Confused-Codon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-02 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 72% +$17

Other

3% 50% $-0

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	05-07 19:57
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Up	$-25	05-10 19:55
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 3pm et	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-15 20:17
bitcoin up or down march 12 1am et	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-12 06:03
bitcoin up or down march 12 10am et	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-12 14:50
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-16 06:12
hype up or down march 15 2026 4pm et	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-15 20:48
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 2pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-18 18:54
bitcoin up or down march 9 2pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-09 18:55
bitcoin up or down march 9 7am et	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-09 11:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	Down	$-5	05-12 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	3	$15	22	0	+22	Up	+$7	05-06 19:44
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 4pm et	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-26 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 20:12
hype updown 15m 1776399300	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	04-17 04:29
btc updown 5m 1776284100	3	$11	12	2	+10	open	—	04-15 20:19
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 3pm et	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	03-29 19:56
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 05:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 15:13
sol updown 4h 1774152000	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-22 06:22
bitcoin up or down february 27 1am et	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	02-27 06:23
hype updown 15m 1776281400	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-15 19:38
eth updown 15m 1776398400	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-17 04:12
bitcoin up or down january 8 2pm et	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	01-08 19:49
btc updown 15m 1774899900	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-30 19:50
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 2pm et	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-17 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-18 19:21
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4pm et	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-22 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 14:53:29	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x663717…
06-02 04:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3fda95…
06-01 20:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5e6eee…
05-31 11:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2d4673…
05-31 10:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x383ea6…
05-31 02:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x22530e…
05-30 20:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe476a6…
05-30 12:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x216b96…
05-30 11:53:31	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdc37dc…
05-30 11:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xab23e8…
05-29 11:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1f4c3d…
05-29 08:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd7edb4…
05-28 19:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x87eb5f…
05-28 13:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc5cc15…
05-28 08:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xeb94a1…
05-27 21:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x645be7…
05-26 20:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x973094…
05-25 21:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x263136…
05-24 20:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc60be4…
05-24 19:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf07534…
05-23 19:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x6e75d0…
05-23 14:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe192a3…
05-23 08:41:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x633a83…
05-23 08:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x384936…
05-22 08:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xdfcb13…
05-21 14:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x134872…
05-20 20:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x569d89…
05-19 21:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa7b172…
05-18 19:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x415554…
05-18 19:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x25b0cb…
05-17 21:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd4cce3…
05-17 20:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb484af…
05-15 11:58:26	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x724e03…
05-14 20:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc1e583…
05-14 18:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x724278…
05-14 15:52:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa28378…
05-14 15:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x340d9b…
05-14 07:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa080ed…
05-13 18:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x916158…
05-13 10:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x277393…
05-13 09:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcc6bf8…
05-12 17:56:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe06530…
05-12 15:42:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe6ff3b…
05-12 15:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x9e2329…
05-12 12:24:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x62f3ae…
05-12 07:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa0c0c3…
05-12 05:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0xf7d49b…
05-12 05:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x19b60b…
05-12 05:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x1de1d9…
05-12 05:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe78817…
05-12 05:53:03	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xf4c11e…
05-12 05:50:52	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8a0738…
05-12 05:50:11	HYPE Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4ecaf8…
05-11 19:50:30	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x227e3c…
05-11 19:50:16	HYPE Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc21290…
05-11 19:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x184346…
05-11 19:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdbe87b…
05-11 04:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x93e59e…
05-10 19:55:56	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xb32790…
05-10 18:47:58	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3239b4…
05-10 05:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5bdf70…
05-09 20:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcdb265…
05-09 19:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xeb66e5…
05-09 05:19:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf84b20…
05-08 20:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb888cf…
05-08 19:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf8b313…
05-08 04:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdd4ac7…
05-07 19:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x322481…
05-07 15:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6d04b7…
05-07 06:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xef4ad3…
05-07 06:13:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfc9b22…
05-07 05:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf8c174…
05-06 20:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc3b978…
05-06 19:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xee06e8…
05-06 19:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0fca39…
05-06 19:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1de380…
05-06 15:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0cd401…
05-06 09:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x58f0d6…
05-06 04:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x62dc88…
05-05 20:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd7250e…
05-05 20:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7df768…
05-05 18:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x62b563…
05-05 11:21:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x0bd5b6…
05-05 06:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd0285e…
05-05 06:53:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xdf1509…
05-05 06:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbbdd0f…
05-04 21:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xac499c…
05-04 21:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x484a2a…
05-04 19:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf7c809…
05-04 15:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe2963f…
05-04 15:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4f8013…
05-04 14:26:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3ed46b…
05-04 11:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcd65b5…
05-04 10:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9115ab…
05-03 04:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe6c81c…
05-02 19:47:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4db7bf…
04-30 16:32:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x47e664…
04-29 19:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x430c4f…
04-29 19:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb62ba2…
04-28 15:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x93e658…