Exalted-Jogging — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

239

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$2.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 09-14 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

74% 28% +$50

Sports

24% 42% -$70

Politics

1% 67% +$5

Crypto

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+10	$5	68¢	$7	+$2	07-16 17:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+20	$5	17¢	$3	-$2	07-11 05:21
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+50	$14	3¢	$2	-$13	09-14 14:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	4	$215	161	161	+0	Team Spirit	+$58	08-23 13:46
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	2	$105	90	90	+0	Yes	+$5	05-04 12:25
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	2	$70	80	0	+80	Team Spirit	+$10	08-23 07:09
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$67	732	732	+0	No	+$7	06-14 14:58
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5	2	$54	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	06-14 14:59
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	2	$47	80	0	+80	Yes	+$33	06-30 17:02
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 btts	1	$43	75	0	+75	Yes	+$32	06-25 15:09
dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22 game2	2	$42	70	0	+70	Team Spirit	+$28	08-23 03:34
Pistons vs. Magic	6	$38	100	79	+21	Magic	-$26	04-25 19:18
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$34	60	0	+60	Yes	+$26	07-01 16:11
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score	1	$30	57	0	+57	Yes	+$27	06-14 14:59
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 corners total 8pt5	1	$30	49	0	+49	Under	-$30	06-25 15:11
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$26	3,667	3,667	+0	No	+$4	06-14 13:42
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$26	40	0	+40	Knicks	-$26	06-03 14:13
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	2	$25	51	0	+51	No	-$25	06-21 15:47
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	1	$24	40	0	+40	Under	-$24	06-13 13:59
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$24	20	20	+0	Spurs	+$5	06-09 02:51
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	1	$23	40	0	+40	Yes	+$17	06-26 15:00
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09	2	$23	20	20	+0	Karolina Muchova	+$4	07-09 14:12
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	2	$22	40	0	+40	Yes	-$22	07-02 16:52
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	1	$22	40	0	+40	No	-$22	07-05 13:35
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	2	$22	40	0	+40	France	+$18	06-30 13:15
atp bublik halys 2026 07 15	2	$21	30	0	+30	Quentin Halys	-$21	07-16 18:08
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	1	$21	40	0	+40	Under	-$21	06-25 14:36
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$21	20	20	+0	No	+$5	07-16 14:52
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$20	40	0	+40	Brazil	+$20	06-29 17:37
Japan to score first vs. Netherlands?	1	$20	50	0	+50	No	-$20	06-14 14:59
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	+$9	06-22 15:19
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	1	$20	35	0	+35	Yes	+$15	06-19 11:07
Games Total: O/U 4.5	4	$20	18	18	+0	Under	+$0	08-23 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 14:34:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x305217…
09-14 14:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x90709d…
09-14 14:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x79c882…
08-27 17:45:43	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x87ead7…
08-27 17:44:52	lol shft th 2026 08 28	Shifters	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x1a79ee…
08-27 17:44:30	lol tes lgd 2026 08 29	LGD Gaming	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x216420…
08-23 15:08:07	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x5715c2…
08-23 14:38:21	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x8df135…
08-23 14:33:52	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x6f6873…
08-23 14:00:48	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x726a7b…
08-23 13:46:09	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x5e5478…
08-23 12:28:31	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xd4c6fd…
08-23 12:28:01	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xdc20e4…
08-23 08:48:46	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x11aa5f…
08-23 07:52:40	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	TEAM VISION	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x91b7fb…
08-23 07:09:03	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	65	87¢	$57	0x62e4b2…
08-23 07:09:00	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xc43d5a…
08-23 04:59:03	dota2 vsn2 ts8 2026 08 23	TEAM VISION	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x2298bb…
08-23 03:34:37	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xcb36a3…
08-23 03:34:04	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x36bab1…
08-22 14:49:54	dota2 boombo ts8 2026 08 22 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x811013…
07-19 15:56:54	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xaddc86…
07-17 04:09:31	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xe31578…
07-16 18:08:56	atp bublik halys 2026 07 15	Alexander Bublik	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xbe58bb…
07-16 18:08:40	atp bublik halys 2026 07 15	Alexander Bublik	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xc72a9c…
07-16 17:11:10	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x41236f…
07-16 17:09:50	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 16	England	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xaf19a5…
07-16 14:52:35	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x50e354…
07-14 18:37:20	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x90993a…
07-14 18:31:55	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3ce567…
07-14 18:31:11	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x201e93…
07-12 03:31:20	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x46c66e…
07-11 17:45:46	atp brancac gomez 2026 07 11	Raul Brancaccio	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x91b075…
07-11 05:21:26	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa6126e…
07-11 05:17:55	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x21b5f3…
07-10 11:59:14	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb95bea…
07-09 17:26:50	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x25e411…
07-09 17:26:49	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5d8933…
07-09 14:17:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0d1a11…
07-09 14:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb7b03e…
07-09 14:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x2d03c7…
07-09 14:15:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x89ebc2…
07-09 14:14:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8f9c32…
07-09 14:14:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x1b3785…
07-09 14:13:01	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5b0dfb…
07-09 14:12:19	wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09	Karolina Muchova	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xdd83d6…
07-09 14:05:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xf456ce…
07-09 14:04:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xbc26d5…
07-09 13:59:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x4991ee…
07-09 13:58:55	wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09	Karolina Muchova	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6bf0d4…
07-09 13:58:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x1822cf…
07-09 13:57:04	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x616b03…
07-07 18:21:19	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 first half team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xfc753f…
07-07 16:46:43	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0xcb4a6a…
07-07 16:37:25	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x48e1be…
07-07 16:36:44	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd1b65b…
07-07 16:36:38	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x20b583…
07-07 16:35:38	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x5aa094…
07-07 16:29:44	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xc39c2c…
07-07 16:24:10	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xa7e50d…
07-07 16:18:10	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x1b3bf2…
07-06 18:32:28	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x323884…
07-06 18:32:04	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x7cfe4b…
07-06 18:31:34	Portugal to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xcd5847…
07-06 16:15:10	Portugal to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xc6ce82…
07-05 13:35:23	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x75d5aa…
07-04 17:12:02	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3157c2…
07-04 16:55:47	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xf7cfc6…
07-04 16:54:44	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x86f70d…
07-04 11:06:17	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xa8a1b8…
07-03 17:27:58	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xaa89f0…
07-03 17:04:40	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xcf763a…
07-03 15:55:37	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xc92c92…
07-03 04:00:22	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xdd6c77…
07-03 03:55:16	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfe5605…
07-03 03:55:02	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 extra time	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x86487d…
07-03 03:54:40	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals riyad mahrez gte1	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x53d882…
07-02 17:19:02	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa6811b…
07-02 17:17:14	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x26102d…
07-02 17:15:20	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x14c8bd…
07-02 17:14:58	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x39bdf6…
07-02 17:14:31	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x3a7fe8…
07-02 17:14:16	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x5e80f3…
07-02 17:12:10	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x58e6de…
07-02 16:58:07	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 assists bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb8f739…
07-02 16:57:35	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x2f74af…
07-02 16:57:22	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xa932cf…
07-02 16:57:08	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x10663b…
07-02 16:52:10	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9e9b03…
07-02 16:51:13	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x085b88…
07-02 16:11:56	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Austria?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7e31f6…
07-02 16:11:41	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xf0e56f…
07-02 16:11:29	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x895a85…
07-02 16:11:14	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x03a5e9…
07-02 16:11:05	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xc15b6b…
07-01 18:13:34	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xf6ed2a…
07-01 18:13:23	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xb2a783…
07-01 18:13:14	Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xb908c1…
07-01 18:12:55	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd13dc1…
07-01 18:09:52	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 goals ismaila sarr gte1	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xf230b7…