Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

730

Trades

1,897

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-27 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 70% -$330

Other

34% 33% -$696

Tech

5% 62% -$39

Sports

3% 40% +$59

Politics

1% 33% -$94

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	—	+9	$8	98¢	$9	+$1	10-27 23:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 1pt5	2	$2.0K	2,527	2,527	+0	Under	$0	07-19 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:40 UTC	10	$455	451	401	+50	Down	-$58	03-15 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:30 UTC	16	$431	364	320	+43	Up	-$106	03-15 23:34
will tsla dip to 315 in july 2026	6	$398	380	380	+0	Yes	-$144	07-24 03:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:15 UTC	12	$347	196	195	+1	Down	+$40	03-15 19:20
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	14	$339	571	571	+0	No	+$221	07-31 06:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:30 UTC	16	$271	262	258	+4	Up	-$7	03-15 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:35 UTC	13	$244	174	172	+2	Down	+$8	03-15 19:38
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	5	$229	200	115	+85	No	-$57	07-22 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 01:30 UTC	15	$218	230	210	+20	Up	+$12	07-20 01:34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	5	$206	195	195	-0	Yes	+$5	08-01 02:24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	8	$197	593	593	+0	No	+$6	08-01 18:03
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?	4	$185	200	156	+44	No	+$13	07-21 19:28
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	6	$172	100	100	+0	No	+$18	07-20 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:25 UTC	10	$169	115	114	+1	Up	+$9	03-15 19:28
will the announcers say var during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956896	2	$164	200	0	+200	Yes	+$36	07-19 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:55 UTC	11	$146	165	152	+14	Down	+$8	03-29 07:59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	7	$144	596	596	+0	No	-$16	07-25 04:58
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?	3	$139	227	227	+0	Yes	+$9	07-31 14:44
will tsla dip to 360 in july 2026	4	$135	190	100	+90	Yes	+$9	07-21 13:31
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	11	$133	120	120	+0	Yes	+$19	07-22 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:40 UTC	10	$123	130	101	+29	Up	+$2	03-29 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:45 UTC	11	$121	134	133	+1	Up	+$16	03-29 07:49
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	2	$118	200	200	+0	No	-$62	07-19 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:35 UTC	11	$117	1,094	82	+1,012	Up	-$32	03-15 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 03:45 UTC	4	$116	70	69	+0	Down	-$6	03-16 03:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 01:00 UTC	15	$115	128	78	+50	Up	-$15	07-20 01:04
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	11	$114	505	501	+4	No	+$13	08-04 00:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:05 UTC	5	$111	61	61	+0	Down	+$11	03-15 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:25 UTC	8	$110	84	83	+1	Down	-$10	03-15 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xaa6d78…
10-27 23:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x3f923b…
10-27 23:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x359ceb…
10-27 23:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x821df0…
10-27 23:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x743af6…
10-27 23:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1f6fca…
10-27 23:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x26e72e…
10-27 22:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd9522d…
10-27 22:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6979a4…
10-27 22:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x9e9834…
10-27 22:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xcc4878…
10-27 22:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xacf4e8…
10-27 22:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xa7369d…
10-27 22:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0xf5134c…
10-27 22:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xa4789b…
10-27 22:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x7ef96e…
10-27 22:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x846269…
10-27 22:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$11	0x7a6e9c…
10-27 22:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3b519b…
10-27 21:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x125bb0…
10-27 21:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x39e662…
10-27 21:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x914495…
10-27 21:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x97bd38…
10-27 21:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x93d8c1…
10-27 21:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x549147…
10-27 21:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa7d0f6…
10-27 21:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf97c1a…
10-27 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xc17c06…
10-27 21:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb2674d…
10-27 21:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xb1544c…
10-27 21:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x60a021…
10-27 20:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x276794…
10-27 20:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x358f8e…
10-27 20:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x34edc1…
10-27 20:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$11	0x62c162…
10-27 20:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x69e404…
10-27 20:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2be22f…
10-27 20:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xacaef2…
10-27 20:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xbaf24a…
10-27 20:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x469a08…
10-27 20:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xdb9a6e…
10-27 20:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x188f74…
10-27 19:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd8c78d…
10-27 19:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x010a5f…
10-27 19:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x5cf8f6…
10-27 19:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xfe5981…
10-27 19:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4c5da1…
10-27 19:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xcf38c0…
10-27 19:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x086ff9…
10-27 19:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x13f58c…
10-27 19:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x894aaa…
10-27 19:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xc387d1…
10-27 19:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xedc251…
10-27 19:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbe975d…
10-27 18:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7f49ae…
10-27 18:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe9e654…
10-27 18:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xfd85c3…
10-27 18:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x804c6d…
10-27 18:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x044d34…
10-27 18:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x9ab439…
10-27 18:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x453eac…
10-27 18:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x69bab9…
10-27 18:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x1c97b1…
10-27 18:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xfbb367…
10-27 18:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x024b8a…
10-27 18:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xf03e3d…
10-27 17:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x93d515…
10-27 17:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x762123…
10-27 17:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x80c891…
10-27 17:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xd861e1…
10-27 17:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xab1ba5…
10-27 17:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x502eed…
10-27 17:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2d2751…
10-27 17:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x85bc40…
10-27 17:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfa4353…
10-27 17:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa3dd98…
10-27 17:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9feb77…
10-27 17:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xf82a37…
10-27 16:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x06d976…
10-27 16:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x9a6f10…
10-27 16:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x1e29ba…
10-27 16:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc57b77…
10-27 16:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe54a7e…
10-27 16:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6b424f…
10-27 16:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x514d40…
10-27 16:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa595b6…
10-27 16:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x137ec0…
10-27 16:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2bf318…
10-27 16:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb2b122…
10-27 16:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xecfc4d…
10-27 15:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x294dfa…
10-27 15:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf76142…
10-27 15:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0xb44148…
10-27 15:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0xca1151…
10-27 15:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0x0a2b0f…
10-27 15:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x8a1ebe…
10-27 15:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xbf4f3e…
10-27 15:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x3338cb…
10-27 15:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x6dfde5…
10-27 15:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x767e98…