Amusing-Astrakhan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$529

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-28 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

54% 65% +$54

Politics

28% 60% -$8

Sports

18% 60% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$135	136	0	+136	No	+$1	05-13 18:55
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	1	$67	131	0	+131	Yes	-$67	02-23 10:40
lol navi fnc 2026 02 16	1	$50	100	0	+100	Natus Vincere	+$50	02-16 13:18
nba lal det 2026 03 23	1	$50	106	0	+106	Pistons	+$56	03-23 13:54
andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 0 99	1	$49	98	0	+98	Yes	+$49	02-18 14:46
lol al tes 2026 03 30	1	$40	58	0	+58	Anyone's Legend	+$18	03-30 02:36
ufc tor1 jac7 2026 01 31	1	$38	84	0	+84	Malkoun	-$38	01-31 21:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$1	05-28 09:41
open up or down on february 12 2026	1	$10	0	10	-10	Down	$0	02-12 18:26
bun dor mai 2026 02 13 dor	1	$9	24	0	+24	Yes	-$9	02-10 18:11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	1	$8	14	0	+14	Yes	+$5	05-17 08:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	1	$8	11	0	+11	Yes	-$8	06-03 17:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$1	05-30 11:55
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	1	$5	27	0	+27	No	-$5	06-21 08:06
mlb stl cin 2026 08 20	1	$4	7	0	+7	St. Louis Cardinals	+$4	08-20 10:39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$4	7	0	+7	Yes	+$3	04-26 06:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	09-26 22:10
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	1	$3	4	0	+4	Spurs	+$1	04-25 22:57
lol g2 fur 2026 07 15	1	$3	12	0	+12	G2 Esports	-$3	07-15 05:42
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	06-15 11:22
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-27 11:45
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	-$2	10-28 21:18
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	+$9	06-28 07:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	04-18 15:28
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	10-16 19:24
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	1	$1	9	0	+9	Yes	-$1	08-31 02:03
Seahawks vs. Cardinals	1	$1	3	0	+3	Seahawks	-$1	09-20 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:18:31	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9ea646…
10-16 19:24:32	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x664e5e…
09-26 22:10:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xab105f…
09-20 12:19:36	Seahawks vs. Cardinals	Cardinals	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x82cc62…
08-31 02:03:25	Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x07cddd…
08-20 10:39:36	mlb stl cin 2026 08 20	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xaf97b0…
07-27 11:45:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2f6873…
07-15 05:42:10	lol g2 fur 2026 07 15	FURIA Esports	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x1a4aba…
06-28 07:36:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x6bb932…
06-21 08:06:07	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	27	17¢	$5	0x64e5a1…
06-15 11:22:33	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa07a29…
06-03 17:40:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x9226fa…
05-30 11:55:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x5305c9…
05-28 09:41:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x1df5a6…
05-17 08:52:20	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0x34adaa…
05-13 18:55:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x640a7f…
04-26 06:45:28	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x04b873…
04-25 22:57:52	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x409c7e…
04-18 15:28:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x64b379…
03-30 02:36:38	lol al tes 2026 03 30	Anyone's Legend	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x3414b3…
03-23 13:54:09	nba lal det 2026 03 23	Pistons	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x1f92e0…
02-23 10:40:18	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	No	BUY	131	51¢	$67	0xec76f2…
02-18 14:46:00	andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 0 99	Yes	BUY	98	50¢	$49	0x3e0910…
02-16 13:18:39	lol navi fnc 2026 02 16	Natus Vincere	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb29448…
02-12 18:26:53	open up or down on february 12 2026	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb7428e…
02-10 18:11:33	bun dor mai 2026 02 13 dor	No	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xda4f0d…
01-31 21:15:00	ufc tor1 jac7 2026 01 31	Finney	BUY	84	45¢	$38	0xd07960…