Bad-Punch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-24 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 67% +$0

Politics

27% — —

Other

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$249	125	125	+0	open	—	05-12 05:17
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	04-13 01:27
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	05-19 13:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	05-23 14:27
military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	03-22 01:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$211	106	106	+0	open	—	03-15 23:47
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$208	105	105	+0	open	—	03-14 08:53
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	02-27 23:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$204	106	106	+0	open	—	03-01 00:04
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	5	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	02-25 08:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$124	0	124	-124	Yes	$-0	05-08 00:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$124	124	0	+124	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$124	124	0	+124	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:16
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	04-30 14:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$123	124	0	+124	open	—	04-27 12:48
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$123	124	0	+124	open	—	04-23 15:39
bitcoin above 66k on april 22	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	04-21 05:05
bitcoin above 64k on april 20	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	04-18 06:31
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	04-16 04:35
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	04-14 04:34
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	04-13 13:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	04-13 05:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$122	123	0	+123	open	—	05-19 14:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$122	123	0	+123	open	—	05-24 15:31
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-10 03:20
bitcoin above 60k on april 8	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-07 23:32
bitcoin above 56k on april 7	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-06 07:42
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-01 05:07
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	03-31 04:53
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	03-30 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:31:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x9206ee…
05-23 14:27:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x871460…
05-23 01:20:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x2ec7db…
05-19 14:39:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x6f4ff8…
05-19 13:48:17	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0xa2b1f8…
05-19 13:19:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xcd8202…
05-12 05:17:51	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$124	0xff92c3…
05-12 04:50:55	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x992f7b…
05-11 01:29:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x182896…
05-08 00:55:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0xd67245…
05-05 06:16:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x677ab8…
04-30 14:17:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xcfa24f…
04-27 12:48:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0xc4b13b…
04-23 15:39:56	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x1467ef…
04-21 05:05:24	bitcoin above 66k on april 22	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xf1cf21…
04-18 06:31:28	bitcoin above 64k on april 20	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x51dea0…
04-16 04:35:06	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xa30553…
04-14 04:34:57	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x8cac7f…
04-13 13:07:57	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xe0ed33…
04-13 05:01:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xe67456…
04-13 01:27:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x71161e…
04-11 23:35:05	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x0b4423…
04-10 03:20:17	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xd9dfc0…
04-07 23:32:29	bitcoin above 60k on april 8	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x94d25f…
04-06 07:42:41	bitcoin above 56k on april 7	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xdcb6bf…
04-01 05:07:03	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x04b82e…
03-31 04:53:11	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x93b1e7…
03-30 05:00:12	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xea3364…
03-28 16:08:29	bitcoin above 58k on march 29	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0xaecd85…
03-27 08:05:25	bitcoin above 76k on march 27	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x862852…
03-26 13:06:05	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xfde024…
03-24 10:59:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x421a06…
03-23 11:12:33	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf32825…
03-22 09:04:31	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4296c5…
03-22 01:24:05	nba cle nop 2026 03 21	Cavaliers	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0xa5802f…
03-22 01:19:35	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x9b955a…
03-20 08:09:33	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x9aab3d…
03-20 03:35:17	cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	Saint Louis Billikens	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x029c70…
03-19 00:57:15	cbb kentst illst 2026 03 18	Illinois State Redbirds	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x660fe0…
03-18 03:29:01	nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	Oilers	BUY	108	99¢	$106	0x92f0f0…
03-16 02:02:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 17	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xa68dcd…
03-15 23:47:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x8c86c5…
03-14 08:57:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x418efd…
03-14 08:53:59	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x42e328…
03-12 13:59:31	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xa0f05c…
03-10 05:25:31	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x6f7e71…
03-09 05:13:01	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x5b42d5…
03-07 11:56:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x70d8b5…
03-06 03:44:55	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x47dd80…
03-04 01:12:41	bitcoin above 58k on march 5	Yes	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xafa5dd…
03-02 14:07:01	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x3ace0f…
03-02 02:03:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x13ab78…
03-01 00:04:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	106	96¢	$102	0x1989ae…
02-28 22:56:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0x51673b…
02-28 03:56:51	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x80e5c1…
02-27 23:31:57	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0x513d5f…
02-27 10:21:27	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x25fe7c…
02-27 04:05:56	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x68c994…
02-26 10:22:50	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x0290bb…
02-25 09:35:50	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x12eb17…
02-25 08:35:50	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xfc0365…
02-25 08:31:44	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x86acf8…
02-25 08:28:52	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x539453…
02-25 08:26:38	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x574587…
02-24 04:51:10	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x1e33e5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Well-Worn-Bag 0xb4b4…4ac6	51	$6.94K	61	05-24 15:31
Twin-Importance 0x8b81…df2a	50	$6.52K	60	05-24 15:31
Bold-Lox 0x9e10…a8ac	49	$6.62K	59	05-24 15:31
Ornery-Bankbook 0x9b77…91a2	48	$6.65K	59	05-24 15:31
Showy-Dig 0x598c…9f0c	48	$6.49K	58	05-24 15:31
Those-Procedure 0x0d95…0c83	48	$6.46K	58	05-24 15:31
Messy-Globe 0x0638…0965	47	$6.13K	54	05-24 15:31
Awkward-Topsail 0x10b2…3513	47	$5.89K	55	05-24 15:31