Candid-Underwire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$672

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

7,596

Trades

13,998

lifetime

Volume

$147.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 10-27 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 80% -$660

Other

5% 98% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 540 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	—	+25	$24	100¢	$25	+$0	10-27 03:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$204	112	112	+0	Up	-$18	09-23 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:10 UTC	4	$158	101	100	+1	Up	-$36	09-22 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$152	106	53	+53	Down	-$5	09-22 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$148	150	0	+150	Up	+$2	09-20 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$139	140	0	+140	Down	+$1	09-15 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$130	100	50	+50	Up	-$18	09-21 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$121	77	76	+1	Up	-$29	09-22 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$119	120	0	+120	Down	+$1	09-23 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$119	120	0	+120	Down	+$1	09-23 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$119	120	0	+120	Up	+$1	09-23 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$119	120	0	+120	Up	+$1	09-22 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$119	120	0	+120	Up	+$1	09-23 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$119	120	0	+120	Down	+$1	09-23 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$119	120	0	+120	Up	+$1	09-22 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$119	120	0	+120	Up	+$1	09-23 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$119	121	0	+121	Down	+$2	09-22 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$119	121	0	+121	Up	+$2	09-23 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$118	121	0	+121	Down	+$3	09-22 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$118	122	0	+122	Up	+$4	09-23 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$118	120	0	+120	Up	+$2	09-22 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$118	121	0	+121	Down	+$4	09-22 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	6	$117	83	70	+13	Up	-$9	09-16 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$115	116	0	+116	Down	+$1	09-22 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$115	118	0	+118	Down	+$3	09-22 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$113	115	0	+115	Up	+$2	09-23 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$113	114	0	+114	Up	+$1	09-22 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:00 UTC	5	$110	75	68	+7	Down	-$17	09-15 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$109	110	0	+110	Up	+$1	09-23 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	09-23 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$105	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	09-22 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xa7e030…
10-27 02:18:32	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb79afd…
10-27 02:08:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xeeac12…
10-27 01:48:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe9f15a…
10-27 01:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x70e7e4…
10-27 01:28:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6caa0e…
10-26 22:03:20	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x05d760…
10-26 21:03:09	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x2b7540…
10-26 20:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x3f6f2b…
10-26 20:03:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x48f125…
10-26 19:13:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8781bc…
10-26 18:43:32	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3d3043…
10-26 18:13:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6b2418…
10-26 18:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xefe398…
10-26 17:58:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x626493…
10-26 17:48:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x906e82…
10-26 17:23:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xea9727…
10-26 17:23:27	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfcd61a…
10-26 17:08:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9cd713…
10-26 17:03:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2c96a9…
10-26 16:58:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x277a0c…
10-26 16:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x73f03e…
10-26 16:43:33	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xdefbee…
10-26 16:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x020ca7…
10-26 16:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x18c05c…
10-26 16:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x2b8b76…
10-26 16:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x30f803…
10-26 16:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x4d2738…
10-26 16:18:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x300d38…
10-26 16:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xe07eb2…
10-26 16:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x32308e…
10-26 16:03:26	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae0ac8…
10-26 15:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa241d8…
10-26 15:53:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x98c4bd…
10-26 15:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xa94c2d…
10-26 15:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbfd5f3…
10-26 15:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x8db090…
10-26 15:39:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x246a32…
10-26 15:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x5c84ce…
10-26 15:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x6e1506…
10-26 15:28:35	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5c644e…
10-26 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1ef468…
10-26 15:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xa6d152…
10-26 15:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xa68c93…
10-26 15:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb5ecda…
10-26 15:18:23	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x4016b6…
10-26 15:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xdfad53…
10-26 15:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x2e9a52…
10-26 15:08:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x39d331…
10-26 15:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x4cb078…
10-26 15:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x359e3f…
10-26 15:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x677bea…
10-26 15:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x106ef1…
10-26 15:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2e4481…
10-26 15:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x3962f2…
10-26 14:58:39	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdf897c…
10-26 14:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x648914…
10-26 14:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe3f076…
10-26 14:53:53	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0f9430…
10-26 14:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x063e2d…
10-26 14:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x42a2b9…
10-26 14:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xda7cf1…
10-26 14:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x73aeac…
10-26 14:44:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfdaed1…
10-26 14:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x17bdde…
10-26 14:28:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xffe557…
10-26 14:23:05	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xe3f4b3…
10-26 14:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xf0ccee…
10-26 14:18:44	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x71c1dc…
10-26 14:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xff90db…
10-26 14:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x933713…
10-26 14:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa1582e…
10-26 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa5a99d…
10-26 14:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x486045…
10-26 14:13:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x5ac3da…
10-26 14:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x697f84…
10-26 14:08:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x8844b5…
10-26 14:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3f31a8…
10-26 14:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd91e63…
10-26 13:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9c24fc…
10-26 13:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x042713…
10-26 13:58:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xca4eaa…
10-26 13:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd255fd…
10-26 13:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xf3f2d3…
10-26 13:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xb5e15c…
10-26 13:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe59714…
10-26 13:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xa8bd2f…
10-26 13:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x82f7bd…
10-26 13:43:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe7f9e2…
10-26 13:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc511e5…
10-26 13:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd86c03…
10-26 13:38:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x590a8d…
10-26 13:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x0159c2…
10-26 13:33:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xee4a10…
10-26 13:09:05	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6acff8…
10-26 13:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe4de2b…
10-26 13:04:00	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x81b856…
10-26 12:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x4e309f…
10-26 12:08:32	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x11049f…
10-26 09:28:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xae4c4c…