Ill-Informed-Husband — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$476

Unrealized P&L

+$35

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$8.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$495

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-30 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

53% 64% -$577

Politics

34% 70% +$174

Crypto

12% 58% -$42

Tech

0% 0% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes		+500	$459	99¢	$495	+$35	10-30 08:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	7	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	Yes	+$6	06-14 17:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$676	581	200	+381	No	+$57	04-20 19:46
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$460	500	0	+500	No	+$40	03-10 11:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$459	500	0	+500	open	—	10-30 08:33
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	1	$400	459	0	+459	No	+$59	04-08 19:21
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$350	200	200	+0	No	+$18	03-23 14:14
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$287	300	0	+300	No	+$13	09-26 11:54
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	3	$223	300	0	+300	Yes	-$223	03-02 23:42
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	2	$217	234	234	+0	Yes	+$192	02-28 14:40
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$215	500	0	+500	No	-$215	07-07 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:00 UTC	1	$200	308	0	+308	Up	+$108	04-08 19:02
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	1	$200	465	0	+465	Yes	-$200	03-11 12:13
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$200	235	0	+235	Yes	-$200	02-24 20:06
north korea missile test by march 31 472	1	$200	306	0	+306	Yes	+$106	03-11 12:02
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	1	$183	0	260	-260	No	-$77	06-14 05:37
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	1	$176	200	0	+200	Yes	+$24	06-17 13:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	2	$168	300	0	+300	Yes	-$168	10-30 07:34
will silver si settle over 80 on the final trading day of february 2026	1	$164	204	0	+204	Yes	+$40	02-25 04:25
will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	1	$160	200	0	+200	No	+$40	06-17 13:15
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	1	$100	152	0	+152	No	+$52	03-11 12:17
bitcoin above 64k on february 24	1	$100	116	0	+116	Yes	-$100	02-24 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:05 UTC	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	04-08 19:09
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	1	$91	100	0	+100	No	+$9	04-13 16:38
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$86	80	80	+0	No	+$38	03-23 15:03
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	1	$83	100	0	+100	Yes	-$83	03-25 15:46
will normal score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$82	100	0	+100	Yes	+$18	04-16 15:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$78	100	0	+100	No	+$22	04-15 10:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$77	100	0	+100	No	+$23	04-15 10:43
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	1	$70	100	0	+100	Yes	-$70	06-14 05:46
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$69	100	0	+100	No	+$31	05-12 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:33:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	254	92¢	$234	0x804aa8…
10-30 08:28:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	79	92¢	$73	0x7d1181…
10-30 08:13:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0xdf9b65…
10-30 08:12:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x21ff08…
10-30 07:47:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x267f20…
10-30 07:34:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	276	56¢	$155	0x181de8…
10-30 07:29:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0xe7af0e…
10-30 07:26:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0xbbe281…
09-26 11:54:05	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	251	96¢	$240	0xe431ea…
09-26 10:27:32	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xf255b7…
07-27 12:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0xbf29d4…
07-27 12:15:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x908393…
07-27 12:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xfc3755…
07-27 12:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x557be7…
07-27 12:01:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x269a93…
07-07 05:53:43	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0x436caa…
07-03 13:00:23	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x16a581…
06-17 13:19:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x00c17d…
06-17 13:15:05	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x5b87f7…
06-14 17:27:06	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0x7bac89…
06-14 17:02:25	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	563	100¢	$560	0x88057b…
06-14 16:57:55	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1430ee…
06-14 15:47:06	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xa23423…
06-14 15:21:07	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb358f2…
06-14 15:03:21	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x151f20…
06-14 14:57:27	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x328daf…
06-14 14:57:04	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xd77e98…
06-14 14:56:09	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xdd74f2…
06-14 14:53:48	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x31e62a…
06-14 05:46:30	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x966f84…
06-14 05:37:40	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	260	70¢	$183	0xc373cc…
06-01 11:52:02	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x9670b3…
06-01 11:51:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xe6dba4…
05-25 08:12:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6a8ac3…
05-25 08:10:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x38aeef…
05-20 11:23:21	Will "Passenger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x228c08…
05-20 11:18:06	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xc5c980…
05-20 11:18:06	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	73¢	$26	0x993f7c…
05-20 11:14:04	Will "Passenger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x361fad…
05-15 13:06:45	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xdd44f9…
05-15 12:31:47	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6a756d…
05-15 12:17:41	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xfbe8b7…
05-15 12:17:20	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2bfd77…
05-15 12:17:01	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x225b97…
05-15 12:16:37	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x965780…
05-15 12:08:58	Will "In the Grey" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xd6b3e2…
05-12 08:12:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf1ebab…
05-12 08:07:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x6d909f…
05-12 08:04:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x0cf114…
05-12 08:01:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xe93bde…
05-08 06:41:42	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x8d720e…
05-05 09:09:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x94a218…
05-05 08:59:48	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xbca51c…
05-05 08:58:32	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x9380ee…
04-29 06:12:06	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xef281f…
04-24 12:24:00	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xf03762…
04-24 12:22:02	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x01f8c3…
04-24 12:21:04	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xdc9e92…
04-24 11:05:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0x993ff5…
04-23 07:13:20	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x0e85d3…
04-23 06:58:54	Will "Over Your Dead Body" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x036839…
04-23 06:53:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1bfe8d…
04-23 06:53:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x3073d7…
04-23 06:48:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x215e10…
04-22 07:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xf3be2c…
04-22 07:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xec5953…
04-22 07:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xb4da80…
04-22 07:29:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe01bbd…
04-22 07:24:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x24ad95…
04-21 11:16:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5db02c…
04-21 11:13:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x9b9aca…
04-20 19:46:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x564dc7…
04-20 10:23:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x74e324…
04-19 09:10:16	another sp 500 all time high by april 20	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc19912…
04-19 08:52:34	another sp 500 all time high by april 20	No	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0xec3276…
04-19 08:51:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$6	0x2df408…
04-19 08:50:20	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x943fc0…
04-18 07:57:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x07b0ce…
04-18 07:48:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	49	13¢	$6	0xb8127a…
04-17 06:45:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xab3728…
04-16 15:19:56	will normal score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	95	82¢	$78	0x3cb508…
04-16 15:03:10	will mother mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x695e57…
04-16 11:30:36	will mother mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xa50f48…
04-16 11:28:28	will mother mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0d23e3…
04-16 10:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xfa09ae…
04-16 10:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8f0a43…
04-16 10:38:06	will lee cronins the mummy score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 895 889 267	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x3feb54…
04-16 10:34:54	will normal score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb3e263…
04-16 10:33:24	will mother mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xd9bbe2…
04-15 11:13:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xa5985d…
04-15 10:59:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x56afdc…
04-15 10:56:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	34	31¢	$11	0xc859a9…
04-15 10:56:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x655581…
04-15 10:44:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x618200…
04-15 10:43:42	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xb9da0b…
04-13 16:57:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd758d8…
04-13 16:57:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x496ea2…
04-13 16:49:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x945a9e…
04-13 16:48:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x45dbd2…
04-13 16:45:21	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf214aa…