Incompatible-Dreamer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.67K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

205

Trades

822

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-03 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 42% -$590

Politics

36% 14% -$797

Sports

3% 11% -$223

Other

2% 0% -$58

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes		-3,580	-$28	0¢	$-5	+$23	06-02 23:51
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes		+85	$20	0¢	$0	-$20	06-02 23:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	14	$2.1K	3,723	3,723	+0	Yes	+$616	03-10 08:46
will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	41	$1.4K	31,881	7,024	+24,857	No	-$1,276	04-07 23:50
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	4	$510	441	441	+0	Yes	-$12	04-08 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 07:05 UTC	9	$404	436	276	+161	Down	-$34	03-04 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 07:15 UTC	9	$374	415	373	+42	Up	+$39	03-04 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 07:10 UTC	4	$363	275	272	+3	Down	+$44	03-04 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 06:45 UTC	4	$266	156	156	+0	Down	+$22	03-04 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:55 UTC	10	$187	175	172	+2	Up	+$39	03-04 10:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$169	625	625	+0	No	-$31	04-08 01:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:40 UTC	6	$166	102	101	+1	Up	+$35	03-04 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:25 UTC	8	$161	97	96	+1	Up	+$30	03-04 10:31
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:25 UTC	7	$150	92	91	+1	Up	+$31	03-04 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 07:20 UTC	6	$149	1,228	164	+1,064	Up	-$30	03-04 07:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:00 UTC	9	$149	91	90	+1	Up	+$31	03-04 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 07:25 UTC	7	$148	1,716	48	+1,668	Up	-$107	03-04 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 06:55 UTC	5	$137	146	143	+2	Up	+$20	03-04 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:35 UTC	16	$135	250	0	+250	Down	-$135	03-04 10:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:35 UTC	15	$121	228	131	+96	Down	-$102	03-04 10:39
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$114	11,892	5,228	+6,664	No	-$86	04-19 20:42
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:40 UTC	3	$109	71	70	+1	Up	+$32	03-04 10:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:55 UTC	7	$101	68	67	+1	Up	+$32	03-04 10:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 06:40 UTC	6	$99	112	111	+1	Up	-$1	03-04 06:47
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:55 UTC	5	$92	61	60	+1	Up	+$29	03-04 10:01
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:55 UTC	5	$91	60	60	+1	Up	+$28	03-04 10:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 07:30 UTC	4	$89	318	274	+44	Up	-$7	03-04 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 06:25 UTC	3	$87	166	165	+1	Down	+$26	03-04 06:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:45 UTC	9	$87	489	275	+213	Down	-$59	03-04 10:49
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:50 UTC	7	$85	285	141	+144	Down	-$57	03-04 09:53
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:10 UTC	12	$80	98	0	+98	Down	+$18	03-04 10:14
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:45 UTC	5	$80	125	87	+38	Down	-$9	03-04 10:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 03:45:07	Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x03e4ed…
06-02 23:56:38	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xb3f48f…
06-02 23:54:55	Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x11ad57…
06-02 23:52:42	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	23¢	$20	0x157a2e…
06-02 23:51:00	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	SELL	3,847	1¢	$31	0xeaa7e9…
04-29 22:46:36	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$3	0x4e8f9f…
04-29 22:46:14	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x3d2f04…
04-29 22:46:10	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0x0d2735…
04-29 22:45:48	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	4¢	$5	0xee0e65…
04-19 20:42:36	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	198	2¢	$4	0xf5eb90…
04-19 20:42:30	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	374	1¢	$5	0x529ff8…
04-19 20:42:14	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	2,221	0¢	$8	0x009c48…
04-16 18:15:48	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	569	3¢	$15	0xff5a4c…
04-16 18:15:38	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0x251a84…
04-08 01:39:41	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	SELL	441	56¢	$249	0x744379…
04-08 01:39:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	312	7¢	$22	0x5b80d9…
04-08 01:07:45	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	207	59¢	$123	0x1d661f…
04-08 01:06:33	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	208	59¢	$123	0xc89e70…
04-08 01:04:57	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x39740e…
04-07 23:50:05	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	SELL	3,714	0¢	$16	0xc4f039…
04-07 23:21:03	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x859fc9…
04-07 23:18:49	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$3	0x003cd7…
04-07 23:18:31	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$4	0xf5b3db…
04-07 05:43:51	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	No	BUY	62	2¢	$2	0x9d07f1…
04-07 05:43:41	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	No	BUY	244	2¢	$6	0x5412b5…
04-06 23:49:57	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	230	3¢	$7	0xb27ef1…
04-06 23:30:09	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0x38d964…
04-06 22:08:01	mlb chc tb 2026 04 06	Chicago Cubs	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xf3edef…
04-06 22:07:11	mlb chc tb 2026 04 06 spread away 1pt5	Chicago Cubs	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xe0fceb…
04-06 22:06:55	mlb chc tb 2026 04 06	Chicago Cubs	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0xbccb7f…
04-06 22:03:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	312	15¢	$47	0xbc5c1e…
04-06 22:03:33	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0x75ad65…
04-06 22:01:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x34e568…
04-06 22:00:45	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	330	3¢	$10	0x74d025…
04-06 22:00:17	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	5,756	0¢	$20	0xe2d71a…
04-06 21:59:23	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	496	3¢	$15	0xf32c76…
04-06 21:58:59	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	408	3¢	$12	0x4b11f5…
04-06 21:58:15	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	1,129	3¢	$35	0xb0be1c…
04-06 21:57:53	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	2,258	3¢	$70	0x3a0c4f…
04-06 21:57:49	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	No	BUY	1,296	3¢	$40	0x07cc50…
04-06 21:47:19	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	968	3¢	$30	0x32e577…
04-06 21:44:25	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	1,130	3¢	$35	0x1e4564…
04-06 21:43:25	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	2,661	2¢	$50	0x080d86…
04-06 21:43:07	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	3,006	0¢	$6	0x39455e…
04-06 21:43:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	506	1¢	$4	0x439879…
04-05 21:27:11	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	No	BUY	220	4¢	$8	0x46d195…
04-05 21:26:19	will trumps approval rating be between 40pt0 and 40pt4 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x65a600…
04-05 21:26:11	will trumps approval rating be at least 40pt5 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	249	2¢	$5	0x8aa15b…
04-05 21:20:29	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x874863…
04-05 21:19:39	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x61413f…
04-05 05:15:11	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	4,033	0¢	$20	0x0ca514…
04-01 22:56:43	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	SELL	1,310	3¢	$46	0x8f2415…
03-26 04:38:37	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0x803271…
03-26 04:38:15	nba tor lac 2026 03 25	Raptors	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xba0d01…
03-26 04:35:27	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Timberwolves	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x60ae72…
03-26 04:09:37	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Timberwolves	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xc100c7…
03-26 04:05:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,011	3¢	$26	0xda0c53…
03-26 03:59:51	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	674	7¢	$50	0xbf6052…
03-17 02:51:13	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0xa494c1…
03-17 02:50:57	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xf0b74e…
03-15 11:09:47	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0x603831…
03-13 02:47:01	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	730	3¢	$24	0x85160f…
03-12 04:22:33	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0x5e48e7…
03-12 03:13:51	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	220	5¢	$10	0xf9e3db…
03-11 14:45:45	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfdff51…
03-11 14:03:25	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	650	5¢	$30	0xc0744a…
03-11 13:57:25	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	178	4¢	$8	0x743f80…
03-11 13:33:55	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	2,667	5¢	$120	0x86c888…
03-11 10:03:23	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	1,195	5¢	$60	0x11a8b6…
03-11 10:02:55	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x06fe1d…
03-11 09:10:29	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	1,445	5¢	$70	0x56bbf6…
03-11 09:09:45	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	423	5¢	$20	0x8e7607…
03-11 08:51:47	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	1,863	4¢	$80	0xde5945…
03-11 07:46:41	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	674	5¢	$32	0x4949ef…
03-11 07:20:03	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	384	5¢	$20	0x20c3b9…
03-11 07:11:07	larger margin of victory in dem or gop texas senate primary	GOP	BUY	1,034	6¢	$60	0x1fb39b…
03-11 06:58:57	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	667	5¢	$35	0x875ca7…
03-11 06:55:29	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xe0f4e8…
03-11 06:23:49	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	1,856	5¢	$100	0x90ad69…
03-11 06:13:47	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$21	0xd3afba…
03-11 05:37:49	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	1,741	6¢	$100	0xf67af3…
03-11 05:17:25	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	5,945	5¢	$300	0xd8b4cf…
03-10 08:46:39	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	2,000	36¢	$720	0xd12f2e…
03-10 08:46:01	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	1,723	36¢	$621	0xb37594…
03-10 04:37:17	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Knicks	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0xb25600…
03-10 03:37:57	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Knicks	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9218d1…
03-10 03:37:41	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Knicks	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf02af8…
03-10 03:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x55f955…
03-10 03:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xc44084…
03-10 03:33:13	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Knicks	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x605596…
03-09 14:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x90fa96…
03-09 14:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xf06bd0…
03-09 14:48:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x440757…
03-09 14:48:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdc6f14…
03-09 14:46:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x685a7b…
03-09 14:44:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x03b97c…
03-09 14:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x383b41…
03-09 14:41:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa792d8…
03-09 14:41:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa38b99…
03-09 14:37:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xb8cef0…