Grandiose-Trapezium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$182

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-12 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

69% 0% $-1

Other

25% 0% $-1

Sports

4% — —

Tech

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+200	$5	1¢	$2	$-3	06-07 21:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	06-12 00:16
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	06-07 20:55
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-11 20:03
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-31 21:11
highest temperature in lagos on april 21 2026 33c	4	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 21:32
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-12 21:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-12 19:03
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	06-07 20:38
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$5	200	0	+200	open	—	06-07 21:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	03-31 22:08
will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 572	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-12 05:38
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 00:13
highest temperature in moscow on april 21 2026 8c	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 13:21
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	1	$4	170	0	+170	open	—	04-20 21:03
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-26 19:51
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$3	20	10	+10	open	—	04-21 21:05
highest temperature in austin on april 19 2026 72 73f	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-19 20:55
will babydoll dominic fike be the 1 song on spotify this week 345	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 20:27
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	21	0	+21	open	—	04-19 20:30
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-19 22:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$2	50	0	+50	open	—	04-13 02:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	04-19 20:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$1	163	0	+163	open	—	03-31 21:28
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 235m?	1	$1	7	0	+7	Yes	$-1	04-11 20:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	$-1	05-03 20:48
Military action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?	1	$1	145	0	+145	open	—	04-11 20:02
nba finals wemby to break single game finals blocks record	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	06-04 09:21
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$1	250	0	+250	open	—	03-31 21:20
Military action against Iran ends by April 23, 2026?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	04-11 20:02
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 00:16:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9aee15…
06-07 21:17:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xe80523…
06-07 21:17:18	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x894516…
06-07 20:55:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xc10fa4…
06-07 20:42:49	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x11c9db…
06-07 20:38:42	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xde0113…
06-07 20:38:00	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x11999a…
06-04 09:21:19	nba finals wemby to break single game finals blocks record	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x61b317…
05-26 19:51:18	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x13ca71…
05-20 07:03:32	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfc4923…
05-20 06:29:51	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x750c29…
05-07 03:32:04	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x4c1036…
05-07 03:31:03	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5101ff…
05-07 03:30:32	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x47b3dc…
05-07 03:29:13	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x892f0d…
05-07 03:28:27	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x702f88…
05-05 08:31:58	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xeb2a5c…
05-03 20:54:12	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x2e7d0f…
05-03 20:48:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x6dbfd7…
04-28 22:11:26	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa0b8a9…
04-28 22:10:00	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0bff6c…
04-27 21:22:56	Spotify Monthly Active Users above 750M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf7d737…
04-27 21:21:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5c0f29…
04-27 21:18:48	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x81a735…
04-23 00:13:32	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x355b9f…
04-21 21:32:38	highest temperature in lagos on april 21 2026 33c	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0b4e05…
04-21 21:05:22	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xc0e4e5…
04-21 13:31:34	highest temperature in lagos on april 21 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xdbb4e4…
04-21 13:28:44	highest temperature in lagos on april 21 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x766957…
04-21 13:23:34	highest temperature in lagos on april 21 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x932d38…
04-21 13:21:34	highest temperature in moscow on april 21 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf452ea…
04-20 21:03:24	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$4	0xf6f917…
04-19 22:09:36	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfb779a…
04-19 20:55:28	highest temperature in austin on april 19 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5e59b4…
04-19 20:48:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xd37e60…
04-19 20:34:40	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0e4dbe…
04-19 20:30:58	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xc5b2e9…
04-13 02:05:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x751d8d…
04-12 21:31:01	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf89684…
04-12 21:27:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb7d599…
04-12 21:22:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6ce001…
04-12 19:03:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd388aa…
04-12 05:38:35	will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 572	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x55c48e…
04-12 03:04:07	will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 572	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x78f278…
04-11 22:36:27	Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1bcc08…
04-11 20:38:47	Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x83d190…
04-11 20:38:45	Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xe42deb…
04-11 20:27:51	will babydoll dominic fike be the 1 song on spotify this week 345	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x874874…
04-11 20:22:29	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcce232…
04-11 20:20:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xab85d0…
04-11 20:15:05	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 235m?	No	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xca7746…
04-11 20:03:53	Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x33ee63…
04-11 20:02:35	Military action against Iran ends by April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xde75cb…
04-11 20:02:13	Military action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0x9b8b22…
04-11 20:01:37	Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	65	1¢	$0	0x744f45…
03-31 22:08:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9f83c7…
03-31 21:28:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x22229f…
03-31 21:25:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfb7238…
03-31 21:20:43	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$1	0xcf97b6…
03-31 21:13:21	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xef55c3…
03-31 21:11:45	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x93a206…
03-31 21:10:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x559436…