Quiet-Loggia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.50K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

867

Trades

2,081

lifetime

Volume

$133.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-26 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

55% 37% -$531

Crypto

23% 33% -$2,945

Sports

22% 40% -$674

Politics

0% 0% -$150

Tech

0% 0% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	8	$1.9K	1,662	1,662	+0	Down	+$1,460	06-22 13:30
bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	5	$1.5K	1,791	1,791	+0	No	+$1,030	06-09 14:28
mlb phi tor 2026 06 10 spread away 4pt5	2	$1.2K	941	941	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$632	06-11 02:20
nhl car las 2026 06 09 total 6pt5	2	$991	698	698	+0	Over	+$391	06-10 01:51
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	4	$959	1,120	681	+439	Under	+$199	06-18 17:56
mlb tor bos 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	2	$940	741	741	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$540	06-17 01:41
spy up or down on june 22 2026	5	$897	1,461	652	+809	Down	-$103	06-22 14:46
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	2	$848	629	629	+0	Over	+$408	06-19 00:02
fif eng cri 2026 06 10 total 2pt5	2	$839	645	645	+0	Over	+$439	06-10 23:02
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 team total home 2pt5	2	$813	573	573	+0	Over	+$321	06-18 22:49
mlb sea bal 2026 06 09 total 10pt5	2	$801	606	606	+0	Over	+$401	06-10 01:44
will bitcoin reach 63k on june 10	2	$789	520	520	+0	No	+$189	06-10 22:52
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5	2	$787	558	558	+0	Over	+$318	05-09 06:39
spy opens up or down on july 23 2026	6	$666	600	600	+0	Down	+$474	07-23 18:02
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	2	$657	522	522	+0	Over	+$386	06-23 18:53
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	3	$642	492	492	+0	Over	+$332	06-17 00:01
ucl gal1 juv 2026 02 17 gal1	3	$602	560	560	+0	Yes	+$468	02-17 19:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 07:45 UTC	4	$593	556	402	+154	Down	+$143	06-21 07:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 02:00 UTC	6	$584	385	385	+0	Down	+$184	06-17 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:35 UTC	3	$571	413	413	+0	Down	+$171	06-18 15:36
bitcoin above 60k on june 12 2026	2	$566	3,132	3,132	+0	Yes	-$434	06-11 17:42
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5	2	$562	417	417	+0	Over	+$263	05-24 21:38
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	2	$555	405	405	+0	Over	+$255	06-16 23:47
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	2	$554	417	417	+0	Under	+$154	06-21 20:23
spy up or down on june 17 2026	2	$554	404	404	+0	Down	+$254	06-17 20:00
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	2	$544	345	345	+0	Cabo Verde	+$144	06-22 00:11
mls mia chi 2026 07 22 team total home 2pt5	2	$541	417	417	+0	Over	+$291	07-23 01:39
uel dyn pao1 2026 07 23 total 4pt5	2	$525	773	773	+0	Over	+$185	07-23 17:51
fl1 psg asm 2026 03 06 total 3pt5	3	$516	340	340	+0	Over	+$164	03-06 21:54
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	2	$515	426	426	+0	Yes	+$115	06-19 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:19:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 26?	No	BUY	257	19¢	$50	0x284b80…
10-26 14:13:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 26?	No	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x10abb6…
10-26 02:35:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 26?	No	BUY	265	23¢	$60	0xb18b50…
10-26 02:31:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4f0aa4…
10-26 02:29:24	Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x4f39b6…
10-26 02:00:38	Wild vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	151	35¢	$53	0xd4f4bc…
10-26 01:59:33	Avalanche vs. Predators	Predators	SELL	156	98¢	$153	0x70594e…
10-26 01:12:56	Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	118	38¢	$45	0x8b2b2b…
10-25 23:04:08	Avalanche vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xbeab01…
10-25 23:02:47	Canadiens vs. Jets: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0x906cda…
10-25 19:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x470c47…
10-25 19:42:09	Panthers vs. Blackhawks	Blackhawks	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xb2c509…
10-25 17:23:56	US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x54f9a4…
10-25 14:00:39	Konyaspor leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x8ad9e6…
10-25 13:23:48	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x8f6ce1…
10-25 13:19:36	Konyaspor leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x98c846…
10-25 03:24:15	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	192	84¢	$162	0x85abb7…
10-25 03:10:38	Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xb21b32…
10-25 03:08:23	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x83d03a…
10-25 03:06:30	Lightning vs. Utah: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0xa1dada…
10-25 01:02:38	Lightning vs. Utah: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x8a4716…
10-25 01:01:48	Colorado Rapids SC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x0f5cb0…
10-25 01:00:18	Sporting Kansas City vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xa991d5…
10-24 22:15:24	Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xa86868…
10-24 19:37:50	Kings vs. Devils: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xb81873…
10-24 19:22:33	Ducks vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x2f4e60…
10-24 17:18:38	SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	176	51¢	$90	0xd0ebf5…
10-24 16:57:39	Ducks vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	195	41¢	$80	0xfb132d…
10-24 16:57:18	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x590566…
10-24 15:17:56	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xf8bb7f…
10-24 15:17:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	160	86¢	$137	0x236198…
10-24 13:54:15	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	188	34¢	$64	0x110b67…
10-24 11:32:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	160	8¢	$13	0x2c4280…
10-24 03:26:00	Lightning vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	179	84¢	$150	0x40219c…
10-24 02:46:44	Canadiens vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x651328…
10-23 22:14:24	Lightning vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x36b57e…
10-23 22:13:53	Canadiens vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0x486cd9…
10-23 22:13:08	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	197	38¢	$75	0x23a658…
10-23 22:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xdee877…
10-23 22:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	49	82¢	$40	0x3be136…
10-23 22:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	60	82¢	$49	0x8e2b38…
10-23 22:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x248328…
10-23 22:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x08db90…
10-23 22:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x2720b0…
10-23 20:05:15	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd7bc70…
10-23 20:03:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 23?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0x524793…
10-23 08:46:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 23?	No	BUY	251	27¢	$67	0x4f3da5…
10-19 18:02:53	Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	201	23¢	$46	0x3f59f4…
10-17 05:07:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd4adb0…
10-17 04:27:26	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	321	28¢	$90	0x358171…
10-17 03:24:24	Club Tijuana vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	202	57¢	$115	0x55ba5c…
10-17 03:07:21	Atlante FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xd4c2c2…
10-17 03:06:06	mlb tb cle 2026 10 16 total 6pt5	Over	SELL	200	49¢	$97	0x1227c3…
10-16 20:55:08	Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x6fcdb2…
10-16 20:54:32	mlb tb cle 2026 10 16 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xa26a69…
10-16 20:53:50	Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x674128…
10-16 20:23:06	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xef33e0…
10-16 20:03:20	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x6deebe…
10-16 19:18:52	Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xa884ff…
10-16 19:18:37	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x68a6ed…
10-16 18:54:50	spy closes above 765 on october 16 2026	No	SELL	424	91¢	$386	0x57679e…
10-16 17:45:11	spy closes above 760 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x2b99f7…
10-16 17:43:57	spy closes above 760 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xc0d674…
10-16 17:43:57	spy closes above 760 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x1e4376…
10-16 17:42:54	spy closes above 760 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x4d2a3f…
10-16 17:38:47	spy closes above 760 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	445	11¢	$50	0x58e93e…
10-16 17:37:30	Sumqayit FK vs. Araz Nakhchivan PFK: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x08798f…
10-16 17:06:55	spy closes above 770 on october 16 2026	No	SELL	259	95¢	$246	0x2b8bb0…
10-16 15:51:33	spy closes above 765 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	374	11¢	$40	0xf2a055…
10-16 15:50:58	spy closes above 765 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x228df3…
10-16 15:08:34	Sumqayit FK vs. Araz Nakhchivan PFK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xfbeff9…
10-16 15:07:12	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	297	34¢	$100	0xaf6f93…
10-16 15:05:42	spy closes above 770 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0x88fb80…
10-10 17:58:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	475	20¢	$95	0x2072c7…
10-10 16:46:22	Flyers vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	107	41¢	$44	0xe35e63…
10-10 15:59:37	FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x35fb38…
10-10 15:59:15	FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xd189f1…
10-10 15:57:34	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x79ba89…
10-10 15:30:45	Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	108	55¢	$60	0x0517b7…
10-10 15:30:04	Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Chelsea FC O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	227	99¢	$225	0x409dd1…
10-10 15:01:21	Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Chelsea FC O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x1e3b7d…
10-10 14:59:27	Genoa CFC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	189	100¢	$189	0x0acb0a…
10-10 13:02:52	Genoa CFC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	189	45¢	$85	0xda66c6…
10-10 12:59:42	Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	154	99¢	$152	0xae2132…
10-10 11:53:43	Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	154	39¢	$60	0xbfc903…
10-10 00:10:01	Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	123	45¢	$55	0x07cdef…
10-09 22:52:20	Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xe01f02…
10-09 22:51:28	SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0xb5fd8d…
10-09 19:12:34	SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xaddfef…
10-09 19:10:31	Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x0d4a97…
10-09 19:06:43	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	189	37¢	$70	0xffc724…
10-09 19:05:25	spy closes above 780 on october 9 2026	Yes	BUY	265	16¢	$42	0x3051bb…
10-09 19:04:35	Finland vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x9ce6c4…
10-09 15:26:33	Finland vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	220	33¢	$73	0x8bc577…
10-09 13:07:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 9?	No	BUY	570	11¢	$61	0xbbce80…
10-09 13:06:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	316	19¢	$60	0x5919a9…
10-02 12:21:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	245	26¢	$64	0x632b21…
09-27 11:09:35	Manchester United WFC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	128	37¢	$47	0xc6fc61…
09-27 01:03:15	fif col mex 2026 09 26 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0x57c25f…
09-26 23:17:23	mlb col cws 2026 09 26 spread home 1pt5	Chicago White Sox	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x147ec9…