Expensive-Perception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.2%

Resolved

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-08 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 36% $-39

Other

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$160	163	163	+0	open	—	06-01 13:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	8	$94	134	101	+33	open	—	05-04 15:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	7	$80	170	0	+170	open	—	05-03 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$50	38	38	+0	open	—	05-28 14:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$47	65	32	+33	open	—	05-03 22:16
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	5	$47	116	108	+8	open	—	06-01 09:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	05-04 16:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$34	42	21	+21	open	—	05-14 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	5	$34	60	13	+47	open	—	06-02 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	06-02 16:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$31	23	23	+0	open	—	05-29 15:34
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$29	35	27	+8	open	—	06-01 13:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	05-28 03:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$28	61	32	+29	open	—	05-28 04:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$28	24	24	+0	open	—	05-27 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$28	34	34	+0	open	—	06-01 17:31
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	3	$28	26	26	+0	open	—	06-01 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$28	31	29	+2	open	—	05-04 02:01
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$27	52	21	+31	open	—	06-01 10:38
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$26	35	35	+0	open	—	06-01 17:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	05-24 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	05-29 13:38
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$24	53	0	+53	open	—	04-29 18:10
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$24	34	16	+19	open	—	06-01 00:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$24	23	23	+0	open	—	05-27 14:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	05-26 00:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$22	33	32	+1	open	—	05-04 02:01
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	6	$22	67	35	+32	open	—	06-01 09:38
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$22	65	5	+60	open	—	06-02 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:10:34	eth updown 5m 1780953000	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xd4f91b…
06-08 21:09:36	eth updown 5m 1780953000	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xf60d42…
06-05 20:30:12	xrp updown 15m 1780691400	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0d3dde…
06-05 20:30:07	xrp updown 15m 1780691400	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x34d4f7…
06-05 20:30:06	xrp updown 15m 1780691400	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x4ffb26…
06-05 20:30:04	btc updown 15m 1780691400	Down	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x2db9e7…
06-05 20:15:15	xrp updown 15m 1780690500	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x2ce533…
06-05 20:15:13	xrp updown 15m 1780690500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd54390…
06-05 20:15:13	bnb updown 15m 1780690500	Down	BUY	23	55¢	$12	0x8711e1…
06-05 20:15:13	xrp updown 15m 1780690500	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1f6193…
06-05 20:15:12	btc updown 15m 1780690500	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xe4e6b3…
06-05 20:00:18	bnb updown 15m 1780689600	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x0251ad…
06-05 20:00:16	bnb updown 15m 1780689600	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x11b9ff…
06-05 20:00:07	bnb updown 15m 1780689600	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa5e855…
06-05 20:00:07	bnb updown 15m 1780689600	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x62f685…
06-05 20:00:04	xrp updown 15m 1780689600	Down	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x571b12…
06-05 20:00:03	btc updown 15m 1780689600	Down	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xc30acb…
06-03 20:57:37	eth updown 5m 1780520100	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x0813ab…
06-03 20:57:19	eth updown 5m 1780520100	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x17ff73…
06-03 20:47:13	eth updown 5m 1780519500	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x1781aa…
06-03 20:47:00	eth updown 5m 1780519500	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x97f54b…
06-03 20:21:42	eth updown 15m 1780517700	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xf3c5ad…
06-03 20:21:10	eth updown 15m 1780517700	Up	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xfc2442…
06-03 16:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x2db40a…
06-03 13:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x0e52f7…
06-02 16:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	27	73¢	$19	0x683d53…
06-02 16:14:34	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x4708d4…
06-02 16:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x2e9ea1…
06-02 15:53:43	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	19¢	$9	0xb0835d…
06-02 15:47:58	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xc00ab3…
06-02 15:47:48	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x2085f0…
06-02 15:47:43	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2614fd…
06-02 15:47:30	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe8aa7c…
06-02 15:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	41	28¢	$11	0x90e1fa…
06-02 15:32:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0x865ac2…
06-02 15:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xd62dc2…
06-02 15:31:45	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xad555e…
06-02 15:31:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x73e76f…
06-02 15:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0x501426…
06-02 15:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xbfddbc…
06-02 15:31:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x2ef3e5…
06-02 15:31:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x00bf5b…
06-02 15:31:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc09a07…
06-02 15:26:22	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x496d10…
06-02 15:23:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	83	3¢	$3	0x4b6b87…
06-02 15:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	14¢	$12	0x20732b…
06-02 15:20:49	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x791588…
06-02 15:20:49	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x026c30…
06-02 15:10:40	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x0aba5d…
06-02 15:07:35	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xb6adfe…
06-02 15:07:35	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x75ec39…
06-02 14:30:36	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0x79cc44…
06-02 14:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x1ac42f…
06-02 14:25:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xc4e50f…
06-02 02:07:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	204	4¢	$9	0x9bf95a…
06-02 02:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	138	8¢	$11	0xebec21…
06-01 17:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	35	32¢	$11	0xcbb34a…
06-01 17:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	34	34¢	$11	0x628960…
06-01 17:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	49¢	$16	0x795047…
06-01 17:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0xd43d37…
06-01 14:30:05	bnb updown 15m 1780324200	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x34c32c…
06-01 14:29:39	bnb updown 15m 1780324200	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x48973f…
06-01 14:06:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	45¢	$12	0x0390ae…
06-01 14:01:11	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x7320a0…
06-01 14:00:08	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x49bf45…
06-01 14:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7d83fe…
06-01 14:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x0521e3…
06-01 14:00:02	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xfb63e2…
06-01 13:59:47	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x9508ab…
06-01 13:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	163	90¢	$147	0xe8a954…
06-01 13:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x7ad20e…
06-01 13:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x5e363b…
06-01 13:55:54	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x764605…
06-01 13:42:04	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x66ce2e…
06-01 13:41:50	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x28e269…
06-01 13:40:53	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x313f4c…
06-01 13:40:40	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfc64a0…
06-01 13:40:40	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0a83a6…
06-01 13:40:39	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x89fb9d…
06-01 12:11:41	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0xcfa4e0…
06-01 12:10:08	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0x0e2398…
06-01 12:10:03	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe25fc9…
06-01 12:09:49	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x2b26a8…
06-01 11:50:52	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xc5863a…
06-01 11:50:03	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x9da5e2…
06-01 11:49:50	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x6f3db7…
06-01 10:38:04	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x30327a…
06-01 10:35:28	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	23¢	$8	0x13e1b1…
06-01 10:33:55	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0xcdcd70…
06-01 10:32:54	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x1f61c5…
06-01 10:32:43	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x64f19f…
06-01 10:32:43	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x38c1ba…
06-01 10:20:07	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x208949…
06-01 10:19:59	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xa6c7a3…
06-01 09:59:34	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x8810f0…
06-01 09:53:07	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x7bd157…
06-01 09:52:39	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x89cc1f…
06-01 09:52:37	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	92	30¢	$28	0x83b336…
06-01 09:47:17	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	92	7¢	$7	0x74b0ef…
06-01 09:47:17	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x6e5f47…