Unhealthy-Negotiation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

Trades

932

lifetime

Volume

$20.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-23 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

52% 60% +$34

Politics

42% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	17	$764	350	500	-150	open	—	02-25 15:23
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	13	$716	466	561	-95	open	—	02-15 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	19	$566	564	564	+0	open	—	04-28 05:39
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	8	$506	500	600	-100	open	—	03-06 14:26
will jasmine crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the democratic senate primary in texas	4	$454	111	400	-289	open	—	03-03 18:52
crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	16	$396	392	392	+0	open	—	06-21 13:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$378	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 14:08
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	2	$376	200	200	+0	Yes	$-0	01-07 12:38
us downs another iranian drone by february 28	15	$350	362	220	+142	open	—	02-07 18:24
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	3	$343	200	200	+0	open	—	04-01 12:31
will meta dip to 620 in february	8	$315	300	300	+0	open	—	02-24 15:30
will choosin texas ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	5	$308	240	250	-10	open	—	03-25 11:44
odds of us strikes iran in february over 50 by feb 13	4	$303	134	200	-66	open	—	02-07 18:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	4	$287	150	150	+0	open	—	06-16 08:10
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$282	150	200	-50	open	—	06-04 14:08
will joo cotrim figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$279	136	236	-100	open	—	01-18 10:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$277	100	250	-150	open	—	04-12 01:46
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	4	$266	150	150	+0	open	—	03-14 07:40
russia strike on kyiv municipality by december 31 684	2	$260	0	539	-539	open	—	01-01 21:32
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	5	$259	200	200	+0	open	—	01-18 10:06
will israel strike gaza on february 25 2026	7	$245	271	227	+44	open	—	02-25 11:27
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	10	$241	300	200	+100	open	—	03-18 22:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	9	$240	150	150	+0	open	—	03-25 11:44
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	6	$238	108	158	-50	open	—	03-06 16:02
will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by january 31	1	$227	0	320	-320	open	—	01-01 21:32
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$218	63	200	-137	open	—	01-18 10:03
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	5	$194	301	200	+101	open	—	02-03 06:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	2	$191	96	100	-4	open	—	06-03 14:03
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	2	$191	100	200	-100	open	—	03-14 07:49
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	14	$191	390	50	+340	open	—	03-14 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 17:29:34	will the announcers say record during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729505	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x6509ca…
06-23 08:04:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x359106…
06-23 05:29:16	will the announcers say comeback come back during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729508	No	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x72a0e0…
06-23 05:28:23	will the announcers say comeback come back during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729508	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x13bf1e…
06-23 05:26:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xb261b8…
06-23 05:24:25	will the announcers say record during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729505	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xee2620…
06-22 03:46:05	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x70df5d…
06-22 03:32:13	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x3c75b9…
06-22 03:31:59	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x777143…
06-22 03:30:35	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xc3389c…
06-22 03:01:59	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x3cf9ce…
06-21 13:27:01	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	South Africa	SELL	176	40¢	$70	0xae5d0d…
06-21 13:21:44	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	SELL	123	61¢	$75	0x4e8b8d…
06-21 13:21:40	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x7839c9…
06-21 13:21:35	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x86f75c…
06-21 13:21:13	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	SELL	34	61¢	$21	0x7e7469…
06-21 13:13:28	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x85e132…
06-21 13:07:40	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0xf96e1a…
06-21 13:05:20	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0x3fc893…
06-21 13:04:32	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf68eef…
06-21 13:04:32	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x7fa089…
06-21 13:03:13	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	34	62¢	$21	0x648143…
06-21 13:02:50	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x7f9ae3…
06-21 13:01:49	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	South Africa	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9ae4d3…
06-21 12:51:25	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	South Africa	BUY	69	34¢	$24	0x5b93e8…
06-21 11:13:29	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	South Africa	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x4b1183…
06-19 13:57:52	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x6c5023…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xa3c644…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x371ca2…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x2a5c26…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x235f89…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x1cea53…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x1b8eaf…
06-19 13:57:20	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xf4dc3a…
06-19 13:57:20	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xda2743…
06-19 13:57:20	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x86a2d9…
06-19 13:57:20	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x519e6d…
06-19 12:32:20	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x19887f…
06-18 20:59:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x561e9b…
06-18 14:30:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf5ff79…
06-18 14:25:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x93dbf9…
06-18 14:13:56	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	100	89¢	$88	0x7f3441…
06-18 14:01:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb9ada0…
06-18 13:20:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xee106e…
06-18 13:15:22	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	84	87¢	$73	0xef484e…
06-18 13:12:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x98513a…
06-18 13:11:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x9519ad…
06-18 13:05:08	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xb3839a…
06-18 13:00:52	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xa0a735…
06-18 12:54:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcfaef0…
06-18 12:53:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb08530…
06-18 12:39:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3b5080…
06-16 10:31:36	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	75	30¢	$22	0xc86a8a…
06-16 08:10:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0x34cfcb…
06-16 07:31:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x1f3e17…
06-16 07:13:10	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x9d99a8…
06-16 07:05:03	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0xba936d…
06-09 01:03:25	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x203d90…
06-08 12:17:16	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0xb47d8b…
06-08 12:17:15	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	69	41¢	$28	0x053f4b…
06-08 10:17:18	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x957f32…
06-08 09:42:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x135039…
06-07 14:38:03	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xa1d76c…
06-07 13:21:27	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x446f0e…
06-04 14:32:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0ecf92…
06-04 14:30:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa0b0ad…
06-04 14:08:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x75c87a…
06-04 14:08:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	23	81¢	$19	0xcf8a3e…
06-04 14:07:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	177	81¢	$143	0x0599ae…
06-04 13:16:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x1a3c62…
06-04 12:25:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x73f18b…
06-04 12:23:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xa5fb9f…
06-04 12:23:54	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xba8341…
06-04 12:09:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xf9139c…
06-04 12:07:31	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xbf7ed5…
06-03 14:03:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x6c7b3b…
06-03 10:38:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x2760f9…
06-03 10:24:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$19	0xb5b6b0…
06-03 10:08:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	96	97¢	$94	0x8653e3…
06-03 10:06:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xcd445f…
06-03 10:00:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x4eb16a…
06-03 09:57:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x2a63ce…
06-03 09:57:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	Yes	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x844194…
06-03 09:19:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0x6a37f9…
05-31 13:03:51	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	32	64¢	$21	0x1b8189…
05-31 10:55:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xe59f34…
05-29 21:55:05	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x3364b4…
05-29 16:31:34	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xe3d898…
05-29 12:38:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x4fe0b2…
05-29 11:36:47	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x0c1e3b…
05-29 11:36:10	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x9c8ec4…
05-29 11:36:00	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xd4651d…
05-29 11:18:47	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	41	45¢	$18	0xb57ee0…
05-29 11:18:47	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x76dbcf…
05-28 14:13:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	41¢	$37	0x9ead79…
05-28 14:13:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x47ea5e…
05-28 11:14:03	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x4c2dad…
05-28 08:43:36	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xcc3c6c…
05-28 07:57:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xc89253…
05-28 07:41:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x736112…