Constant-Fail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

7,562

lifetime

Volume

$38.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-26 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 73% +$4

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 1118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$300	357	0	+357	open	—	05-27 20:56
btc updown 5m 1781681700	44	$171	954	7	+946	open	—	06-17 07:39
eth updown 5m 1781981100	3	$123	84	76	+9	open	—	06-20 18:49
sol updown 5m 1781898900	8	$122	101	85	+16	open	—	06-19 19:56
eth updown 5m 1781980500	4	$121	73	73	+0	open	—	06-20 18:39
sol updown 5m 1781980500	5	$120	78	78	-0	open	—	06-20 18:38
doge updown 5m 1781979900	12	$120	72	71	+0	open	—	06-20 18:28
eth updown 5m 1781898900	4	$119	74	62	+12	open	—	06-19 19:57
doge updown 5m 1781980200	4	$119	72	72	+0	open	—	06-20 18:33
xrp updown 5m 1781899500	7	$118	107	89	+18	open	—	06-19 20:07
xrp updown 5m 1781898900	3	$115	75	62	+12	open	—	06-19 19:57
eth updown 5m 1781979300	2	$111	71	71	+0	open	—	06-20 18:17
xrp updown 5m 1781980200	2	$108	62	62	+0	open	—	06-20 18:34
btc updown 5m 1781980200	2	$103	75	75	+0	open	—	06-20 18:33
doge updown 5m 1781898600	5	$72	97	8	+89	open	—	06-19 19:54
sol updown 5m 1781979600	4	$63	90	8	+82	open	—	06-20 18:24
xrp updown 5m 1781979900	9	$61	81	8	+73	open	—	06-20 18:27
xrp updown 5m 1781980800	11	$61	70	6	+64	open	—	06-20 18:42
sol updown 5m 1781899200	6	$60	78	0	+78	open	—	06-19 20:02
btc updown 5m 1781981400	3	$58	93	8	+85	open	—	06-20 18:53
xrp updown 5m 1781979600	6	$58	67	6	+61	open	—	06-20 18:22
doge updown 5m 1781980500	6	$56	65	7	+58	open	—	06-20 18:38
xrp updown 5m 1781981700	2	$55	78	0	+78	open	—	06-20 18:56
doge updown 5m 1781981100	3	$55	69	0	+69	open	—	06-20 18:48
doge updown 5m 1781979300	3	$55	69	0	+69	open	—	06-20 18:16
sol updown 5m 1781980200	4	$54	86	0	+86	open	—	06-20 18:34
doge updown 5m 1781979600	2	$54	85	0	+85	open	—	06-20 18:22
btc updown 5m 1781981700	2	$53	83	0	+83	open	—	06-20 18:58
btc updown 5m 1782323100	11	$52	56	15	+41	open	—	06-24 17:47
eth updown 5m 1782322200	8	$51	62	15	+47	open	—	06-24 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 21:35:46	xrp updown 15m 1782509400	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xdc75b0…
06-26 21:25:10	xrp updown 15m 1782508500	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa2b8a4…
06-26 21:25:10	xrp updown 15m 1782508500	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x2b851f…
06-26 21:25:10	xrp updown 15m 1782508500	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x0a8b97…
06-26 21:24:41	xrp updown 15m 1782508500	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xdb437f…
06-26 21:23:53	eth updown 15m 1782508500	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc84e7b…
06-26 21:20:31	sol updown 15m 1782508500	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xacf407…
06-26 21:13:37	btc updown 15m 1782507600	Up	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x8e87cf…
06-26 21:10:26	eth updown 15m 1782507600	Up	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x53e9e9…
06-26 21:10:11	btc updown 15m 1782507600	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc2c85e…
06-26 21:10:10	btc updown 15m 1782507600	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x985c50…
06-26 21:09:52	eth updown 15m 1782507600	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdebe07…
06-26 20:55:46	doge updown 15m 1782506700	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x8ed5a2…
06-26 20:50:22	doge updown 15m 1782506700	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x603d92…
06-26 20:25:40	sol updown 15m 1782504900	Up	SELL	14	80¢	$12	0xb5d60c…
06-26 20:24:49	xrp updown 15m 1782504900	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x8eb4d8…
06-26 20:24:23	doge updown 15m 1782504900	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x333b1b…
06-26 20:20:28	sol updown 15m 1782504900	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xca4ba6…
06-26 20:09:35	doge updown 15m 1782504000	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x673ea2…
06-26 20:08:43	btc updown 15m 1782504000	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdb7fc7…
06-26 20:08:04	sol updown 15m 1782504000	Up	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xd35ace…
06-26 20:07:58	sol updown 15m 1782504000	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x3c579c…
06-26 20:05:47	xrp updown 15m 1782504000	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb51ac5…
06-26 20:05:32	sol updown 15m 1782504000	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x86a4ec…
06-26 19:56:58	btc updown 15m 1782503100	Down	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0xc6d7c8…
06-26 19:56:46	xrp updown 15m 1782503100	Down	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xcbfa0d…
06-26 19:56:29	btc updown 15m 1782503100	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x204aff…
06-26 19:56:04	xrp updown 15m 1782503100	Down	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xdb2508…
06-26 19:55:47	xrp updown 15m 1782503100	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8715c8…
06-26 19:55:32	xrp updown 15m 1782503100	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf5bf44…
06-26 19:53:44	doge updown 15m 1782503100	Down	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0xf2c5be…
06-26 19:50:22	doge updown 15m 1782503100	Down	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0xf1c7f0…
06-26 19:39:25	btc updown 15m 1782502200	Down	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0xacbc24…
06-26 19:37:37	btc updown 15m 1782502200	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x5406d6…
06-26 19:37:26	doge updown 15m 1782502200	Down	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x107735…
06-26 19:35:46	doge updown 15m 1782502200	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x270f83…
06-26 19:23:13	btc updown 15m 1782501300	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xcc050d…
06-26 19:23:11	eth updown 15m 1782501300	Down	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x42521d…
06-26 19:23:08	sol updown 15m 1782501300	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x6b649b…
06-26 19:21:08	sol updown 15m 1782501300	Up	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x3055c8…
06-26 19:21:04	btc updown 15m 1782501300	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0x6ad72a…
06-26 19:21:01	sol updown 15m 1782501300	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x7b30fe…
06-26 19:20:59	eth updown 15m 1782501300	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x51084a…
06-26 19:20:35	doge updown 15m 1782501300	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe13992…
06-26 19:20:28	doge updown 15m 1782501300	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x524237…
06-26 19:07:34	xrp updown 15m 1782500400	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x49b6b0…
06-26 19:07:26	xrp updown 15m 1782500400	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xb267e1…
06-26 19:06:55	btc updown 15m 1782500400	Up	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x07eb93…
06-26 19:05:59	eth updown 15m 1782500400	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xfbb19a…
06-26 19:05:55	eth updown 15m 1782500400	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa1a081…
06-26 19:05:46	doge updown 15m 1782500400	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf288da…
06-26 19:05:43	btc updown 15m 1782500400	Up	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0x971281…
06-26 18:44:05	eth updown 15m 1782498600	Up	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xbe4a1d…
06-26 18:44:04	doge updown 15m 1782498600	Up	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x55dd96…
06-26 18:44:02	eth updown 15m 1782498600	Up	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xe52831…
06-26 18:42:52	xrp updown 15m 1782498600	Up	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x3f0583…
06-26 18:41:34	eth updown 15m 1782498600	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdb5af8…
06-26 18:41:34	eth updown 15m 1782498600	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x43bbac…
06-26 18:41:28	xrp updown 15m 1782498600	Up	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0xa5ebfa…
06-26 18:41:17	xrp updown 15m 1782498600	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xdb3276…
06-26 18:41:14	xrp updown 15m 1782498600	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x768c18…
06-26 18:41:05	doge updown 15m 1782498600	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x9f887e…
06-26 18:40:17	sol updown 15m 1782498600	Up	SELL	14	82¢	$12	0x38fce0…
06-26 18:40:16	sol updown 15m 1782498600	Up	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0xa0b20f…
06-26 18:39:26	sol updown 15m 1782498600	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x89748b…
06-26 18:39:08	btc updown 15m 1782498600	Down	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x66078f…
06-26 18:36:43	btc updown 15m 1782498600	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xb865bc…
06-26 18:36:35	doge updown 15m 1782498600	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe982c5…
06-26 18:35:20	btc updown 15m 1782498600	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xe0ea80…
06-26 18:24:55	doge updown 15m 1782497700	Down	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x2b5904…
06-26 18:23:53	xrp updown 15m 1782497700	Down	SELL	17	68¢	$11	0x2746e5…
06-26 18:21:55	xrp updown 15m 1782497700	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x866d26…
06-26 18:21:53	xrp updown 15m 1782497700	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x0502ec…
06-26 18:21:11	xrp updown 15m 1782497700	Down	SELL	18	65¢	$11	0x606aa6…
06-26 18:21:02	doge updown 15m 1782497700	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xe29705…
06-26 18:21:01	doge updown 15m 1782497700	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x67b2a4…
06-26 18:21:01	xrp updown 15m 1782497700	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x3cd8dc…
06-26 18:21:01	doge updown 15m 1782497700	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x0165df…
06-26 18:20:22	xrp updown 15m 1782497700	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$9	0x2271f5…
06-26 18:12:16	eth updown 15m 1782496800	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x04d064…
06-26 18:12:11	eth updown 15m 1782496800	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xd37f95…
06-26 18:11:55	doge updown 15m 1782496800	Up	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x1b6f74…
06-26 18:08:13	btc updown 15m 1782496800	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x545e6c…
06-26 18:08:13	btc updown 15m 1782496800	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0x10b5ae…
06-26 18:08:10	btc updown 15m 1782496800	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xe9f75a…
06-26 18:08:08	btc updown 15m 1782496800	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xfe0179…
06-26 18:07:04	doge updown 15m 1782496800	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$10	0x592888…
06-26 18:06:53	xrp updown 15m 1782496800	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x85639b…
06-26 18:06:52	eth updown 15m 1782496800	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x86a282…
06-26 18:06:52	xrp updown 15m 1782496800	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3da753…
06-26 18:06:25	btc updown 15m 1782496800	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x80b2f2…
06-26 18:06:25	btc updown 15m 1782496800	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x545ed1…
06-26 18:06:23	btc updown 15m 1782496800	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf8b681…
06-26 18:05:52	btc updown 15m 1782496800	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc55a7d…
06-26 17:57:22	doge updown 15m 1782495900	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xf45d4c…
06-26 17:56:05	btc updown 15m 1782495900	Down	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0x9b0362…
06-26 17:53:43	sol updown 15m 1782495900	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x4e12af…
06-26 17:53:41	doge updown 15m 1782495900	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd852c8…
06-26 17:53:41	doge updown 15m 1782495900	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x8bfa5c…
06-26 17:52:13	doge updown 15m 1782495900	Down	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x10af00…