Lasting-Warning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

7,691

lifetime

Volume

$148.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-03 00:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 95% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770356700	18	$358	364	0	+364	open	—	02-06 05:59
btc updown 15m 1770906600	8	$159	163	0	+163	open	—	02-12 14:43
btc updown 15m 1770301800	7	$139	143	0	+143	open	—	02-05 14:44
btc updown 15m 1770293700	6	$119	124	0	+124	open	—	02-05 12:29
sol updown 15m 1770215400	4	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	02-04 14:45
sol updown 15m 1770498000	4	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	02-07 21:15
xrp updown 15m 1769809500	4	$80	41	40	+0	open	—	01-30 21:59
btc updown 15m 1770236100	4	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	02-04 20:29
xrp updown 15m 1770495300	4	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	02-07 20:30
eth updown 15m 1770037200	4	$80	41	40	+0	open	—	02-02 13:15
sol updown 15m 1770162300	4	$80	41	40	+0	open	—	02-03 23:59
eth updown 15m 1770457500	4	$80	41	40	+0	open	—	02-07 10:00
btc updown 15m 1775831400	4	$80	41	40	+0	open	—	04-10 14:44
eth updown 15m 1769930100	4	$80	41	40	+1	open	—	02-01 07:29
xrp updown 15m 1769949000	5	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	02-01 12:44
btc updown 15m 1769940000	6	$80	41	40	+1	open	—	02-01 10:14
xrp updown 15m 1769929200	6	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	02-01 07:14
xrp updown 15m 1769927400	7	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	02-01 06:44
eth updown 15m 1770634800	4	$80	41	40	+0	open	—	02-09 11:14
btc updown 15m 1770330600	4	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	02-05 22:45
sol updown 15m 1770263100	4	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	02-05 04:00
eth updown 15m 1770406200	4	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	02-06 19:45
btc updown 15m 1769895900	4	$80	41	40	+0	open	—	01-31 21:59
btc updown 15m 1769767200	4	$80	41	40	+0	open	—	01-30 10:14
sol updown 15m 1771599600	4	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	02-20 15:14
eth updown 15m 1769949000	6	$79	40	40	+1	open	—	02-01 12:44
xrp updown 15m 1769627700	4	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	01-28 19:29
eth updown 15m 1771002000	4	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	02-13 17:14
eth updown 15m 1770577200	4	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	02-08 19:15
sol updown 15m 1770516000	4	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	02-08 02:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 00:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9002d4…
06-03 00:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x062326…
06-02 23:43:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x583f44…
06-02 23:43:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x279947…
06-02 23:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf765f3…
06-02 23:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbfa0cb…
06-02 23:12:58	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb7d639…
06-02 23:12:58	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x05f31a…
06-02 19:57:58	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd67552…
06-02 19:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xb6884f…
06-02 19:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x622103…
06-02 19:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb538cb…
06-02 19:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5f903f…
06-02 16:58:16	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb710a…
06-02 15:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9e746f…
06-02 15:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x606dd8…
06-02 15:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x14f63f…
06-02 15:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0df140…
06-01 14:14:27	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x40a6fc…
06-01 14:12:58	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7fbc68…
06-01 13:58:45	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9bdedd…
06-01 13:58:45	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x562ac5…
06-01 13:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xba289a…
06-01 13:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x927fd1…
06-01 13:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa426a3…
06-01 13:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x19b987…
05-29 16:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd2c6c4…
05-29 16:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x31bcf8…
05-29 15:28:11	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x81f2a3…
05-28 15:12:59	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa03d44…
05-28 15:12:59	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x809c90…
05-28 14:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa3b05a…
05-28 14:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5479fa…
05-28 14:42:58	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x75c561…
05-28 14:42:58	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x12f8a8…
05-28 14:28:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcc7270…
05-28 14:28:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x5bc75d…
05-28 14:14:14	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf6ab59…
05-28 14:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x640450…
05-28 14:14:14	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x472e94…
05-28 14:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x412265…
05-28 14:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8903d5…
05-28 14:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x32561e…
05-28 03:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xdb9895…
05-28 03:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x35655d…
05-28 03:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x67df48…
05-28 03:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x47b318…
05-28 03:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdbe8d1…
05-28 03:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6a536d…
05-28 03:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xed8264…
05-26 15:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa0605b…
05-26 15:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x66dd13…
05-26 13:59:21	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xfe5569…
05-26 13:59:21	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x632e40…
05-26 13:58:00	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe8ecff…
05-26 13:57:58	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa4248d…
05-24 22:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6dd001…
05-23 14:58:11	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x547417…
05-23 14:58:11	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x51e182…
05-22 17:57:57	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfea3f1…
05-22 17:57:57	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfab571…
05-22 07:27:59	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x880dcf…
05-22 07:27:59	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x63de20…
05-21 10:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x8b278d…
05-21 10:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb4165a…
05-21 10:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe5e149…
05-19 14:13:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xf68170…
05-19 13:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x683699…
05-19 13:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf4c9f8…
05-19 13:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x67c8d5…
05-18 18:58:12	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb71520…
05-18 15:28:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x313fe4…
05-18 15:28:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0dc9ae…
05-18 15:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x89415e…
05-18 15:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x526e04…
05-18 15:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x83fd6c…
05-18 15:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa4f501…
05-18 14:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfd5478…
05-18 14:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4ccb5d…
05-18 14:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf73f48…
05-18 14:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x43c7fc…
05-18 14:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2ac7c8…
05-18 11:58:01	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x82d40a…
05-18 11:58:01	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x736e43…
05-16 10:13:12	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0df98e…
05-16 10:13:08	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc55b56…
05-15 13:58:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xffd67b…
05-15 13:58:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x30a2e5…
05-15 13:57:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x316615…
05-15 13:57:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x04d9c7…
05-15 12:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x745a38…
05-15 12:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x880361…
05-14 23:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8e510f…
05-14 17:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x439a2f…
05-14 17:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x30656b…
05-14 17:43:49	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x43a2ba…
05-14 17:43:49	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0a2224…
05-14 17:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd659fa…
05-14 17:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc8ee59…
05-14 16:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb2ded3…