Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$103.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.1%

Resolved

223

Trades

5,651

lifetime

Volume

$1.51M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-13 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

54% 69% +$26,377

Politics

45% 72% +$77,147

Sports

1% 50% -$547

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	107	$114.8K	58,178	60,022	-1,844	No	+$3,062	03-30 21:48
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	113	$97.0K	29,435	70,778	-41,344	Yes	+$2,805	02-23 11:38
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	80	$93.9K	15,627	79,000	-63,373	Yes	+$497	02-23 09:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	226	$82.5K	162,762	125,906	+36,856	Yes	+$33,806	02-25 20:33
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	77	$49.9K	25,910	41,759	-15,850	Yes	+$5,777	01-30 09:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	79	$38.1K	27,743	27,243	+500	Yes	+$3,719	04-02 11:07
will send help or iron lung gross more on their opening weekend	25	$38.1K	20,000	20,000	+0	Send Help	+$1,366	02-02 16:58
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	142	$37.2K	45,735	35,735	+10,000	Yes	+$11,114	02-25 06:10
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	55	$33.6K	19,500	19,100	+400	No	+$2,725	04-01 01:10
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	42	$27.7K	16,803	15,819	+984	No	+$2,166	03-29 21:29
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	63	$27.3K	34,444	28,512	+5,932	Yes	+$5,989	02-27 16:40
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	35	$27.2K	16,800	16,800	+0	No	+$2,712	04-01 00:19
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	32	$24.4K	15,000	14,951	+49	Yes	+$1,383	03-04 14:47
will hoppers opening weekend box office be greater than 31m	39	$24.1K	12,128	12,128	+0	Yes	+$98	03-09 07:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	105	$22.7K	54,083	54,446	-363	No	+$1,963	01-29 23:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	26	$20.9K	12,000	12,000	+0	Yes	+$1,420	04-02 11:06
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	49	$20.6K	19,554	19,554	+0	No	+$10	02-27 12:47
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	18	$20.1K	10,411	10,411	+0	No	+$456	04-13 15:12
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	149	$18.6K	41,568	39,068	+2,500	No	-$1,681	02-06 13:40
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	134	$17.4K	65,525	64,525	+1,000	No	-$5,026	02-06 21:59
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be less than 25m	90	$16.5K	5,804	10,774	-4,970	No	+$26	02-28 10:31
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	26	$16.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$1,356	03-27 17:35
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	33	$14.2K	13,728	14,058	-330	No	+$2,244	01-04 16:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	55	$13.9K	12,445	12,445	+0	Yes	+$1,271	04-02 11:07
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be greater than 22m	16	$13.1K	8,010	8,010	+0	No	-$1,398	03-13 20:49
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	27	$12.8K	17,176	17,176	+0	No	+$3,806	03-21 10:45
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	76	$12.7K	18,000	19,000	-1,000	No	-$2,753	01-09 22:00
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	28	$11.7K	6,666	6,666	+0	No	+$1,318	03-31 23:38
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	49	$11.7K	6,554	5,931	+624	No	+$652	02-15 00:00
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	17	$11.7K	9,351	9,351	+0	Yes	-$111	03-23 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-13 15:12:57	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	152	98¢	$149	0x3eb5e0…
04-13 15:12:07	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	98¢	$9,850	0x73e126…
04-13 15:11:57	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	171	99¢	$169	0x1fe85f…
04-09 10:59:39	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x61c06b…
04-09 10:45:17	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x4cb301…
04-08 16:58:59	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	396	31¢	$122	0x76ae44…
04-08 15:33:25	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x01ae6b…
04-08 15:14:53	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x08bccc…
04-08 15:01:29	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x6325a1…
04-08 15:01:23	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	89	40¢	$36	0x240eb5…
04-08 14:53:47	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x2b1526…
04-08 14:53:41	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xc26a77…
04-08 14:53:39	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	95	30¢	$28	0xda66fc…
04-08 14:53:37	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	282	31¢	$87	0xbe1420…
04-06 06:07:03	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	1,277	98¢	$1,251	0xfdc7fb…
04-05 13:48:31	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	723	98¢	$706	0x4e1362…
04-04 09:11:39	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$485	0xd185b9…
04-03 16:06:27	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	366	89¢	$326	0x9769f5…
04-03 14:34:31	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0x5abcdf…
04-02 20:28:29	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	515	85¢	$438	0xc1c1a5…
04-02 15:26:07	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	525	94¢	$494	0xcc2d1b…
04-02 13:48:27	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	No	SELL	498	100¢	$498	0x8d2f3f…
04-02 13:48:27	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	No	SELL	1,182	100¢	$1,181	0x2ede72…
04-02 13:30:07	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	3,000	97¢	$2,905	0x7012c8…
04-02 11:07:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	10,000	92¢	$9,200	0x6f17d0…
04-02 11:07:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	3,000	75¢	$2,250	0x91b655…
04-02 11:06:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	7,000	98¢	$6,853	0x791169…
04-01 20:24:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xf4e98e…
04-01 08:36:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0x1d5120…
04-01 03:06:21	Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0b9e7f…
04-01 01:10:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	8,000	100¢	$7,992	0x0de90e…
04-01 01:02:11	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	No	SELL	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0xbbc9ee…
04-01 00:19:59	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	4,611	100¢	$4,606	0x535e35…
04-01 00:17:43	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x00832e…
04-01 00:05:13	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	1,388	100¢	$1,387	0x490500…
03-31 23:38:27	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	857	100¢	$856	0xe382d0…
03-31 21:06:51	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	370	100¢	$369	0x33dae6…
03-31 20:17:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0xd506f4…
03-31 20:06:11	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	294	98¢	$289	0xee9a38…
03-31 19:48:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,500	87¢	$1,305	0x63522c…
03-31 19:47:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,500	87¢	$2,175	0xc6806c…
03-31 19:46:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,500	87¢	$1,305	0x4dd8b2…
03-31 19:46:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2,000	76¢	$1,520	0x201c48…
03-31 19:40:47	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	2,243	100¢	$2,241	0xd84607…
03-31 19:40:23	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	271	100¢	$271	0xf89fe8…
03-31 18:35:55	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	117	98¢	$115	0x7603d3…
03-31 17:39:59	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x4659ab…
03-31 15:26:01	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6fe40f…
03-31 14:56:41	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7b1d85…
03-31 14:49:43	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x8dc2ed…
03-31 14:07:37	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1,146	100¢	$1,144	0x76d499…
03-31 13:22:47	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf63a66…
03-31 12:10:51	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x370e11…
03-31 12:10:39	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0x118d81…
03-31 12:10:31	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xe797ba…
03-31 12:10:29	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xb54ac4…
03-31 12:10:23	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x944f16…
03-31 12:10:13	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	114	100¢	$113	0xbd02dc…
03-31 11:44:25	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8eca3c…
03-31 11:43:47	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcdee08…
03-31 10:41:41	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x228afa…
03-31 09:51:53	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x247bf2…
03-31 09:01:03	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x69a945…
03-31 08:03:21	will oman strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	2,424	100¢	$2,421	0xb576a9…
03-31 08:02:29	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	657	100¢	$656	0xcb6358…
03-31 07:33:51	will oman strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xeb902d…
03-31 07:33:47	will oman strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa2c99b…
03-31 07:33:19	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdb1cbd…
03-31 06:52:37	will oman strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xd2f4f1…
03-31 05:57:57	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeb2ff2…
03-31 04:04:49	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd6a2a3…
03-31 03:35:41	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3a872c…
03-31 03:30:53	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x63ea67…
03-31 03:24:21	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbbddbb…
03-31 03:18:31	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4b7d84…
03-31 02:10:15	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1bc0d8…
03-31 00:38:35	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4309cd…
03-31 00:38:23	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x8c108c…
03-30 23:38:35	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xa7dd5e…
03-30 22:22:33	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf4327c…
03-30 22:21:51	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8bca9b…
03-30 21:48:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	11,329	100¢	$11,317	0x2d4fe1…
03-30 21:47:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xc35841…
03-30 21:43:31	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	3,101	100¢	$3,098	0x587c5a…
03-30 21:20:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x58c808…
03-30 21:17:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x35669f…
03-30 21:17:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x594317…
03-30 21:16:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	510	100¢	$509	0xce1bce…
03-30 21:16:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3e9c32…
03-30 21:16:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	734	100¢	$733	0x164106…
03-30 21:12:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb21f18…
03-30 21:06:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x6e0469…
03-30 21:02:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x2525ed…
03-30 21:00:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x133c93…
03-30 20:49:19	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdc30d4…
03-30 20:44:41	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	289	100¢	$289	0xd1e077…
03-30 20:23:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	17,320	100¢	$17,303	0x0f4d88…
03-30 19:51:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x3d4aba…
03-30 19:49:31	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	16,398	100¢	$16,382	0x37ca8c…
03-30 19:20:49	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xc4d8cb…