Complex-Lava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$178

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

633

Trades

1,188

lifetime

Volume

$6.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-18 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

54% 81% -$146

Politics

29% 0% -$2

Crypto

18% 70% -$29

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$1.8K	800	1,000	-200	No	-$2	04-01 04:40
highest temperature in houston on march 30 2026 84 85f	2	$393	200	200	+0	No	+$5	03-30 23:21
highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 56 57f	17	$316	232	182	+50	Yes	+$3	03-28 23:53
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 21c	10	$315	225	225	+0	Yes	-$103	04-01 07:38
will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt2m 14pt4m square kilometers	3	$238	250	0	+250	Yes	+$13	03-31 17:17
highest temperature in toronto on march 20 2026 5c	9	$195	100	100	+0	Yes	+$5	03-21 00:13
highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 80 81f	3	$194	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	03-23 22:14
highest temperature in atlanta on march 26 2026 78 79f	5	$178	100	100	+0	Yes	+$18	03-26 23:03
will seoul have between 35 40mm of precipitation in march 647	2	$170	200	0	+200	No	-$170	03-31 17:15
highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 82 83f	11	$170	100	100	+0	Yes	+$30	03-28 01:46
highest temperature in los angeles on march 30 2026 68 69f	2	$122	65	64	+0	Yes	+$6	03-31 03:20
highest temperature in chicago on march 29 2026 62 63f	6	$103	56	56	+0	Yes	+$9	03-30 03:48
highest temperature in denver on march 25 2026 86 87f	3	$99	103	0	+103	Yes	+$4	03-25 23:39
highest temperature in houston on march 25 2026 82 83f	2	$99	100	0	+100	Yes	+$1	03-25 22:44
will london have between 20 30mm of precipitation in march	2	$98	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	03-31 17:45
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$98	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	04-01 03:28
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 17c	1	$97	100	0	+100	Yes	+$3	04-01 03:31
highest temperature in chicago on march 27 2026 44 45f	2	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	+$5	03-27 23:04
highest temperature in wellington on march 30 2026 20c	6	$89	100	0	+100	Yes	+$11	03-30 01:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 16corhigher	3	$75	77	0	+77	No	+$2	04-01 03:36
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 17c	3	$69	73	0	+73	Yes	+$4	03-31 14:27
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	3	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	03-31 03:21
highest temperature in nyc on march 20 2026 52 53f	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-21 00:12
highest temperature in madrid on march 30 2026 19c	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	03-30 22:42
highest temperature in denver on march 30 2026 78 79f	2	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 00:46
highest temperature in denver on march 24 2026 78 79f	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	+$1	03-24 22:43
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	02-25 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-22 05:54
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$9	40	40	+0	Up	-$1	05-22 08:11
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$8	50	50	+0	Up	-$2	05-22 08:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 15:27:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x66ff1c…
06-18 14:46:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xce4c5b…
06-18 07:47:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa0a1a7…
06-18 06:41:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0b67e6…
06-18 06:31:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x94c445…
06-18 05:56:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xfda908…
06-18 05:41:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe28f83…
06-18 05:36:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7f24c7…
06-17 19:27:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7f140a…
06-17 19:02:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x593710…
06-17 18:31:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9cc769…
06-17 18:16:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x343424…
06-17 18:07:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x38fa2d…
06-17 15:22:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa7ffdc…
06-17 14:46:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x84afdd…
06-17 14:11:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf7ff0e…
06-17 13:46:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6747bc…
06-17 13:42:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1d595e…
06-17 13:36:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x827643…
06-17 12:32:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc9d65b…
06-17 09:27:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7596e9…
06-17 08:47:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9d06bd…
06-16 19:32:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc85f0b…
06-16 18:31:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x612fa5…
06-16 18:02:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa5a6d6…
06-16 17:52:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe78d09…
06-16 15:51:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9a7da4…
06-16 15:02:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x92b9cb…
06-16 14:51:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xeeb4a8…
06-16 14:42:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4288be…
06-16 14:36:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x26381c…
06-16 14:01:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2e94e2…
06-16 13:31:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2be815…
06-16 12:26:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x956c9c…
06-16 12:22:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd08822…
06-15 13:47:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf2eca8…
06-15 11:22:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbd7fbf…
06-15 11:07:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4a8f2d…
06-14 21:52:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xec0201…
06-14 21:42:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x70bbf4…
06-14 21:22:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb138df…
06-12 16:17:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf8984b…
06-12 15:51:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5498f0…
06-12 15:11:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd0ad7a…
06-12 15:01:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xea246e…
06-12 15:01:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6b0a8c…
06-12 14:57:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfb7ad2…
06-12 14:51:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf1a497…
06-12 14:36:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x403dde…
06-12 14:26:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa0877d…
06-12 14:21:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x076df6…
06-12 14:17:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xadd656…
06-12 13:46:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x79184c…
06-12 13:36:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa8e88a…
06-12 12:46:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc590bf…
06-12 10:31:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3e8c08…
06-12 09:46:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x25e6b8…
06-12 09:27:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc1b9e4…
06-12 09:21:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc1b589…
06-12 09:17:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcbb0cf…
06-12 09:07:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x053cb4…
06-12 08:47:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa24a2e…
06-12 08:22:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9c781b…
06-12 08:12:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1f7a61…
06-12 08:01:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4a9187…
06-12 07:31:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdec342…
06-12 06:02:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x01f509…
06-12 04:31:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xef53d3…
06-12 04:22:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xef4cae…
06-12 03:32:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0870ee…
06-11 18:12:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfc3fc7…
06-11 13:52:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4c7bfb…
06-10 16:17:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5bffb6…
06-10 16:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5d8dcf…
06-10 16:07:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5b79e9…
06-10 16:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x663fb7…
06-07 23:02:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x75323e…
06-05 14:34:06	XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x592736…
06-05 14:33:34	Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xeaf46d…
06-05 14:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xa8e21d…
06-05 14:32:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x8ca247…
06-05 14:31:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xb1de43…
06-05 14:29:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xa356b8…
06-05 14:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x758bf7…
06-05 14:28:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xe0066b…
06-05 14:27:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xf90a09…
06-05 14:27:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf8f368…
06-05 14:26:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x25c4fa…
06-05 14:26:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x95403f…
06-05 14:26:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2a4d27…
06-05 14:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98296c…
06-05 14:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x37c5c3…
06-05 14:06:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x2f4029…
06-05 14:06:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x44fea0…
06-05 13:59:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2328f…
06-05 13:56:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb4e0c8…
06-05 13:54:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x8d2921…
06-05 13:53:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xe6fab0…
06-05 13:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xe39221…
06-05 13:49:19	Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfb74cb…