Puzzled-Guideline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.84K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

3,157

Trades

11,497

lifetime

Volume

$129.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 08-17 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$3,842

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$106	200	+200	Down	-$106	05-26 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	10	$106	200	+200	Down	-$106	05-31 05:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	17	$106	200	+200	Down	-$106	05-31 05:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	19	$106	200	+200	Down	-$106	05-26 00:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	7	$106	200	+200	Down	+$94	05-26 03:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$106	200	+200	Up	+$94	05-31 04:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	13	$105	200	+200	Down	+$94	05-26 00:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	13	$105	200	+200	Up	-$105	05-25 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$104	196	+196	Up	+$92	05-26 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$104	196	+196	Down	-$104	05-22 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	7	$104	196	+196	Down	-$104	05-31 05:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$104	196	+196	Up	+$92	05-31 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	9	$104	196	+196	Up	-$104	05-31 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	9	$104	196	+196	Up	-$104	05-30 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	18	$104	196	+196	Down	-$104	05-26 00:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	14	$104	196	+196	Down	-$104	05-26 00:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	16	$104	196	+196	Down	+$92	05-30 06:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	15	$104	196	+196	Down	+$92	05-30 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	13	$104	196	+196	Up	+$92	05-29 21:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	7	$104	196	+196	Down	+$92	05-31 00:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	10	$103	196	+196	Down	+$93	05-26 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$103	196	+196	Up	-$103	05-30 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$103	200	+200	Down	-$103	05-29 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$102	192	+192	Down	-$102	05-31 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$102	192	+192	Down	+$90	05-30 13:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	7	$102	192	+192	Down	-$102	05-22 18:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	16	$102	192	+192	Down	+$90	05-30 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	8	$102	192	+192	Up	-$102	05-30 09:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	15	$102	192	+192	Up	-$102	05-30 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	13	$102	192	+192	Up	-$102	05-30 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 15:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x4cc74a…
08-17 01:45:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x8c850c…
08-17 01:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x749830…
08-17 01:18:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1f9d28…
08-17 01:18:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf76add…
08-17 01:18:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xf64663…
08-17 01:18:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbba17f…
08-17 01:18:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2081a1…
08-17 01:18:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x189623…
08-16 21:45:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x94f6c1…
08-16 16:30:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xa93a14…
08-16 16:30:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5b7b7f…
08-16 16:30:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x27d3bb…
08-16 16:16:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc1dde5…
08-16 16:16:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x98363b…
08-16 13:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x7a78f9…
08-16 13:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xf53478…
08-16 13:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xeb0719…
08-16 13:15:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xbb8061…
08-16 13:15:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb19e62…
08-16 13:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x76d85f…
08-16 13:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x56c502…
08-16 13:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x6e8b04…
08-16 12:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x809b52…
08-16 10:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x57bffa…
08-16 10:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x05ff89…
08-16 10:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xfec103…
08-16 09:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x27b33a…
08-16 09:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0xbecd75…
08-16 09:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xc811b5…
08-16 09:43:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x545131…
08-16 08:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$15	0x69c4f9…
08-16 05:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xff3d46…
08-16 05:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xd2da0e…
08-16 05:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x1646d3…
08-16 05:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xbad8e8…
08-16 05:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xe0c024…
08-16 04:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xdc28d0…
08-16 02:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x30a852…
08-16 02:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x591226…
08-16 02:38:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xf386f8…
08-16 02:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xf123b9…
08-16 02:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xfa1628…
08-16 02:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xbb4a44…
08-16 00:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xd017e0…
08-16 00:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x5638fc…
08-15 23:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x4cf3d0…
08-15 23:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x4883db…
08-15 23:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x25d5ac…
08-15 21:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$14	0x842b65…
08-15 21:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x252550…
08-15 21:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0xa6d531…
08-15 19:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xcf1309…
08-15 19:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xea3453…
08-15 15:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x72fb04…
08-15 15:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x6c067b…
08-15 15:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xc51713…
08-15 15:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xaa81cf…
08-15 12:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0x58a132…
08-15 12:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x26b6dd…
08-15 12:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x007cbe…
08-15 12:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xe07c5e…
08-15 12:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x7e161d…
08-15 12:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x8be8ce…
08-15 12:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xa604f6…
08-15 09:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x74df91…
08-15 09:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x9b9a94…
08-15 09:08:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x178148…
08-15 09:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x34dbc2…
08-15 09:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x16c08f…
08-15 09:01:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xfe305a…
08-15 08:58:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xed6fd4…
08-15 08:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x500743…
08-15 08:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xff475a…
08-15 08:58:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x97e23e…
08-15 03:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x5ee111…
08-15 02:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xdaf05e…
08-15 02:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x3c2a3d…
08-15 02:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x1ff38c…
08-15 02:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x02041d…
08-15 02:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xfc3194…
08-15 02:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x04d203…
08-15 00:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x6f1568…
08-15 00:02:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x03dc49…
08-15 00:02:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xced874…
08-15 00:02:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa4a34c…
08-15 00:02:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x1f6f74…
08-14 23:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x87220f…
08-14 23:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x171c4c…
08-14 23:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xca30e3…
08-14 23:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x40c677…
08-14 22:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xe5ba37…
08-14 18:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x3fa1dc…
08-14 16:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x7e5cca…
08-14 15:53:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xa8d629…
08-14 15:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xe7aa6f…
08-14 15:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xf10fdf…
08-14 15:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x8312ea…
08-14 15:38:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x059760…
08-14 15:38:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa50a4b…