Unhealthy-Negotiation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

Trades

969

lifetime

Volume

$21.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-14 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

52% 60% +$34

Politics

42% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	17	$764	350	500	-150	open	—	02-25 15:23
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	13	$716	466	561	-95	open	—	02-15 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	19	$566	564	564	+0	open	—	04-28 05:39
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	8	$506	500	600	-100	open	—	03-06 14:26
will jasmine crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the democratic senate primary in texas	4	$454	111	400	-289	open	—	03-03 18:52
crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	16	$396	392	392	+0	open	—	06-21 13:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$378	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 14:08
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	2	$376	200	200	+0	Yes	$-0	01-07 12:38
us downs another iranian drone by february 28	15	$350	362	220	+142	open	—	02-07 18:24
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	3	$343	200	200	+0	open	—	04-01 12:31
will meta dip to 620 in february	8	$315	300	300	+0	open	—	02-24 15:30
will choosin texas ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	5	$308	240	250	-10	open	—	03-25 11:44
odds of us strikes iran in february over 50 by feb 13	4	$303	134	200	-66	open	—	02-07 18:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	4	$287	150	150	+0	open	—	06-16 08:10
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$282	150	200	-50	open	—	06-04 14:08
will joo cotrim figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$279	136	236	-100	open	—	01-18 10:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$277	100	250	-150	open	—	04-12 01:46
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	4	$266	150	150	+0	open	—	03-14 07:40
russia strike on kyiv municipality by december 31 684	2	$260	0	539	-539	open	—	01-01 21:32
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	5	$259	200	200	+0	open	—	01-18 10:06
will israel strike gaza on february 25 2026	7	$245	271	227	+44	open	—	02-25 11:27
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	10	$241	300	200	+100	open	—	03-18 22:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	9	$240	150	150	+0	open	—	03-25 11:44
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	6	$238	108	158	-50	open	—	03-06 16:02
will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by january 31	1	$227	0	320	-320	open	—	01-01 21:32
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	3	$225	200	200	+0	open	—	07-13 12:14
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$218	63	200	-137	open	—	01-18 10:03
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	5	$194	301	200	+101	open	—	02-03 06:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	16	$191	300	100	+200	open	—	07-13 10:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	2	$191	96	100	-4	open	—	06-03 14:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 06:19:26	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xa5023f…
07-13 12:14:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x13d13b…
07-13 10:57:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	11	88¢	$9	0xfc4e36…
07-13 10:52:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xe8ee85…
07-13 10:52:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xcf9b40…
07-13 10:52:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xec6f93…
07-13 10:36:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6a5b19…
07-13 10:33:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x9fc0d1…
07-13 10:16:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	44	88¢	$38	0xecf267…
07-13 10:13:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x0c8dd2…
07-13 10:12:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x284a41…
07-13 10:02:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xe44113…
07-13 08:31:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x571e2d…
07-13 08:17:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xe95ae3…
07-13 08:12:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x106be0…
07-13 07:23:02	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x4f24a6…
07-13 07:17:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xe58cf2…
07-13 04:36:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe64b8f…
07-13 04:25:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x56676b…
07-13 04:05:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4b326d…
07-13 03:15:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x758849…
07-11 18:07:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	42	77¢	$32	0x9e0f5b…
07-11 17:27:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x263640…
07-11 15:56:50	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	45	67¢	$30	0xff0d9e…
07-11 13:06:14	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xb69dfa…
07-11 12:35:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xac9fef…
07-10 15:05:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb0b959…
07-09 22:22:53	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xb232c2…
07-09 22:22:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xf4cd5b…
07-09 08:37:49	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32b 20260703212929589	No	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x6bd00a…
07-09 07:02:56	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32b 20260703212929589	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xe95783…
07-09 07:01:08	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32b 20260703212929589	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x534934…
07-04 06:49:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x92b004…
07-04 01:17:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	93	52¢	$48	0x1b2a1e…
07-04 00:59:05	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x2ed48a…
06-23 17:29:34	will the announcers say record during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729505	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x6509ca…
06-23 08:04:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x359106…
06-23 05:29:16	will the announcers say comeback come back during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729508	No	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x72a0e0…
06-23 05:28:23	will the announcers say comeback come back during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729508	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x13bf1e…
06-23 05:26:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xb261b8…
06-23 05:24:25	will the announcers say record during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729505	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xee2620…
06-22 03:46:05	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x70df5d…
06-22 03:32:13	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x3c75b9…
06-22 03:31:59	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x777143…
06-22 03:30:35	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xc3389c…
06-22 03:01:59	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x3cf9ce…
06-21 13:27:01	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	South Africa	SELL	176	40¢	$70	0xae5d0d…
06-21 13:21:44	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	SELL	123	61¢	$75	0x4e8b8d…
06-21 13:21:40	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x7839c9…
06-21 13:21:35	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x86f75c…
06-21 13:21:13	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	SELL	34	61¢	$21	0x7e7469…
06-21 13:13:28	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x85e132…
06-21 13:07:40	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0xf96e1a…
06-21 13:05:20	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0x3fc893…
06-21 13:04:32	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf68eef…
06-21 13:04:32	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x7fa089…
06-21 13:03:13	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	34	62¢	$21	0x648143…
06-21 13:02:50	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	India	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x7f9ae3…
06-21 13:01:49	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	South Africa	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9ae4d3…
06-21 12:51:25	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	South Africa	BUY	69	34¢	$24	0x5b93e8…
06-21 11:13:29	crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	South Africa	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x4b1183…
06-19 13:57:52	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x6c5023…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xa3c644…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x371ca2…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x2a5c26…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x235f89…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x1cea53…
06-19 13:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x1b8eaf…
06-19 13:57:20	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xf4dc3a…
06-19 13:57:20	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xda2743…
06-19 13:57:20	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x86a2d9…
06-19 13:57:20	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x519e6d…
06-19 12:32:20	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x19887f…
06-18 20:59:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x561e9b…
06-18 14:30:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf5ff79…
06-18 14:25:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x93dbf9…
06-18 14:13:56	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	100	89¢	$88	0x7f3441…
06-18 14:01:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb9ada0…
06-18 13:20:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xee106e…
06-18 13:15:22	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	84	87¢	$73	0xef484e…
06-18 13:12:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x98513a…
06-18 13:11:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x9519ad…
06-18 13:05:08	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xb3839a…
06-18 13:00:52	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xa0a735…
06-18 12:54:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcfaef0…
06-18 12:53:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb08530…
06-18 12:39:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3b5080…
06-16 10:31:36	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	75	30¢	$22	0xc86a8a…
06-16 08:10:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0x34cfcb…
06-16 07:31:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x1f3e17…
06-16 07:13:10	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x9d99a8…
06-16 07:05:03	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0xba936d…
06-09 01:03:25	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x203d90…
06-08 12:17:16	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0xb47d8b…
06-08 12:17:15	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	69	41¢	$28	0x053f4b…
06-08 10:17:18	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x957f32…
06-08 09:42:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x135039…
06-07 14:38:03	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xa1d76c…
06-07 13:21:27	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x446f0e…
06-04 14:32:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0ecf92…