42fc4…
06-24 00:26:11	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57d550…
06-23 20:00:55	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc79565…
06-23 19:46:34	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e52d0…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x150863…
06-23 18:11:34	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8504b4…
06-23 00:54:55	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58c53a…
06-21 21:04:38	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 assists kevin de bruyne gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0150a9…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f193a…
06-21 12:52:44	cs2 echo k271 2026 06 21	K27	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf14832…
06-20 23:39:43	ufc mel7 bia1 2026 06 20 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf92e73…
06-20 22:09:04	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f11f7…
06-20 20:06:31	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72a089…
06-20 16:32:28	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20 game1 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d6f72…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf213ee…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x282acd…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4903d…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb60358…
06-19 10:44:46	cs2 wal2 oxuji 2026 06 19 game2	Walczaki	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a3be2…
06-18 22:59:29	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x606cab…
06-17 22:03:38	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc8030…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92c4bc…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x401dff…
06-17 19:05:34	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff91da…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e81b5…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf663d9…
06-17 16:10:19	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf84031…
06-17 16:07:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc03cc6…
06-17 16:06:26	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd96122…
06-17 13:01:40	kbo lg kia 2026 06 17	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19eb8b…
06-16 20:12:55	amzn up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8aa0e9…
06-16 13:45:52	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ae6cb…
06-16 02:29:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e1f97…
06-15 12:41:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03bbbf…
06-15 03:25:55	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb66b9e…
06-15 01:32:07	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3461f8…
06-14 19:06:52	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe18bfc…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8cdc7…
06-14 01:57:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 1h total 115pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfcb72…
06-13 01:55:03	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9e77e…
06-12 21:23:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5af35…
06-12 20:26:51	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01f170…
06-12 20:18:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x321b69…
06-12 20:17:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a0c4c…
06-12 13:30:06	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcabc95…
06-11 22:13:40	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4377c…
06-11 21:15:19	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3977b8…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x114675…
06-10 20:16:58	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2dfe0…
06-10 20:05:13	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8b2a5…
06-10 09:41:33	itf friedsa plosnik 2026 06 10 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2c5d0…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84bbcb…
06-09 03:26:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcc7af…
06-08 21:37:00	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2607b…
06-08 12:03:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb51904…
06-07 23:59:19	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf72992…
06-07 22:56:36	mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 nrfi	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x982311…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c959c…
06-07 21:09:30	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf29c9a…
06-07 19:14:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf92f61…
06-07 18:53:57	Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7af7c…
06-07 18:53:00	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5414c…
06-07 18:11:13	itf souz fullana 2026 06 07	Luiza Fullana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6015ab…
06-07 17:38:57	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x509e07…
06-07 16:59:30	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce34ec…
06-07 11:43:09	r6siege edg oc1 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8608c…
06-07 00:58:55	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x562f71…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x772ba7…
06-06 23:06:27	mlb tb mia 2026 06 06 spread home 2pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4c7e66…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:32
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 16:31
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:56
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:55
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 17:05
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Basquet Club Andorra	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 22:31
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:04
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:07
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
atp shimabu riedi 2026 04 17 set totals 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 07:01
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 23c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 17:30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14