Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
91.2%
Resolved
713
Trades
1,890
lifetime
Volume
$8.62K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 09-01 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
92% 88% +$13
Politics
7% 87% -$2
Tech
1% 86% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 801 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +406 $392 99¢ $402 +$10 08-24 02:18
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +406 $398 96¢ $391 -$7 08-24 02:18
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +413 $57 12¢ $52 -$6 08-24 02:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 08-21 18:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $46 99¢ $50 +$4 08-22 06:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $49 98¢ $49 +$0 08-21 19:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $17 72¢ $36 +$19 08-21 18:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $37 30¢ $15 -$23 08-21 18:44
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 08-23 06:30
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 08-21 19:14
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +5 $5 85¢ $4 $0 08-21 19:14
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 08-21 19:14
Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 08-24 01:36
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $0 08-24 01:36
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 08-24 01:36
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 08-24 01:36
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $0 08-24 01:36
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $0 08-24 01:36
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 08-24 01:36
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $0 08-24 01:36
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $0 08-24 01:36
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 08-24 01:36
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $0 08-24 01:36
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 08-24 01:36
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $0 08-24 01:36
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 08-24 01:36
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 $0 08-24 01:36
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $0 08-24 01:36
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $0 08-24 01:36
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +5 $2 56¢ $3 +$0 08-21 19:14