Watery-Messenger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

173

Trades

1,717

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-19 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	6	$88	72	72	+0	open	—	05-03 04:09
btc updown 15m 1776676500	8	$81	74	71	+2	open	—	04-20 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	9	$78	126	126	+0	Up	$-17	05-13 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	6	$75	82	82	+0	open	—	05-04 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	6	$74	71	71	+0	open	—	05-03 09:22
btc updown 15m 1776615300	9	$72	58	57	+1	open	—	04-19 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	5	$71	72	72	+0	open	—	05-01 15:37
btc updown 15m 1775800800	9	$68	54	53	+2	open	—	04-10 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	8	$68	74	74	+0	Down	+$8	05-11 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	8	$66	108	108	+0	Up	+$18	05-12 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$65	83	83	+0	Down	$-7	05-12 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	7	$65	66	66	+0	open	—	05-15 11:37
btc updown 15m 1776835800	7	$65	50	48	+1	open	—	04-22 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	8	$63	56	56	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	7	$62	54	54	+0	open	—	05-14 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	9	$61	50	50	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 11:41
btc updown 15m 1776838500	8	$59	49	48	+1	open	—	04-22 06:20
btc updown 15m 1776489300	9	$57	44	43	+1	open	—	04-18 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	9	$57	56	56	+0	Up	$-3	05-05 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	9	$57	52	52	+0	Down	$-3	05-05 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	10	$56	128	128	+0	Down	$-3	05-12 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	6	$55	54	54	+0	open	—	05-04 08:41
btc updown 15m 1776685500	7	$55	59	57	+2	open	—	04-20 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	3	$54	38	38	+0	open	—	04-30 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$52	36	36	+0	open	—	05-02 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	3	$52	41	41	+0	open	—	05-02 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	5	$52	43	43	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	5	$50	54	54	+0	open	—	04-30 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	7	$50	46	46	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$50	36	36	+0	open	—	05-03 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 12:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xf84b65…
05-19 12:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x139206…
05-19 12:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1843a9…
05-19 12:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x23349c…
05-19 12:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc8f634…
05-19 12:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xb6cb3c…
05-19 12:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x28e59b…
05-19 12:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0x83d803…
05-19 12:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1855c3…
05-19 12:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x382137…
05-19 12:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xea65c6…
05-19 12:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xee10f7…
05-19 12:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	25	68¢	$17	0xb2b572…
05-19 12:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4089b4…
05-19 12:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x4174ce…
05-19 12:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	26	21¢	$5	0x784095…
05-19 12:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa29ec5…
05-19 11:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x55158a…
05-19 11:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0xfb9c30…
05-19 11:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe0370f…
05-19 11:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xd92476…
05-19 11:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0xd884d1…
05-19 11:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7a4bf7…
05-19 11:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x663267…
05-19 11:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0x1a5326…
05-19 11:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x99d1a3…
05-19 11:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xc01c81…
05-19 11:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x8589e3…
05-19 11:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xe5af9d…
05-19 11:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x07863e…
05-19 11:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x71f709…
05-19 11:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x5f2b6b…
05-19 11:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x69e68a…
05-19 11:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x6a0ab9…
05-19 11:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xe16fdb…
05-19 10:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x197b3f…
05-19 10:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xfbfb24…
05-19 10:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0949ce…
05-19 10:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xf2b44d…
05-19 10:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x6d13b5…
05-19 10:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xba944a…
05-19 10:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x849450…
05-19 10:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x7c9a8e…
05-19 10:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xf5eac9…
05-19 10:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xb17437…
05-19 10:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x1fd5fe…
05-19 10:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x2d1f8e…
05-19 10:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x76ed67…
05-19 10:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x857399…
05-19 10:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x3aeee7…
05-19 10:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x904811…
05-19 10:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x99e7ab…
05-19 10:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x2f9ac1…
05-19 10:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xa524e7…
05-19 10:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc17603…
05-19 10:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$0	0x29949a…
05-19 10:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0xbc1bf3…
05-19 10:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x038315…
05-19 09:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x8bc858…
05-19 09:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xa37dbb…
05-19 09:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xeb6487…
05-19 09:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x4922ca…
05-19 09:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd08089…
05-19 09:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x8597b0…
05-19 09:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xb4b05a…
05-19 09:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x068895…
05-19 09:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x25bb5a…
05-19 09:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x52d226…
05-19 09:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x6d043e…
05-19 09:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x3475f3…
05-19 09:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x9d9a72…
05-19 09:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x67ab76…
05-19 09:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x6acb2f…
05-19 09:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x651b63…
05-19 09:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xc0d1f5…
05-19 09:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xaba8f3…
05-19 09:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x642bb1…
05-19 09:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xf2a53b…
05-19 09:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe04c4e…
05-19 09:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x742f24…
05-19 09:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x974fc5…
05-19 08:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x61497c…
05-19 08:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0xb75779…
05-19 08:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x7f843b…
05-19 08:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x00f1b3…
05-19 08:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x3fabf6…
05-19 08:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x560f83…
05-19 08:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xa797cc…
05-19 08:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xae9e26…
05-19 08:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x081874…
05-19 08:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xc12860…
05-19 08:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xaa7b6b…
05-19 06:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x59ae3c…
05-19 06:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6153ae…
05-19 06:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x222b70…
05-19 06:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	28	16¢	$4	0xf9a7f1…
05-19 06:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x76b208…
05-19 06:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xb693fc…
05-19 06:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x8d78c7…
05-19 06:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xddf0a2…