Nimble-Iron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

1,134

Trades

1,409

lifetime

Volume

$65.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-19 06:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 256 days

Categories

Other

64% 98% +$38

Crypto

36% 96% +$60

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 80k on february 8	2	$345	174	174	+0	No	+$1	02-07 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 6?	2	$300	150	150	+0	No	+$0	07-06 08:55
bitcoin above 82k on january 9	4	$296	148	148	+0	Yes	+$0	01-09 17:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 21?	3	$288	289	0	+289	No	+$1	05-20 07:27
bitcoin above 68k on june 13 2026	3	$288	290	0	+290	No	+$2	06-12 16:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?	2	$272	273	0	+273	No	+$1	05-30 06:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	3	$250	254	0	+254	Yes	+$4	06-02 06:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 19?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-19 09:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 06:53
bitcoin above 70k on june 12 2026	2	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	06-10 12:44
bitcoin above 82k on june 8 2026	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	06-04 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on September 15?	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	09-15 13:54
bitcoin above 72k on june 16 2026	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	06-13 11:43
bitcoin above 56k on june 24 2026	2	$200	201	0	+201	Yes	+$1	06-23 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 13?	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	10-12 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on October 16?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	10-16 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on July 30?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-30 17:25
bitcoin above 66k on june 30 2026	2	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	06-28 16:25
bitcoin above 70k on june 26 2026	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	06-24 06:05
bitcoin above 82k on february 7	2	$197	99	99	+0	No	+$1	02-06 05:53
bitcoin above 86k on february 6	2	$196	99	99	+0	No	+$0	02-05 13:42
bitcoin above 90k on february 5	2	$196	98	98	+0	No	+$0	02-04 11:51
bitcoin above 92k on february 4	2	$196	98	98	+0	No	+$0	02-03 15:33
bitcoin above 66k on july 7 2026	2	$196	101	101	+0	No	-$4	07-06 17:00
bitcoin above 72k on august 21 2026	2	$195	100	100	+0	Yes	-$5	08-19 16:59
bitcoin above 92k on february 2	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	+$0	02-02 17:04
bitcoin above 96k on january 31	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	+$0	01-31 17:05
bitcoin above 82k on january 29	2	$194	97	97	+0	Yes	+$0	01-29 17:04
bitcoin above 82k on january 11	3	$192	96	96	+0	Yes	+$0	01-11 17:02
bitcoin above 82k on january 13	2	$192	96	96	+0	Yes	+$0	01-13 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 06:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x520924…
10-19 06:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x53fc9d…
10-19 06:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x89ecea…
10-19 06:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9bdd6f…
10-19 06:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x739ea6…
10-19 06:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd0d41c…
10-19 06:39:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 51°F or below on October 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x47a760…
10-16 13:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on October 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2b7f89…
10-16 13:37:33	highest temperature in san francisco on october 17 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd71d2a…
10-16 13:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x99e86a…
10-16 13:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on October 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3e0a83…
10-16 13:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x357e14…
10-13 13:53:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on October 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd127c6…
10-13 13:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xca568a…
10-12 13:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb37c4f…
10-12 13:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on October 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe4563c…
10-12 12:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C or below on October 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9fff77…
10-12 12:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C or below on October 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x570b30…
10-12 11:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x84f613…
10-12 11:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0ba794…
10-10 07:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x041f0b…
10-10 06:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x527d24…
10-10 06:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd99346…
10-10 06:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x039d93…
10-10 06:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf90bbc…
10-10 06:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x962a66…
10-02 13:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x180c8b…
10-02 13:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd2fe09…
10-02 13:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5edd4d…
10-01 13:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on October 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfbbb8b…
10-01 13:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcf7442…
10-01 13:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 2?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x4b8680…
10-01 13:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x36a595…
10-01 13:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on October 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfbcda6…
10-01 13:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on October 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9db7eb…
09-30 14:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 30?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x01eaba…
09-30 14:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfbddcd…
09-30 14:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x41b5ca…
09-30 14:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x103bb3…
09-30 13:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on October 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x75eb87…
09-30 13:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on October 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x42ede9…
09-29 16:38:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 29?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9fc002…
09-29 16:16:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac775f…
09-29 14:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb32fbd…
09-29 13:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on September 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x162604…
09-29 13:34:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on September 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x92a68c…
09-29 13:33:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 29?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf43f89…
09-28 16:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 92°F or higher on September 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2ed4ad…
09-28 16:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on September 29?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7e45c0…
09-28 13:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on September 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcfae7b…
09-28 13:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on September 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3ea644…
09-27 16:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d07f6…
09-27 15:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 65°F or below on September 28?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb4b53f…
09-27 13:36:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6860c1…
09-27 13:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe6606f…
09-27 13:07:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 80°F or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x126d42…
09-26 14:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 27?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xdff8c3…
09-26 13:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4d8203…
09-26 13:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C or higher on September 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf86c64…
09-26 13:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on September 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8804d2…
09-26 13:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on September 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40d03f…
09-26 13:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2aa31d…
09-25 13:32:23	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x63cfd5…
09-25 13:20:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4e203f…
09-25 13:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on September 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5897e9…
09-24 14:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on September 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x51b418…
09-24 14:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x961a43…
09-24 14:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xafc333…
09-24 14:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x25d615…
09-24 13:52:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x66ff06…
09-23 16:18:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x42364b…
09-23 16:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbad10d…
09-23 13:53:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x96566f…
09-23 13:53:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa6a2f1…
09-23 13:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc0ac9f…
09-23 13:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd0c9be…
09-22 14:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x82ebb1…
09-22 14:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcb3ea9…
09-22 13:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7c0a39…
09-22 13:46:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 90°F or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1487a5…
09-21 14:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1fa66c…
09-21 13:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x61e38b…
09-21 13:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 36°C or higher on September 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc07c9e…
09-21 13:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 21?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd6d02e…
09-20 16:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on September 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0838a7…
09-20 15:28:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 80°F or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbc27d8…
09-20 14:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9d6f47…
09-20 13:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on September 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x44e0e1…
09-19 14:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on September 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcfbe12…
09-19 13:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe4c398…
09-19 12:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9fdecc…
09-19 12:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7218ea…
09-18 13:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x36c6be…
09-18 12:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfeb9a0…
09-17 16:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4680c7…
09-17 16:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x473d08…
09-17 13:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc30968…
09-17 13:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x42193d…
09-17 12:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3e6726…
09-16 14:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc61fd8…