Unhealthy-Negotiation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$528

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

275

Trades

1,249

lifetime

Volume

$26.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-01 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

57% 43% -$82

Politics

38% 40% -$352

Tech

2% 30% -$50

Sports

1% 50% -$3

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$42

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	17	$764	350	500	-150	No	-$28	02-25 15:23
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	13	$716	466	561	-95	No	-$43	02-15 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	19	$566	564	564	+0	Yes	+$17	04-28 05:39
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	8	$506	500	600	-100	No	-$3	03-06 14:26
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	23	$492	369	369	+0	No	+$66	07-16 14:04
will jasmine crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the democratic senate primary in texas	4	$454	111	400	-289	No	-$31	03-03 18:52
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	29	$428	550	550	+0	No	+$7	07-03 20:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	7	$399	300	300	+0	Yes	-$3	05-22 13:45
crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	16	$396	392	392	+0	South Africa	+$8	06-21 13:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$378	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-04 14:08
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	2	$376	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	01-07 12:38
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	3	$354	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-26 17:23
us downs another iranian drone by february 28	15	$350	362	220	+142	Yes	+$18	02-07 18:24
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	3	$343	200	200	+0	No	+$1	04-01 12:31
will meta dip to 620 in february	8	$315	300	300	+0	No	+$11	02-24 15:30
will choosin texas ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	5	$308	240	250	-10	No	-$30	03-25 11:44
odds of us strikes iran in february over 50 by feb 13	4	$303	134	200	-66	No	-$7	02-07 18:22
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	17	$298	240	240	+0	No	-$4	08-01 18:05
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	11	$294	361	150	+211	Yes	-$5	05-17 15:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	4	$287	150	150	+0	Yes	+$1	06-16 08:10
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$282	150	200	-50	Yes	+$41	06-04 14:08
will joo cotrim figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$279	136	236	-100	No	-$25	01-18 10:02
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	3	$279	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-08 06:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$277	100	250	-150	No	-$33	04-12 01:46
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	4	$266	150	150	+0	No	+$1	03-14 07:40
russia strike on kyiv municipality by december 31 684	2	$260	0	539	-539	No	-$4	01-01 21:32
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	5	$259	200	200	+0	No	-$1	01-18 10:06
will israel strike gaza on february 25 2026	7	$245	271	227	+44	No	-$31	02-25 11:27
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	10	$241	300	200	+100	No	+$2	03-18 22:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	9	$240	150	150	+0	Yes	-$3	03-25 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 18:05:44	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0xb776ec…
07-31 21:56:09	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x07f448…
07-31 21:54:30	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xcee11d…
07-31 20:39:23	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x793caa…
07-29 06:15:33	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0x89850f…
07-28 23:58:07	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	62	61¢	$38	0xcf1954…
07-27 09:31:39	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb315ba…
07-26 15:34:00	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	44	61¢	$27	0x280ddf…
07-24 19:45:40	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	33	61¢	$20	0xefc9f9…
07-21 23:39:12	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x7c3eb9…
07-19 12:30:58	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xfd581f…
07-18 02:59:58	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x8c2885…
07-16 14:04:16	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	189	97¢	$182	0x0bb553…
07-14 06:19:26	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xa5023f…
07-13 12:14:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x13d13b…
07-13 10:57:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	11	88¢	$9	0xfc4e36…
07-13 10:52:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xe8ee85…
07-13 10:52:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xcf9b40…
07-13 10:52:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xec6f93…
07-13 10:36:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6a5b19…
07-13 10:33:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x9fc0d1…
07-13 10:16:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	44	88¢	$38	0xecf267…
07-13 10:13:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x0c8dd2…
07-13 10:12:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x284a41…
07-13 10:02:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xe44113…
07-13 08:31:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x571e2d…
07-13 08:17:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xe95ae3…
07-13 08:12:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x106be0…
07-13 07:23:02	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x4f24a6…
07-13 07:17:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xe58cf2…
07-13 04:51:55	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x7f741d…
07-13 04:36:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe64b8f…
07-13 04:25:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x56676b…
07-13 04:05:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4b326d…
07-13 03:15:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x758849…
07-12 13:41:05	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	SELL	80	25¢	$20	0x65c9cb…
07-12 00:00:50	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x9df712…
07-11 18:07:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	42	77¢	$32	0x9e0f5b…
07-11 17:27:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x263640…
07-11 15:56:50	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	45	67¢	$30	0xff0d9e…
07-11 13:58:31	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x86ced3…
07-11 13:57:19	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0x800578…
07-11 13:22:34	Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xf78de8…
07-11 13:06:14	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xb69dfa…
07-11 12:47:04	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0xaf779c…
07-11 12:41:20	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	54	62¢	$34	0x01740a…
07-11 12:41:10	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	46	62¢	$28	0x413c28…
07-11 12:41:07	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x650e45…
07-11 12:35:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xac9fef…
07-11 12:27:26	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	61¢	$29	0xb4a70c…
07-11 12:24:40	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x42616d…
07-11 12:23:56	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0xbf8d79…
07-11 07:33:47	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	46	46¢	$21	0x36c5cd…
07-10 15:05:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb0b959…
07-10 09:51:58	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x334c07…
07-10 06:57:10	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x518e20…
07-09 23:31:56	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x9147de…
07-09 23:31:07	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x64db54…
07-09 23:31:05	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xaa3255…
07-09 23:23:38	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x725096…
07-09 22:22:53	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xb232c2…
07-09 22:22:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xf4cd5b…
07-09 20:54:49	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xc2cdb8…
07-09 20:09:43	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x10935c…
07-09 18:26:47	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xd6a718…
07-09 15:20:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x746603…
07-09 13:01:41	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf45597…
07-09 12:35:01	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x0470ce…
07-09 08:37:49	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32b 20260703212929589	No	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x6bd00a…
07-09 07:02:56	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32b 20260703212929589	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xe95783…
07-09 07:01:08	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32b 20260703212929589	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x534934…
07-09 05:50:56	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x2bd0ec…
07-09 05:50:41	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x0ce614…
07-06 17:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?	Yes	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0xfcba87…
07-06 15:41:50	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	61	59¢	$36	0x057dc7…
07-06 15:09:05	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xc22892…
07-06 14:14:44	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	85	61¢	$52	0xd62ef0…
07-06 13:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?	Yes	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0x2a2388…
07-06 13:36:38	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x2d9e7d…
07-06 12:53:40	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x0cab87…
07-05 08:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x24aa40…
07-05 08:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	33	53¢	$18	0x632669…
07-05 07:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x9513e5…
07-05 07:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xbd5850…
07-05 07:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xb7076c…
07-05 07:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x8cfa24…
07-05 06:40:53	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 6?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x548916…
07-05 06:36:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 6?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x02f83d…
07-05 06:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf2bf2e…
07-05 06:06:08	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x403630…
07-05 05:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x4b9611…
07-05 05:10:41	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	44	78¢	$34	0xc3d636…
07-05 00:21:19	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x8bf312…
07-04 06:49:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x92b004…
07-04 06:00:49	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0xaff43e…
07-04 05:30:40	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	45¢	$19	0xa2fb4b…
07-04 01:17:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	93	52¢	$48	0x1b2a1e…
07-04 01:15:59	Will Edna Nabess win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x68df4b…
07-04 01:12:43	Will Edna Nabess win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x216af7…
07-04 00:59:05	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x2ed48a…