Expensive-Perception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.2%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$2.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-12 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 36% $-39

Other

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$160	163	163	+0	open	—	06-01 13:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	8	$94	134	101	+33	open	—	05-04 15:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	7	$80	170	0	+170	open	—	05-03 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$50	38	38	+0	open	—	05-28 14:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$47	65	32	+33	open	—	05-03 22:16
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	5	$47	116	108	+8	open	—	06-01 09:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	05-04 16:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$34	42	21	+21	open	—	05-14 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	5	$34	60	13	+47	open	—	06-02 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	06-02 16:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$31	23	23	+0	open	—	05-29 15:34
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$29	35	27	+8	open	—	06-01 13:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	05-28 03:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$28	61	32	+29	open	—	05-28 04:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$28	24	24	+0	open	—	05-27 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$28	34	34	+0	open	—	06-01 17:31
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	3	$28	26	26	+0	open	—	06-01 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$28	31	29	+2	open	—	05-04 02:01
btc updown 15m 1781231400	7	$28	30	15	+15	open	—	06-12 02:44
btc updown 15m 1781226900	10	$28	30	15	+15	open	—	06-12 01:29
btc updown 15m 1781225100	9	$27	30	29	+1	open	—	06-12 00:59
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$27	52	21	+31	open	—	06-01 10:38
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$26	35	35	+0	open	—	06-01 17:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	05-24 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	05-29 13:38
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$24	53	0	+53	open	—	04-29 18:10
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$24	34	16	+19	open	—	06-01 00:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$24	23	23	+0	open	—	05-27 14:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	05-26 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 03:05:03	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x05a2a9…
06-12 03:05:01	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x33481f…
06-12 03:02:03	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xb80f72…
06-12 03:02:03	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb3af8c…
06-12 03:01:58	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x250035…
06-12 03:01:54	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x6c04cc…
06-12 03:01:18	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x8ed59d…
06-12 03:01:16	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0b8e68…
06-12 03:00:27	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xce8097…
06-12 03:00:27	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x1f3c40…
06-12 03:00:07	btc updown 15m 1781233200	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xce481f…
06-12 02:59:36	btc updown 15m 1781232300	Up	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xebeaf6…
06-12 02:45:30	btc updown 15m 1781232300	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdd6723…
06-12 02:45:15	btc updown 15m 1781232300	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa64e86…
06-12 02:45:15	btc updown 15m 1781232300	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4c50c1…
06-12 02:44:36	btc updown 15m 1781231400	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x96a676…
06-12 02:34:19	btc updown 15m 1781231400	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3e9cb0…
06-12 02:34:07	btc updown 15m 1781231400	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5df07e…
06-12 02:34:06	btc updown 15m 1781231400	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x09608e…
06-12 02:31:00	btc updown 15m 1781231400	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1ee576…
06-12 02:30:49	btc updown 15m 1781231400	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xaf8bfc…
06-12 02:30:15	btc updown 15m 1781231400	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x96594e…
06-12 02:29:37	btc updown 15m 1781230500	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1d5953…
06-12 02:24:39	btc updown 15m 1781230500	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8eb740…
06-12 02:16:10	btc updown 15m 1781230500	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1a841e…
06-12 02:16:04	btc updown 15m 1781230500	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xf95e74…
06-12 02:16:04	btc updown 15m 1781230500	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0xdd74d2…
06-12 02:15:45	btc updown 15m 1781230500	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb3c4e3…
06-12 02:15:22	btc updown 15m 1781230500	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb07b53…
06-12 02:01:19	btc updown 15m 1781229600	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x68465d…
06-12 02:00:34	btc updown 15m 1781229600	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa91ec7…
06-12 02:00:10	btc updown 15m 1781229600	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe39728…
06-12 01:59:36	btc updown 15m 1781228700	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3fba4a…
06-12 01:45:36	btc updown 15m 1781228700	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1811b0…
06-12 01:45:24	btc updown 15m 1781228700	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x76d4ae…
06-12 01:45:24	btc updown 15m 1781228700	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1cd7f8…
06-12 01:45:16	btc updown 15m 1781228700	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa01bea…
06-12 01:45:12	btc updown 15m 1781228700	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x298ea3…
06-12 01:45:10	btc updown 15m 1781228700	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb83ace…
06-12 01:44:36	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Down	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x7799a0…
06-12 01:44:36	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x16eba4…
06-12 01:35:18	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdc6bf1…
06-12 01:35:18	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xad43b7…
06-12 01:35:15	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc6155b…
06-12 01:35:12	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xdd3ce8…
06-12 01:35:03	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x176b2d…
06-12 01:31:01	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x20067f…
06-12 01:30:48	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xec1f51…
06-12 01:30:36	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4dd4a6…
06-12 01:29:37	btc updown 15m 1781226900	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6fa770…
06-12 01:17:54	btc updown 15m 1781226900	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfb73ca…
06-12 01:17:54	btc updown 15m 1781226900	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xbe399b…
06-12 01:17:54	btc updown 15m 1781226900	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xb22164…
06-12 01:17:54	btc updown 15m 1781226900	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x974f4a…
06-12 01:17:54	btc updown 15m 1781226900	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x250eab…
06-12 01:16:28	btc updown 15m 1781226900	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3c4beb…
06-12 01:16:24	btc updown 15m 1781226900	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe12e28…
06-12 01:16:13	btc updown 15m 1781226900	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc54731…
06-12 01:15:31	btc updown 15m 1781226900	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x903d4b…
06-12 01:00:18	btc updown 15m 1781226000	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x725970…
06-12 01:00:12	btc updown 15m 1781226000	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfe4fe7…
06-12 01:00:07	btc updown 15m 1781226000	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb99e0d…
06-12 00:59:37	btc updown 15m 1781225100	Down	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x662ff4…
06-12 00:59:36	btc updown 15m 1781225100	Up	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x7d49f3…
06-12 00:58:43	btc updown 15m 1781225100	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb51376…
06-12 00:58:36	btc updown 15m 1781225100	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x478b71…
06-12 00:45:57	btc updown 15m 1781225100	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa124e2…
06-12 00:45:37	btc updown 15m 1781225100	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa8fc5e…
06-12 00:45:13	btc updown 15m 1781225100	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x551aca…
06-12 00:45:12	btc updown 15m 1781225100	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfee353…
06-12 00:33:28	btc updown 15m 1781224200	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x37fae7…
06-12 00:32:49	btc updown 15m 1781224200	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x986b37…
06-12 00:31:30	btc updown 15m 1781224200	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9e2b46…
06-12 00:31:16	btc updown 15m 1781224200	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0xfa3b65…
06-12 00:31:16	btc updown 15m 1781224200	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x70d3f6…
06-12 00:31:13	btc updown 15m 1781224200	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdb21ad…
06-12 00:30:42	btc updown 15m 1781224200	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc9b76c…
06-12 00:30:25	btc updown 15m 1781224200	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb78c70…
06-12 00:29:36	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc9da55…
06-12 00:24:31	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x030416…
06-12 00:22:43	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x76d912…
06-12 00:21:43	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x7136be…
06-12 00:21:12	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3107ce…
06-12 00:15:31	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb26b36…
06-12 00:15:16	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdf70fc…
06-12 00:15:09	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbf7d84…
06-12 00:15:09	btc updown 15m 1781223300	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xba19d7…
06-12 00:08:51	btc updown 15m 1781222400	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x73e36d…
06-12 00:08:19	btc updown 15m 1781222400	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcbf6b3…
06-12 00:08:03	btc updown 15m 1781222400	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc66e37…
06-11 23:47:43	btc updown 15m 1781221500	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb96d5f…
06-11 23:47:43	btc updown 15m 1781221500	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x5c86a8…
06-11 23:47:04	btc updown 15m 1781221500	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5d39b3…
06-11 23:46:12	btc updown 15m 1781221500	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xc3db6b…
06-11 23:46:12	btc updown 15m 1781221500	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x19d262…
06-11 23:45:52	btc updown 15m 1781221500	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x94ef45…
06-08 21:10:34	eth updown 5m 1780953000	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xd4f91b…
06-08 21:09:36	eth updown 5m 1780953000	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xf60d42…
06-05 20:30:12	xrp updown 15m 1780691400	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0d3dde…
06-05 20:30:07	xrp updown 15m 1780691400	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x34d4f7…