Candid-Quest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$8.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-29 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

81% 62% $-160

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781882100	11	$644	64,419	0	+64,419	open	—	06-19 15:20
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$198	116	116	+0	open	—	02-27 21:07
gtlb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 0pt23	3	$126	229	173	+56	open	—	03-03 15:53
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$108	124	0	+124	open	—	06-29 19:23
uel pao1 bet1 2026 01 22 pao1	1	$100	161	0	+161	open	—	01-22 18:08
ddog quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt55	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	02-06 05:01
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	110	0	+110	No	$-100	05-10 14:55
pltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 02 2026 0pt23	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	01-30 06:59
cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt23	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-20 06:05
lol fox1 dnf 2026 02 12	2	$100	168	0	+168	open	—	02-12 08:28
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	110	0	+110	No	+$10	05-11 15:47
nba min den 2026 03 01 total 241pt5	2	$100	208	0	+208	open	—	03-01 20:16
nba uta mil 2026 03 07	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	03-07 20:47
Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	110	0	+110	Yes	+$10	05-05 13:24
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	4	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	02-06 05:27
Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$100	107	0	+107	Yes	+$7	05-06 18:36
spgi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 4pt33	2	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	02-09 09:23
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	04-27 19:10
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	05-05 13:19
msft quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 28 2026 3pt85	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	01-28 18:17
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	05-10 14:54
usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt14	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	04-15 15:12
schw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt36	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	04-15 15:13
aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 2pt67	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	01-28 21:10
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-30 10:11
Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-27 19:09
ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	04-14 14:03
mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 09 2026 6pt17	3	$94	161	125	+36	open	—	03-08 18:52
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	4	$76	288	288	+0	open	—	02-26 18:27
epl bou sun 2026 02 28 bou	2	$60	150	0	+150	open	—	02-28 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 19:23:01	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	124	87¢	$108	0x6b79a8…
06-29 13:15:34	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	49	74¢	$36	0x765150…
06-27 18:29:22	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Jordan	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x17ba18…
06-27 18:27:49	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xdeb9e7…
06-19 15:20:02	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x529c72…
06-19 15:20:02	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x1f1a3d…
06-19 15:20:02	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x15a34c…
06-19 15:20:01	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x80e597…
06-19 15:20:01	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	7,723	1¢	$77	0x4cf5ee…
06-19 15:20:01	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	1,197	1¢	$12	0x217131…
06-19 15:19:59	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9a2937…
06-19 15:19:59	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	1,834	1¢	$18	0x7752bf…
06-19 15:19:59	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x394c62…
06-19 15:19:59	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	8,166	1¢	$82	0x247378…
06-19 15:19:59	btc updown 5m 1781882100	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x197dbe…
06-11 17:49:21	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	South Africa	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x0fca48…
05-11 15:47:58	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x069918…
05-10 14:55:27	Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xc3d4e1…
05-10 14:54:00	Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x948f21…
05-06 18:36:43	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x83e25b…
05-05 13:26:26	Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x9ee557…
05-05 13:25:26	Will Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x84a8d0…
05-05 13:24:24	Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x50195f…
05-05 13:23:10	Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xb0e82f…
05-05 13:21:42	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x764b18…
05-05 13:20:28	Will Marketaxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xf44128…
05-05 13:20:10	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xc7537a…
05-05 13:19:30	Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xab361f…
05-05 13:19:24	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x620b6c…
05-04 12:44:04	Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xc43d05…
05-04 12:42:54	Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xff9858…
05-04 12:42:10	Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x471ce6…
05-04 12:41:46	Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe75ed9…
05-04 12:41:18	Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	175	17¢	$30	0x0f5c88…
05-03 07:20:36	Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x0899f9…
05-01 04:03:14	Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x4ff583…
04-30 10:15:04	Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xe99c1e…
04-30 10:12:30	Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xefa89c…
04-30 10:11:50	Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x79b6af…
04-30 10:10:12	Will Estee Lauder Companies (EL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x98cb0e…
04-30 10:08:56	Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x01ea5a…
04-29 10:51:40	Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xb97be1…
04-28 05:19:46	Will Penske Automotive Group (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0x5e179b…
04-27 19:27:56	Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x507d6d…
04-27 19:27:24	Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x330d33…
04-27 19:27:08	Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd09f8c…
04-27 19:26:36	Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x076570…
04-27 19:25:08	Will Cigna (CI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x51948e…
04-27 19:24:34	Will Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xdefdf5…
04-27 19:24:12	Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf903b3…
04-27 19:23:38	Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xb3c367…
04-27 19:17:00	Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x52af19…
04-27 19:16:44	Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xa0ad0d…
04-27 19:14:50	Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x7bb38e…
04-27 19:14:24	Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0x1d153b…
04-27 19:10:34	Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x2106bb…
04-27 19:10:18	Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x705c9a…
04-27 19:09:38	Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc7a438…
04-24 13:58:50	Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0e608f…
04-22 16:52:40	ssnc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt65	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xd646e6…
04-22 16:52:18	pg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 24 2026 1pt56	No	BUY	205	10¢	$20	0xb0cf49…
04-22 16:50:50	ubsi quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 0pt85	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x5f305f…
04-21 12:27:06	bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt34	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x94324e…
04-21 12:26:46	lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 6pt68	No	BUY	166	15¢	$25	0xa87aa7…
04-21 12:26:12	txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt36	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xe8b306…
04-20 06:06:14	mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xfa2ea1…
04-20 06:05:32	ba quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 neg0pt59	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xa78b5d…
04-20 06:05:18	cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt23	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xbcb036…
04-19 12:28:32	tsco quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 0pt35	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x235548…
04-15 15:14:28	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 17 2026 2pt57	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xcad27f…
04-15 15:14:24	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	No	BUY	575	5¢	$30	0x676792…
04-15 15:14:16	ally quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 17 2026 0pt95	No	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xc963a2…
04-15 15:13:16	schw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt36	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xafbba2…
04-15 15:12:26	usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt14	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x0014e5…
04-15 15:12:22	cfg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt09	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x283a00…
04-14 16:26:11	pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3pt92	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x981972…
04-14 14:03:27	ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbd06fc…
04-13 15:13:03	jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 5pt43	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xd2c6c4…
04-13 15:12:51	blk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 14 2026 12pt26	No	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x78354a…
04-02 21:00:25	nba sas lac 2026 04 02 spread away 4pt5	Clippers	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x7913a9…
04-02 20:59:17	nba nop por 2026 04 02 spread home 6pt5	Pelicans	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd66f8a…
04-02 20:57:55	nba phx cha 2026 04 02 spread home 6pt5	Suns	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2ee5ea…
03-31 08:44:07	msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	No	BUY	242	21¢	$50	0xad9f88…
03-23 13:01:01	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x3c62eb…
03-23 11:09:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0xc3d648…
03-23 11:09:33	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0x2565b1…
03-21 05:11:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe32b7e…
03-21 05:11:49	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x5c0132…
03-21 05:11:45	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xfe9e86…
03-13 19:09:37	epl sun bri 2026 03 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x461190…
03-13 19:08:39	epl sun bri 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0xf4ca0e…
03-13 14:09:35	epl bur bou 2026 03 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xbbc91a…
03-13 14:09:31	epl bur bou 2026 03 14 btts	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x690cfe…
03-13 08:13:15	aso quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 17 2026 2pt05	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x88a646…
03-13 08:11:39	lulu quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 17 2026 4pt78	No	BUY	303	17¢	$50	0x19a24f…
03-12 15:23:31	epl sun bri 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x2fd488…
03-11 19:20:59	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xec47d7…
03-11 19:19:45	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xfb3ec1…
03-11 19:19:31	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 btts	No	SELL	38	64¢	$25	0xf65e83…
03-11 18:49:11	adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 5pt87	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x39606f…